JACKSON +135 = Elite Bet
So Valerie Latourneau is a favourite once again and as expected. The highlight of her career was getting her ass beat by JJ for 5 rounds, she hung tough but that was a one sided beatdown.
After the JJ fight, Valerie moves up to 125 to face Calderwood in Canada and proceeds to have the worst performance of her career. She tried to quit multiple times in the fight, was hurt to the body multiple times, she can cry wardrobe malfunction but that wasn't the issue, body shots were. Calderwood completely dominated that fight, she got TD's and she lit her up standing, Valerie made Calderwood look really good. Valerie was also the favourite in this match up.
Now Valerie is coming off back to back losses, she gets another fight at home in Canada, this time at 115. Valerie has a bad weight cut, misses weight. She then goes and loses a close fight to a debuting, short notice Vivianne Perreira. Valerie looked like she was two weight classes bigger in that fight and she has a huge height and reach advantage. Valerie found a way to lose once again, she was taken down and she was edged out on the feet, another bad performance.
Now Valerie is nearly 35 years old, she hasn't fought in a year and she has openly said that weight cutting to 115 has ruined her body and that she is still recovering from the effects. Valerie is a 500 fighter, her record is 8-7 if you count the 1st round sub loss to Roxanne on TUF, yes that happened.
A lot of people probably aren't that familiar with Kate Jackson but she was the 2nd best girl on her season of TUF, she would have won that show if not for Suarez. Jackson is a well rounded fighter, serviceable striking, decent TD's and she's strong in top position. Jackson typically likes to push a pace and bully her opponents.
Valerie is the better technical striker but she has poor TDD and she has nothing off her back. Jackson will cage push, pursue TD's and just dictate the fight, Valerie has no authority in the cage.
I also love that Jackson is at home for this fight, meanwhile Valerie is flying half way across the world for her Bellator debut. The fight is at 125, both girls are former 115ers, Valerie is probably a little bigger but she's never been physically imposing, I expect Jackson to be the stronger girl.
Jackson lost a fight early in her career (6 years ago) to a 5-1 Swedish girl, since then she has only lost to JJ and Suarez, elite fighters. Jackson is 9-2 as a pro, 11-3 if you count her TUF fights.
Laying juice on a 500 fighter is a losing proposition but the public will bet Valerie because they are clueless about Jackson. This line is off, Jackson should be favoured. I cashed both Calderwood and Perreira as dogs vs Valerie, now I'm gonna do it 3 times $$$
Valerie is on my fade list, 3 fight losing streak, her best years are behind her and she's looked like trash in her last two fights, I think weight cutting has ruined her body and I think she's taken a lot of damage.
Here is the article of Valerie talking about weight cutting, it's all bad.
http://www.sherdog.com/news/news/Va...ngth-After-Grueling-Cuts-to-115-Pounds-130211
I'm getting the younger, hometown and more well rounded fighter. Three things I like and then give me +money, easy decision to fade Valerie again.