Bro your the p4p champ! We should call you mighty mouse2017 Recap
Total Units: +186.59 (689 fights)
event summary:
LFA 1: +100
Invicta 21: +308.50
UFN 103: +18
LFA 2: -185
Bella 170: +479.45
Titan 43: +149.50
Bella 171: -105
UFC FOX 23: -540.96
UFN 104: -601.98
UFC 208: -413.97
LFA 4: +94
Bella 172: +295
UFN 105: +1,412.36
LFA 5: +225
Bella 173: +102
Bella 174: -200
UFC 209: +409.81
UFN 106: +1,521.58
UFN 107: +1,051.81
WSOF 35: -462.50
invicta 22: -2.57
Bella 175: -107.86
Bella 176: +325
UFC 210: +35.49
Bella 177: +352
UFC Fox 24: -740.23
Rizin 5: +140
LFA 10: -20
Bella 178: +263.75
UFN 108: +2,602.44
CES 44: +70
UFC 211: +1,464.96
Bella 179: -153.50
Titan 44: +50
Invicta 23: +89.50
KSW 39: 0
UFN 109: +1,376.41
UFC 212: -672.76 <----- summer slump hit again
UFN 110: -1,243.94
UFN 111: -805.78
Bella 180: +509.67
UFN 112: -856.70
LFA 15: -47.52 <----- summer slump ended (net of -3,117.03)
PFL 1: +351.48
TUF 25: -88.84
UFC 213: +176.14
DW1: +340
bella 181: +265.20
invicta 24: +92.50
ufn 113: +1,122.83
DW2: +248.01
UFC Fox 25: +1,808.50
DW3: +51.39
PFL 2: +2
UFC 214: +1,792.65
Rizin 6: -20
DW4: +113.50
LFA 18: -95.50
UFN 114: -1,105.65
DW 5: -125.90
DW 6: +466.32
Titan 45: -60
LFA 19: -205
DW 7: +469.94
Bella 182: +688.75
LFA 20: +102.50
DW 8: +350.75
Invicta 25: -63.75
UFN 115: +312.60
LFA 22: +237.50,
UFC 215: -169.46
UFN 116: -609.57
UFN 117: +97.95
LFA 23: -70
ACB 70: +99
Bella 183: +490.08
Bella 184: +118.34
UFC 216: +78.02
LFA 24: -92
Bella 185: -224
LFA 25: -70
UFN 118: +548.08
UFN 119: +619.06
PFL 3: -357.50
Bella 186: -304.60
UFC 217: +3,242.15 <----- best event of 2017
Bella 187: -50
UFN 120: +455.75
Bella 188: +90
Titan 46: +115
UFN 121: -2,108.75 <----- worst event of 2017 (man i get killed on aussie cards)
UFN 122: -561.84
Bella 189: -333
TUF 26: +1,009.84
UFC 218: +870.23
Invicta 26: +347.50
Bella 190: +194.50
UFN 123: +428.23
Bella 191: +78
UFC Fox 26: +382.65
Rizin 8: -31.67
UFC 219: +863.35
-------------
By Promotion:
UFC: +150.94 units (525 fights)
Bellator: +27.94 units (87 fights)
Japanese MMA (Rizin): +0.88 units (5 fights)
Invicta: +7.72 units (21 fights)
WSOF/PFL: -4.67 units (16 fights)
Titan: +2.55 units (7 fights)
Others: +1.23 units (28 fights)
-------------
By Price of the Fighter (this is a somewhat gray area, because if I bet on a -600 fighter but do it as "gaethje ITD -186" it counts for me as a bet on a fight with a -600 fighter, so to speak. grey area #2: my longshot event props fall under +401 and up dog slot
FAVORITES: +91.62 units (269 fights)
UNDERDOGS: +94.97 units (420 fights)
---
-101 to -200 favorites: +52.35 units (157 fights)
-201 to -400 favorites: +33.97 units (85 fights)
-401 & up favorites: +5.31 units (27 fights)
dogs up to +200: +93.09 units (232 fights)
+201 to +400 dogs: +3.46 units (107 fights)
+401 and up dogs: -1.58 units (81 fights)
-------------
By Weightclass (and event-wide):
Women: ((( +62.91 units total )))
145: +1.27 units
135: +10.33 units
125: +11.06 units
115: +40.55 units
105: -0.31 units
men: ((( +127.09 units total )))
265: +6.73 units
205: +20.54 units
185: +5.38 units
170: +22.04 units
155: +14.80 units
145: +16.36 units
135: +39.28 units
125: +1.96 units
---
event-wide props: ((( -3.40 units total )))
FIGHT OF THE NIGHT: -0.90 units
Fastest KO/SUB: -1.25 units
OVER decisions: +0.37 units
UNDER decisions: -0.40 units
OVER KO/SUBS: +0.58 units
UNDER KO/SUBS: -0.21 units
Draws: -1.6 units
-------------
bets where i KNEW both fighters and had seen them live previously: +145.64 units
bets where i was just going off of tape and wiki capping and what not: +40.96 units
-------------
the following are fight results, not necessarily moneylines (it's all bets on one fight) -- the fighter i bet is listed first in each.
huge losses (-5u or worse):
7/22/17: -543.50: bermudez vs elkins
2/20/17: -582.00: marshman vs santos <-- 9 seconds from profit, too
11/11/17: -643.45: lauzon vs guida
huge wins (+5.99u or better... too many wins of 4-5.98u to list)
6/24/17: +599.00: douglas lima vs larkin
4/22/17: +602.55: wineland vs dodson (via O2.5 and dodson dec)
10/28/17: +641.00: munhoz vs font
6/3/17: +648.50: holloway vs aldo
8/22/17: +707.95: nzechukwu vs berzin <-- lol how'd i win so much here
12/9/17: +719.50: saenz vs dvalishvili
7/7/17: +721.00: gaethje vs johnson
5/28/17: +797.90: velickovic vs musoke
9/22/17: +885.05: andrade vs gadelha
7/22/17: +897.50: zaleski vs good
5/28/17: +916.70: akhmedov vs al hassan
11/4/17: +1,224.27: dillashaw vs garbrandt
4/22/17: +1,323.75: moreno vs ortiz
11/4/17: +1,328.93: namajunas vs jedrzejczyk
7/29/17: +1,445.48: ortega vs moicano
2/20/17: +1,786.50: markos vs esparza
-------------
my key takeaways:
-WOW. almost a 50/50 split on profits from favorites and dogs for me. 2016 was all about dogs. interesting.
-event props continue to bleed some profit again this year
-wmma got WAY better for me (largely cause of namajunas and andrade wins)
2017: +187u
2016: +113u
2015: +175u
2014: +125u
2013: +115u
2012: +137u
2011: +97u
2010: +94u
i'm finally raising my units for the first time in a few years. long overdue, i know. 100/unit is now 150/unit.
Live betting tennis is nuts from my experience very -EV+162u on mma this year. Lost a ton on lb tennis.
Sticking to mma, soccer and basketball only, from now.
This is my first year capping and think I've done a ok job. I love marital art and have previous years betting just to spice the exciement up a bit on fighters that I like/don' like.
I've tested some different ways of capping during this year and done so many wrongs along the way but I've also learned a lot from those wrongs (hopefully)
I'm going in to a new year of capping and leaving my rookie season behind me and hoping to improve my results.
http://www.betmma.tips/Philosopher
Here is most of my capping this year If anyone have some spare minutes to eye through it and give me some critique both good and bad it would be appreciated.
Happy New year
2017 Recap
Total Units: +186.59 (689 fights)
event summary:
LFA 1: +100
Invicta 21: +308.50
UFN 103: +18
LFA 2: -185
Bella 170: +479.45
Titan 43: +149.50
Bella 171: -105
UFC FOX 23: -540.96
UFN 104: -601.98
UFC 208: -413.97
LFA 4: +94
Bella 172: +295
UFN 105: +1,412.36
LFA 5: +225
Bella 173: +102
Bella 174: -200
UFC 209: +409.81
UFN 106: +1,521.58
UFN 107: +1,051.81
WSOF 35: -462.50
invicta 22: -2.57
Bella 175: -107.86
Bella 176: +325
UFC 210: +35.49
Bella 177: +352
UFC Fox 24: -740.23
Rizin 5: +140
LFA 10: -20
Bella 178: +263.75
UFN 108: +2,602.44
CES 44: +70
UFC 211: +1,464.96
Bella 179: -153.50
Titan 44: +50
Invicta 23: +89.50
KSW 39: 0
UFN 109: +1,376.41
UFC 212: -672.76 <----- summer slump hit again
UFN 110: -1,243.94
UFN 111: -805.78
Bella 180: +509.67
UFN 112: -856.70
LFA 15: -47.52 <----- summer slump ended (net of -3,117.03)
PFL 1: +351.48
TUF 25: -88.84
UFC 213: +176.14
DW1: +340
bella 181: +265.20
invicta 24: +92.50
ufn 113: +1,122.83
DW2: +248.01
UFC Fox 25: +1,808.50
DW3: +51.39
PFL 2: +2
UFC 214: +1,792.65
Rizin 6: -20
DW4: +113.50
LFA 18: -95.50
UFN 114: -1,105.65
DW 5: -125.90
DW 6: +466.32
Titan 45: -60
LFA 19: -205
DW 7: +469.94
Bella 182: +688.75
LFA 20: +102.50
DW 8: +350.75
Invicta 25: -63.75
UFN 115: +312.60
LFA 22: +237.50,
UFC 215: -169.46
UFN 116: -609.57
UFN 117: +97.95
LFA 23: -70
ACB 70: +99
Bella 183: +490.08
Bella 184: +118.34
UFC 216: +78.02
LFA 24: -92
Bella 185: -224
LFA 25: -70
UFN 118: +548.08
UFN 119: +619.06
PFL 3: -357.50
Bella 186: -304.60
UFC 217: +3,242.15 <----- best event of 2017
Bella 187: -50
UFN 120: +455.75
Bella 188: +90
Titan 46: +115
UFN 121: -2,108.75 <----- worst event of 2017 (man i get killed on aussie cards)
UFN 122: -561.84
Bella 189: -333
TUF 26: +1,009.84
UFC 218: +870.23
Invicta 26: +347.50
Bella 190: +194.50
UFN 123: +428.23
Bella 191: +78
UFC Fox 26: +382.65
Rizin 8: -31.67
UFC 219: +863.35
-------------
By Promotion:
UFC: +150.94 units (525 fights)
Bellator: +27.94 units (87 fights)
Japanese MMA (Rizin): +0.88 units (5 fights)
Invicta: +7.72 units (21 fights)
WSOF/PFL: -4.67 units (16 fights)
Titan: +2.55 units (7 fights)
Others: +1.23 units (28 fights)
-------------
By Price of the Fighter (this is a somewhat gray area, because if I bet on a -600 fighter but do it as "gaethje ITD -186" it counts for me as a bet on a fight with a -600 fighter, so to speak. grey area #2: my longshot event props fall under +401 and up dog slot
FAVORITES: +91.62 units (269 fights)
UNDERDOGS: +94.97 units (420 fights)
---
-101 to -200 favorites: +52.35 units (157 fights)
-201 to -400 favorites: +33.97 units (85 fights)
-401 & up favorites: +5.31 units (27 fights)
dogs up to +200: +93.09 units (232 fights)
+201 to +400 dogs: +3.46 units (107 fights)
+401 and up dogs: -1.58 units (81 fights)
-------------
By Weightclass (and event-wide):
Women: ((( +62.91 units total )))
145: +1.27 units
135: +10.33 units
125: +11.06 units
115: +40.55 units
105: -0.31 units
men: ((( +127.09 units total )))
265: +6.73 units
205: +20.54 units
185: +5.38 units
170: +22.04 units
155: +14.80 units
145: +16.36 units
135: +39.28 units
125: +1.96 units
---
event-wide props: ((( -3.40 units total )))
FIGHT OF THE NIGHT: -0.90 units
Fastest KO/SUB: -1.25 units
OVER decisions: +0.37 units
UNDER decisions: -0.40 units
OVER KO/SUBS: +0.58 units
UNDER KO/SUBS: -0.21 units
Draws: -1.6 units
-------------
bets where i KNEW both fighters and had seen them live previously: +145.64 units
bets where i was just going off of tape and wiki capping and what not: +40.96 units
-------------
the following are fight results, not necessarily moneylines (it's all bets on one fight) -- the fighter i bet is listed first in each.
huge losses (-5u or worse):
7/22/17: -543.50: bermudez vs elkins
2/20/17: -582.00: marshman vs santos <-- 9 seconds from profit, too
11/11/17: -643.45: lauzon vs guida
huge wins (+5.99u or better... too many wins of 4-5.98u to list)
6/24/17: +599.00: douglas lima vs larkin
4/22/17: +602.55: wineland vs dodson (via O2.5 and dodson dec)
10/28/17: +641.00: munhoz vs font
6/3/17: +648.50: holloway vs aldo
8/22/17: +707.95: nzechukwu vs berzin <-- lol how'd i win so much here
12/9/17: +719.50: saenz vs dvalishvili
7/7/17: +721.00: gaethje vs johnson
5/28/17: +797.90: velickovic vs musoke
9/22/17: +885.05: andrade vs gadelha
7/22/17: +897.50: zaleski vs good
5/28/17: +916.70: akhmedov vs al hassan
11/4/17: +1,224.27: dillashaw vs garbrandt
4/22/17: +1,323.75: moreno vs ortiz
11/4/17: +1,328.93: namajunas vs jedrzejczyk
7/29/17: +1,445.48: ortega vs moicano
2/20/17: +1,786.50: markos vs esparza
-------------
my key takeaways:
-WOW. almost a 50/50 split on profits from favorites and dogs for me. 2016 was all about dogs. interesting.
-event props continue to bleed some profit again this year
-wmma got WAY better for me (largely cause of namajunas and andrade wins)
2017: +187u
2016: +113u
2015: +175u
2014: +125u
2013: +115u
2012: +137u
2011: +97u
2010: +94u
i'm finally raising my units for the first time in a few years. long overdue, i know. 100/unit is now 150/unit.
@Wiktoruspro !No more big parlays
No more big parlays
This is my first year capping and think I've done a ok job. I love marital art and have previous years betting just to spice the exciement up a bit on fighters that I like/don' like.
I've tested some different ways of capping during this year and done so many wrongs along the way but I've also learned a lot from those wrongs (hopefully)
I'm going in to a new year of capping and leaving my rookie season behind me and hoping to improve my results.
http://www.betmma.tips/Philosopher
Here is most of my capping this year If anyone have some spare minutes to eye through it and give me some critique both good and bad it would be appreciated.
Happy New year
Sounds fun count me in bro!Guys something just came to my mind, might well be that it's lame and stupid, so please give me your thoughts about it.
I will try to succeed with a gigantic 'parlay' in 2018:
At the next event (Stephens vs Choi) I will put 1unit on the ML that I am most confident in, totally ignoring the odds.
In case of me winning, I will put that 1unit + the winnings all on the ML that I am most confident in for the following event.
And so on, and so on. I am sure you get the idea already.
I would call this the 'L-Challenge'.
What does the L stand for?
It's obvious isn't it - on one hand it will stand for 'Lock', on the other hand it will stand for 'Luca' (since I will probably end up on heavily favorited fighters most of the time).
Could also be that I am done after 2 events already, who knows.
Would anybody be interested in joining me with this?
I could make an own thread for it, and it would be kind of a tournament.
The winner would be the guy who survives the longest.
This year there have been around 40 UFC events, I doubt that anybody will be able to last that long.
In case that the two last man standing last for the same event, the one with the higher stack wins.
On top of my head the rules would be:
-you have to make your choice for every event, if you skip one you are out!
-you have to be on board for the first event of the year already, joining later won't be possible!
-you are only allowed to bet a ML, no props!
-you are not out if the fight ends in a draw or a no contest
There would be no prize pool, it would just be for glory and honor and fun, so you could theoretically also join if you don't bet the whole thing for real (although that makes it less interesting, I feel).
You don't have to make screencaps for your actual bet or so.
Sounds fun? Sounds stupid? Please gimme your feedback.
This literally came to my mind a few minutes ago, so I might be totally off about it. But in my head it sounds like a fun community thing to do.
I will personally do this anyway, the only question is if others are interested in it as well.
Thank you for your attention for now
This wont be doable due to limitsSounds fun count me in bro!