Woodley has a bad habit of backing up against the cage and Till does a really good job of moving forward and pressuring his opponents and cutting them off. Till has a really good sense of distance and managing range and a good fight iq. This is where he knocked Wonderboy down in the 5th round.
He will be fully aware of Woodley's right hand. He knew Wonderboy was just looking to counter him hence why the fight was so boring and Till feinting a lot and not fully committing. Also Wonderboy has a lot more weapons than Woodley and Till had no problem handling his striking game. This fight might go the same way.
In terms of Woodley's wrestling, last guy to take down Till consistently was Dalby but Till has improved his takedown defense and has gotten even bigger. If Woodley struggles to land takedowns, it's going to drain him which is huge over 5 rounds. He doesn't go for a lot of takedowns because he is trying to conserve his energy/cardio.
Wonderboy after Till fight said it was nearly impossible to move Till, he felt like a brick wall (he was too big).
I like Till's ML and waiting to see what over/under opens at.
Hey guys. Havent been in this subforum since they closed all the available betting websites in Argentina. This is by far the best and less biased subforum on Sherdog.
I really love this Till-Woodley matchup.
Woodley has 2 clear paths of victory:
1. Go back against the fence and explode with the big right overhand:
He did that a lot against Condit and landed all the time (Condit had a chin tho).
FWIW I have seen a lot of footage on Woodley for myself because sometimes is sparr taller guys who I cant get close to and it worth it but you can easily time those entrances (tell that to my nose lol). If Till does his homework he should be able to counter that but it is easier say than done. Woodley is a really explosive individual and covers a lot of ground when he attacks.
2. Wrestling, wrestling and wrestling. Tyron is no Khabib on top but he has good takedowns, specially his double leg. Im 100% sure he will be shooting. If he puts Till on his back he is going to aim to maintain position and score points instead of go for the kill and do damage. Thing is that once a fighter is put on your back and keep there for the remaining of the round they tend to be more tentative because Lay and Pray still wins fights.
I have confidence that if Woodley secure a position on the ground he is not going to lose it. I dont trust Tills ground game off his back.
Wonderboy has top notch TDD but Woodley could take him down.
Till path to victory is clear as day too. Come in with a boxing heavy gameplan, pressure and try to box Woodley against the fence like Rory did.
He has the best boxing and distance control of the two for sure but the only thing that worries me is that sometimes he eats one to land one. Woodley can be hesitant but if he lands clean he can put anybody out.
The key to Darren is to keep the fight at his own range and be aware of Woodley entrances (being that overhands or double legs TDs). If he does that this is his fight.
Cardio wise... Woodley has not a good gas tank despite his claims. He only paces himself by throwing just the necessary to win rounds. Wonderboy fought him at slow pace and nothing happened in the Maia fight. Who was the last guy to make Woodley work?
Till cuts a zillion lbs to make WW but he is younger and a striking speciallist so if this becomes a stand up fight I pick him to outlast Woodley because he will be fighting at his rythm.
It is really hard to make a prediction on this one so it is a dog or pass for me. Funny thing is that after writing that I keep thinking that the winner will dominate his rival. I dont see it being close.