Sharkey's all new, highly secretive (unless you ask), and very complex (kinda but not really) FCSR is hopefully going to help find some good price horses tomorrow at Parx;
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Race 4 at Parx (11:16);
#1 Street Heat 7/2 - 302.2
#7 Graves Island 9/5 - 290.0
#4 The Morning Guys 15/1 289.8
#2 Hodor 5/1 - 288.8
#3 Bowman's Beast 10/1 - 286.2
#1A Wireless Future 7/2 - 283.7
#5 My Cousin Lou 4/1 - 273.3
#6 Papa Jones 6/1 - 264.0
This #4 horse is quite interesting at anything even remotely close to his morning line odds. The first concern with him for me is he is coming off a regressive race, but so are 5 of the other 7 horses in the field, including all the shorter priced horses. And unlike most of them this #4 horse actually has excuses for his last effort. Not one. Not two. But three in total. He had to check entering the turn. He had to check in the stretch. And he also acted up in the gate just before the start of the race, which, having gone back and watched a bunch of his past races, was completely uncommon of him. He's also had positive responses to regressive races in the past as well if you don't want to give him those excuses. This guy has the high racing speed average in the field at a 87, and also has the highest figure at the distance at a 97. He also has a very good record at tomorrow's distance compared to the rest of the field having a 3-3-1 record in 15 starts, 2nd only to the #5 horse. This guy is also a stayer visually (sired by a Belmont winner) who has finished in the top half of the field in his last 7 races, and in 8 of his last 9. He has also gained ground from the stretch to the wire in every one of his last 10 starts as well and has not once been passed late for position in that time. That could be a key since this is a route race, and not a sprint race that he's been involved in most of his recent starts. In some of those sprint races he's been out paced early, and forced to do a lot of work late. But in tomorrow's race there's not a whole lot of early speed signed on at all, so this guy should be sitting a nice trip stalking in 3rd or so just behind whoever does have the lead. If his past history of gaining ground and passing 1 or 2 in the stretch is any indication, this guy is a prime candidate to at least hit the board at big odds and maybe even pull off the upset. Also gets the track's 2nd winningest jockey aboard for the ride. I'll look to play him to win and place.
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Race 6 at Parx (12:10);
#8 Shinkansen 2/1 - 263.2 (suspicious drop in class)
#7 Haveaniceweekend 8/1 - 251.0
#5 Empty House 3/1 - 250.6
#9 Little Sister 6/1 - 248.6
#4 Frequently 12/1 - 234.4
#1 Iwishirish 5/1 - 233.1
#3 Baltimore Beauty 15/1 - 232.8
#2 Saratiago 15/1 - 219.1
#6 Wink for Me 20/1 - 200.6
I'll try to keep this shorter just because it's late, but this #7 horse may have a big say in the outcome of this race tomorrow with the favourite coming in off a 5+ month layoff and with that "suspicious drop in class" notation included in it's PP's. The #7 horse may be the controlling speed in the race. I expect her to be actually unless the #9 horse really want to go from the gate and challenge. But I think the #7 horse is just plain faster early and should get it as she's a stretch out sprinter who's used to being up close in shorter races. If the field leaves her alone she may take them a long way. Maybe even all the way as she isn't terrible at this distance (0-1-2 in 4 starts). She's coming into this great on a great pattern as well including pairing up her last two races. The last time she paired up she jumped forward 12 points on her figure in her next race. Both of her last two races were even better than they look on paper as well, as she was caught in a tough position in both of them and never quit. in her last race she was caught in the bad position as the middle horse of the sandwich all the way from the start to around the turn, and she actually outfinished both of those that had her enclosed like that. In her race before that she was caught on the inside behind horses on the rail in the slop, and once again showed gameness despite having mud covered all over her after having it kicked in her face all race. Her record of 3-8-5 in 26 career starts is the best in the field as far as hitting the board goes as well (2-3-4 in 14 starts at Parx arguably is too). I'll play this one to win and place as well.
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Race 10 at Parx (1:58);
#10 Candy Phil 7/5 - 263.7 (suspicious drop in class)
#3 Dusty Street 15/1 - 220.8
#2 Trousseau 8/1 - 212.0
#8 For Later 12/1 - 212.0
#4 Lucky Meeting 12/1 - 210.8
#5 C W Road 5/1 - 203.6
#7 Schwartzology 6/1 - 202.8
#9 Julie's Indy 20/1 - 197.6
#1 River Miss 15/1 - 192.3
#6 Edfitzamahle'sbar 20/1 - 189.0
#11 Hazy Daisy 20/1 - 160.2
I like this #3 horse less than any of the three horses I'm planning to play tomorrow, but she does have a few things going for her including a nice long sustained middle move last time out which also produced what was by far this horse's highest E2 figure over her last 10 races. Also has a nice maintain/improve pattern to her figures as well, which coupled with the middle move, and the bullet workout last week suggest to me that she'll run a good race tomorrow. Whatever a good race is for her. But she may be okay as she does have the 2nd highest figure at this distance for tomorrow's race, 2nd only to the favourite with yet another "suspicious drop in class" notation to it. This #3 horse is also ranked top 3 in almost all the Brisnet categories. 3rd in speed last race. 2nd in back speed. 2nd in current class. 2nd in average class. 3rd in prime power. 2nd in racing speed average. 2nd in average race rating. 2nd in average late pace. 2nd in best late pace. Etc., etc. 2nd best record at this distance in the race as well as far as hitting the board (1-4-3 record in 18 starts). A lot of things have this girl ranked 2nd or 3rd in the race, and unfortunately that may be the best hope for her likeliest outcome. 2nd or 3rd, as the girl has only won twice in 44 career races. Mind you many horses in this race are veteran losers, so somebody has to win. But I'm likely to play this #3 horse more heavily on the place and perhaps show (if the whole, or most, of the field holds together and doesn't scratch) side of things, although with a small win bet to go along with them as well.
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