Jeeze, this topic went different to what I was expecting when I started reading from page 1 earlier.
Anyway, hopefully the Cerrone odds hold up or somehow get better, at the moment looks like it'll be my main bet for this card. Will have a go on Cerrone via submission too. Not sure yet how much of a ground/wrestling game Till has but I think he'll do what he did to Brazilian Cowboy and rather than have some firefight on the feet, take him down, advance position and tap him out.
It's a lose-lose fight for Cerrone really, it's a step down in terms of rankings to the level he usually fights. He goes for takedowns quite often, especially in the first round of fights. Think he landed bodylock takedowns against Brazilian Cowboy, Story, Brown and maybe Cote and although I'll need to go back and check, I expect Cote, Story and Brazilian Cowboy have better takedown defence than Till, likely better defensive BJJ too.
Think Cowboy will just come out, take him down and work to a submission for however long Till can last with him on the ground. He's only fought twice this year, why risk a war against a guy on a European Fight Night card when he can go down the path of least resistance with less risk of damage/injury, get a quick finish on the ground and get booked in for one more this year against one of the few top 10-15 guys not booked up yet, or as a replacement should someone drop out of the many top WW fights lined up the next 2/3 months.