Your Official UFN 123 Bets

Sanders -210 2u
Morales +115 3u
Davis +140 1u
Moraes -145 3u
Knight -300 2.5u
Holtzman -145 2u
Cub -110 2.5u

Good luck to everyone!
 
Swanson -106 1u
Holtzman +100 1.5u
Carmouche -175 2u
Ramos ITD +137 0,5u
 
Sanders ML @-220 for 1.5u
Holtzman ML @ -115 for 1u.
 
UFN 123 Risk: 2,331.25
swanson -120: 361.25 for 300 - 28 parlays / swanson DEC: 30 parlays / swanson ITD: 15 parlays / RD4: 23 for 230 / RD5: 17 for 238 / ortega ITD: 21 parlays / ortega SUB: 50 for 142.50 / ortega RD3: 6 parlays
knight -253: 252.50 for 100 / knight SUB: 36 parlays / knight RD3: 13 parlays / ITD: 77 for 70 - 28 parlays / RD3: 25 for 175 / benitez SUB: 12 for 150
moraes -137: 277.50 for 200 / moraes DEC: 43 parlays / moraes SUB: 10 for 176.50 / sterling SUB: 7 parlays
holtzman -112: 167.50 for 150 / holtzman DEC: 15 parlays / holtzman RD1: 6 parlays / DEC: 87.50 for 50 / horcher
m.perez: 15 parlays / m.perez SUB: 6 parlays / m.perez +3.5: 100 for 165 / m.perez NSC: 100 for 298.50 - 28 parlays / RD1: 30 parlays / NOT anders ITD: 28 parlays
lopez DEC: 51 parlays / morales
davis +160: 100 for 160 / davis DEC: 21 parlays / davis ITD: 15 parlays / davis SUB: 7 parlays / davis NSC: 28 parlays / carmouche
sanders ITD: 21 parlays / sanders RD3: 6 parlays / ITD: 15 parlays / soukhamthath ITD: 7 parlays
al.perez SUB: 43 parlays / ITD: 28 parlays / de tomas
saenz: 21 parlays / saenz DEC: 50 for 120 - 15 parlays / RD1: 7 parlays / dvalishvili KO: 25 for 102.50 - 15 parlays
alcantara -175: 175 for 100 / alcantara ITD: 28 parlays / alcantara SUB: 22 for 99 - 15 parlays / alcantara RD1: 15 parlays / alej.perez
gruetzemacher: 15 parlays / gruetzemacher DEC: 20 for 110.60 - 6 parlays / gruetz +3.5: 50 for 87.50 - 28 parlays / ramos SUB: 15 parlays
giles ITD: 36 parlays / giles RD3: 10 for 105 - 13 parlays / neto
props:
DEC U5.5: 25 for 111.01
DEC U4.5: 10 for 120.17
DEC U3.5: 4 for 142.75
DEC U2.5: 1 for 164
FOTN: m.perez-anders: 6 for 51
parlays
56 RR for 1,119.89: swanson/ knightbenitezITD/ moraesDEC/ NOTandersITD/ davisNSC/ tomasperezITD/ alcantaraITD/ gruetz+3.5
63 RR for 2,055.53: ortegaITD/ knightSUB/ m.perezNSC/ lopezDEC/ davisDEC/ sandersITD/ al.perezSUB/ saenz/ gilesITD
21 RR for 2,158.05: ortegaRD3/ knightRD3/ holtzmanRD1/ m.perezSUB/ saundersRD3/ gruetzDEC/ gilesRD3
35 RR for 3,353.68: swansonITD/ knightSUB/ m.perez/ davisITD/ dvalKO/ alcantaraRD1/ gruetz
35 RR for 556.04: swansonDEC/ moraesDEC/ holtzDEC/ perezandersRD1/ lopezDEC/ sanderssoukITD/ gilesITD
28 RR for 1,521.05: knightRD3/ sterlingSUB/ m.perezNSC/ davisSUB/ soukITD/ al.perezSUB/ saenzdvalRD1/ gilesRD3
35 RR for 1,157.02: swansonDEC/ m.perezandersRD1/ lopezDEC/ al.perezSUB/ saenzDEC/ alcantaraSUB/ ramosSUB
---

i'm very top heavy on this card. probably forced everything lopez downwards, besides a unit on davis.
 
Good luck brethren.

Moraes - 240 to win 170
Moraes - Loma - 170 to win 150
Knight - Cub - 130 for 200
 
Swanson 2.5u 1.97
Benitez sub 0.05u 15.0
Moraes 1u 1.72
Moraes R3 0.05u 22.0
Sterling sub 0.05u 10.0
Holzman 2u 1.92
M. Perez 0.1u 4.2
Anders dec 0.2u 4.25
Lopez R1 0.05u 8.0
Lopez dec 0.25u 3.5
Davies 1.2u 2.54
Souk ko/tko 0.05u 8.5
Tomas ko/tko 0.05u 13.25
Tomas R1 0.05u 13.0
Saenz 0.5u 2.51
Dvalishvili R3 0.05u 15.0
Ramos itd 0.2u 2.45
Alej. Perez dec 0.1u 4.5
Giles-Neto u2.5 0.25u 2.0
Giler R3 0.05u 11.5

+ some d-gambles.
 
Added:

Ortega-Swanson ends ITD -115 0.5u

Benitez-Knight ends ITD -120 0.25u
Benitez ITD +694 0.1u

Moraes -3.5 +185 0.5u
Moraes Sub. +1525 0.05u

Holtzman (SC=NA) -106 0.5u
Holtzman -3.5 +185 0.5u
Holtzman ITD +444 0.1u

Markus Perez (SC=NA) +331 0.2u

Ramos ITD +165 0.5u
Ramos by KO/TKO +570 0.1u

Neto ML +230 0.3u
Neto (SC=NA) +179 0.2u
Neto by KO/TKO +1015 0.05u


Added:

Holtzman -3.5 +165 0.5u
Holtzman-Horcher won't start R2 +469 0.15u
Holtzman Sub. +1375 0.05u

Markus Perez ML +340 0.5u
Anders-Perez won't start R2 +179 0.3u
Markus Perez (SC=NA) +375 0.2u
Markus Perez ITD +909 0.1u

Morales ML +111 0.5u

Carmouche ML -125 2u

de Tomas-Perez ends ITD -125 0.7u

Gruetzemacher-Ramos ends ITD +100 0.5u

Neto ML +235 0.3u
Neto ITD +450 0.2u
 
I don't like this event for betting.

0.8u Giles-Neto u2.5 @2.00 / 0.1u Giles r3 @10.00

0.5u Alejandro Perez @2.75 / 0.1u Alcantara r1 @4.50
0.5u Benitez @3.50 / 0.5u Benitez-Knight u2.5 @1.90

0.5u Morales @2.00
 
Cub
Knight itd
Aljo
Horcher
Anders by ko/tko
Lopez
Liz
Sanders by dec
Ramos/Iuri
Perez/Giles
Saenz
 
1u Ortega +105
0.4u Ortega SUB +265
0.2u Ortega RD3 +1050
0.2u Ortega RD4 +1650
0.2u Ortega RD5 +2450

0.5u Knight SUB +385
0.2u Benitez SUB +1065

2u Moraes -143
0.1u Moraes SUB +1795
0.1u Sterling SUB +950

0.2u Moraes/Knight-Benitez ITD/Ortega +434

0.2u RR Sterling DEC/Benitez ITD/Swanson DEC
0.2u RR Moraes ITD/Knight RD3/Ortega KO
 
UFN 123 Risk $1343.50

Cub Swanson (-105) vs Brian Ortega $315.00 for $300.00
Cub Swanson wins by 5 round decision (+195) $55.00 for $107.25
Brian Ortega wins in round 3 (+1100) $20.00 for 220.00
Brian Ortega wins in round 4 (+160) $15.00 for 240.00
Brian Ortega wins in round 5 (+2500) $10.00 for $250.00

Gabriel Benitez/Jason Knight fight does not go distance (-110) $110.00 for $100.00

Marlon Moraes (-135) vs Aljamain Sterling $135.00 for $100.00

Scott Holtzman (-120) vs Darrell Horcher $240.00 for $200.00
Scott Holtzman wins by TKO/KO (+535) $20.00 for $107.00

Eryk Anders/Markus Perez Over 2½ (+147) $30.00 for $44.10

Benito Lopez/Albert Morales Over 2½ (-190) $57.00 for $30.0

Alexis Davis (+130) vs Liz Carmouche $100.00 for $130.00

Andre Soukhamthath wins by TKO/KO (+785) vs Luke Sanders $30.00 for $235.50

Alex Perez wins inside distance (+120) vs Carls John de Tomas $50.00 for $60.00

Merab Dvalishvili wins by TKO/KO (+410) vs Frankie Saenz $25.00 for $102.50

Iuri Alcantara/Alejandro Perez Under 2½ (-105) $31.50 for $30.00

Chris Gruetzemacher (+365) vs Davi Ramos $50.00 for $182.50

Trevin Giles/Antonio Braga Neto Under 2½ (+100) $40.00 for $40.00
Trevin Giles wins in round 3 (+1050) $10.00 for $105.00
 
Final pre-event bets:

Ortega ML +112 2u
Ortega-Swanson ends ITD -115 0.5u
Ortega R4 +1400 0.05u
Ortega R5 +2000 0.05u

Benitez-Knight ends ITD -120 0.25u
Benitez ITD +694 0.1u

Sterling ML +150 0.4u
Sterling (SC=NA) +145 0.25u
Sterling R3 +2025 0.05u
Moraes -3.5 +185 0.5u
Moraes Sub. +1525 0.05u

Holtzman ML -111 2u
Holtzman (SC=NA) -104 1u
Holtzman -3.5 +175 1u
Holtzman-Horcher won't start R2 +469 0.15u
Holtzman ITD +444 0.1u
Holtzman Sub. +1375 0.05u
Holtzman R3 +2000 0.05u

Markus Perez ML +340 0.5u
Markus Perez (SC=NA) +353 0.4u
Anders-Perez won't start R2 +179 0.3u
Markus Perez ITD +909 0.1u

Morales ML +111 0.5u

Carmouche ML -125 2u

Sanders-Soukhamthath ends ITD +130 0.5u

de Tomas-Perez ends ITD -125 0.7u

Saenz ML +135 0.4u

Ramos ITD +165 0.5u
Gruetzemacher-Ramos ends ITD +100 0.5u
Ramos by KO/TKO +570 0.1u

Neto ML +232.5 0.6u
Neto (SC=NA) +179 0.2u
Neto ITD +450 0.2u
Neto by KO/TKO +1015 0.05u

Fights to go distance u2.5 +17800 0.01u
Fights to go distance u3.5 +3775 0.02u
Fights to go distance u4.5 +1262 0.03u
Fights to go distance u5.5 +459 0.04u
Fights to go distance u6.5 +172 0.06u

Fights to go distance o10.5 +2308 0.02u
Fights to go distance o11.5 +9988 0.01u

Fights to end in KO/TKO u1.5 +492 0.04u
Fights to end in KO/TKO u2.5 +158 0.06u

Fights to end in KO/TKO o5.5 +1238 0.03u
Fights to end in KO/TKO o6.5 +3700 0.02u
Fights to end in KO/TKO o7.5 +9575 0.01u

Fights to end in submission o2.5 -119 0.238u
Fights to end in submission o3.5 +252 0.15u
Fights to end in submission o4.5 +689 0.1u
Fights to end in submission o5.5 +2203 0.05u
Fights to end in submission o2.5 +8450 0.02u
 
Last edited:
+2u last event.
----

2u Sanders (1.40)
0.8u Knight ITD (2.30)

I didn't watch tape for this event, so small action +livebetting
 
2.5U Cub over Ortega @ $1.80 = $100 to win $80.

Took him early, because I thought if anything the line was going to get worse. Honestly surprised I could have got Cub at evens, but I'm already reasonably deep so even though adding another unit was tempting, I passed. Only bet so far, probably not going to put much else on this card.

Added

Dvalishvili over Saenz 2.5U @ $1.50
Alcantara over Perez 2.5U @ $1.53
Soukhamthath/Sanders DNGTD 2.5U @ $2.02
Anders KO Perez 2.5U @ $2.10
Holtzman over Horcher 2.5U @ $1.70
Holtzman over Horcher 5U @ $1.45 (live bet)
Knight ITD 2U @ $2.30
Cub over Ortega another 2.5U @ $1.90 (so 5U deep on him now - pretty risky!)
 
Last edited:
2.5U Cub over Ortega @ $1.80 = $100 to win $80.

Took him early, because I thought if anything the line was going to get worse. Honestly surprised I could have got Cub at evens, but I'm already reasonably deep so even though adding another unit was tempting, I passed. Only bet so far, probably not going to put much else on this card.

Added

Dvalishvili over Saenz 2.5U @ $1.50
Alcantara over Perez 2.5U @ $1.53
Soukhamthath/Sanders DNGTD 2.5U @ $2.02
Anders KO Perez 2.5U @ $2.10
Holtzman over Horcher 2.5U @ $1.70
Holtzman over Horcher 5U @ $1.45 (live bet)
Knight ITD 2U @ $2.30
Cub over Ortega another 2.5U @ $1.90 (so 5U deep on him now - pretty risky!)

Ended up down $318 = -8U. Destroyed. Those 5U on Cub really wrecked me. Should've just stuck with my original plan to not put much action on this card. Ended up forcing things and chasing losses. Paid for it.
 
Last edited:
Total = -256
$75 to win $75 - Alex Perez ITD
$15 to win $24 - Soukhamthath / Sanders ITD
$40 to win $100 - Markus Perez
$180 to win $150 - Scott Holtzman
$225 to win $150 - Marlon Moraes

$255 to win $353 - Knight wins inside distance
$560 to win $200 - Jason Knight
$325 to win $300 - Brian Ortega
$40 to win $810 - Ortega wins in round 5
$40 to win $520 - Ortega wins in round 4
$10 to win $260 - Swanson wins in Round 4
$10 to win $340 - swandon wins in Round 5

Ortega totally bailed me out of my knight bets. lost on the night but feel good only losing a few units
 
Saenz to win
$6 to win $13.80
(Livebet) Saenz to win
$1 to win $5.12
$2 to win $11
(Livebet) Saenz to win by decision
$2 to win $16
Win: $34.92

(Livebet) Sanders/Soukhamthath ITD
$2.28 to win $5.01
Win: $2.78

(Livebet) Sanders to win ITD
$3.13 to win $10.01
Lose: -$3.31

Davis to win by DEC
$2.50 to win $8.75
Win: $6.25

Davis to win in Round 2
$1 to win $17
Lose: -$1

Davis to win Round 3
$1 to win $23
Lose: -$1

Davis to win
$10 to win $22
(Livebet) Davis to win
$5.53 to win $15.89
Win: $22.36

(Livebet) Lopez to win ITD
$2.31 to win $10
Lose: -$2.31

Perez to win
$3 to win $10
Lose: -$3

Holtzman to win
$4.72 to win $9.01
Cashed out (Mid RD2) at $5.99
Win: $1.27

Sterling to win
$6 to win $15
Lose: -$6

Knight/Sterling/Swanson/Cyborg (UFC 219) to win
$6.05 to win $50.05
Lose: -$6.05

Night/Benitez ITD
$5 to win $9
Lose: -$5

Night to win ITD
$5 to win $11.25
Lose: -$5

(Livebet after Rd 1) Night to win
$10 to win $25
Lose: -$10

Night/Swanson to win
$4 to win $12.26
Lose: -$4

Swanson to finish fight
$5 to win $23.75
Lose: -$5

Swanson to win
$16 to win $28.71
Lose: -$16

Net: -$0.09
The main card was a disaster for me but actually up for the night due to the Bellator Gritz bet I placed. Oh well, still learning and building the bankroll!
 
beautiful night, roll on next weekend.

WINS

Alejandro perez £100 returns £275

Saenz £50 returns £200

Ramos, alex perez £700 returns £1314

Davis £100 returns £250

Holtzman £200 returns £400

Moraes £200 returns £330

Benitez £50 returns £175

LOSSES

Swanson £70 returns £140

Benitez, knight draw £10 returns £100

Morales £50 returns £105

Anders ko, alejandro perez, moraes dec, holtzman dec, Ortega sub £10 returns £1058

PROFIT: £1404
 
1u Ortega +105 +1.05u
0.4u Ortega SUB +265 +1.06u
0.2u Ortega RD3 +1050 -0.2u
0.2u Ortega RD4 +1650 -0.2u
0.2u Ortega RD5 +2450 -0.2u

0.5u Knight SUB +385 -0.5u
0.2u Benitez SUB +1065 -0.2u

2u Moraes -143 +1.4u
0.1u Moraes SUB +1795 -0.1u
0.1u Sterling SUB +950 -0.1u

0.2u Moraes/Knight-Benitez ITD/Ortega +434 -0.2u

0.2u RR Sterling DEC/Benitez ITD/Swanson DEC -0.2u
0.2u RR Moraes ITD/Knight RD3/Ortega KO -0.2u

Live:
0.5u Carmouche +165 -0.5u
0.1u Perez +1000 -0.1u
0.5u Knight-Benitez ITD +180 -0.5u

NET: +0.31u

Ortega and Moraes were my strongest leans and I still barely won. That Benitez decision killed my night and bad live betting again. I was hoping to live bet Ortega but didn't like the price after round 1.
 
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