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- Feb 8, 2012
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DC opened -145 on Bovada LOLNope. Morons will think Brock has some sort of chance and we'll get DC -375 or something.
DC opened -145 on Bovada LOLNope. Morons will think Brock has some sort of chance and we'll get DC -375 or something.
Blaydes has done a lot more (such as actually be in the cage and win fights) to earn a title shot vs Lesnar who is in another "entertainment" field due to a PED suspension. I have zero interest in seeing Brock vs DC and will find something more productive to do with my evening when they fight
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The 7 underdogs and 4 favorite wins were exactly the opposite of what we would normally expect. Maybe the odds makers aren't as sharp as they used to be or the sport is just more random now which will make it hard to find "safe" plays. There were a lot of losers last night.Had such a great feeling and thought my bets were solid. 7 underdogs hit last night, Jesus Christ. Had some great events but I am just not a long term winner, if anything I am slowly losing $ . Shits fun tho
What do you mean earn a title shot vs Brock? DC is the champion now. Him knocking out Stipe in the first round doesn't make you want to see him vs anyone?Blaydes has done a lot more (such as actually be in the cage and win fights) to earn a title shot vs Lesnar who is in another "entertainment" field due to a PED suspension. I have zero interest in seeing Brock vs DC and will find something more productive to do with my evening when they fight
DC opened -145 on Bovada LOL
What do you mean earn a title shot vs Brock? DC is the champion now. Him knocking out Stipe in the first round doesn't make you want to see him vs anyone?
Yes you are correct. I should have worded it "Blaydes has done a lot more to earn a title shot compared to Lesnar who has been on the sidelines." Thanks for the correction. I will remember not to use the term "versus" like that when discussing fights.Him saying "earn a title shot vs Brock" isn't worded as well as it could be. He doesn't mean Blaydes fighting Brock for the title. He's saying Blaydes has done more than Brock to earn the title shot vs DC.
The problem for me is that the odds makers don't fuck up that often. Last night was a "once in several years" event (all dogs winning on the main card and going 7-4 overall). And to be blunt...I'm not as good at capping fights as the odds makers. I can pick the + money plays sometimes but not enough to make it profitable and most others can't either. Also remember that Felder opened as an underdog so it wasn't the odds makers that screwed that one up it was the public who bet him down to a favorite of -150. But considering Felder's last three fights I understand why so many played him.Reevaluate start limiting plays and look for +money plays where the odds makers fuck up (Whittmire vs Moyle holy shit THANK YOU) and you will start to crush.
The problem for me is that the odds makers don't fuck up that often. Last night was a "once in several years" event (all dogs winning on the main card and going 7-4 overall). And to be blunt...I'm not as good at capping fights as the odds makers. I can pick the + money plays sometimes but not enough to make it profitable and most others can't either. Also remember that Felder opened as an underdog so it wasn't the odds makers that screwed that one up it was the public who bet him down to a favorite of -150. But considering Felder's last three fights I understand why so many played him.
I told y'all Millender was the only lock on the card.
All the underdogs on the main card won, I wonder when the last time that happened.
Whoever made a 5 team parlay with all the main card underdogs, I wanna see the bet slips.
I was watching with my friend who is trying to get into MMA betting & she said she wanted to get something really risky for fun so I locked in a 3 way parlay between Lewis Cormier & Perry. $5 for $111
I was watching with my friend who is trying to get into MMA betting & she said she wanted to get something really risky for fun so I locked in a 3 way parlay between Lewis Cormier & Perry. $5 for $111
No I thought Felder was pretty good bet considering his last three wins and was surprised (like many) that he opened at +200 but in the end anyone who put money on him lost.Oddsmakers mess up every event, multiple times.
Felder opened at over +200 and arguably won that fight with one arm. And you think the public made a mistake on that?
Dc opens at -145 agaisnt Brock Lesnar? What a joke.
No I thought Felder was pretty good bet considering his last three wins and was surprised (like many) that he opened at +200 but in the end anyone who put money on him lost.
I haven't really thought much about Lesnar and DC. Lesnar is a big question mark considering how long he has been out of the sport, his steroid use, and his health problems. If he comes in healthy, well trained, and at 265 lbs or bigger I think he could make it competitive against DC. DC should be the favorite and will probably win the fight but I wouldn't be willing to bet -300 on it.
Honestly a lot of you guys need to scale back plays a bit, pay less juice while looking for the dog plays, and not spread yourself so thin placing what amount to hedging bets on your bigger plays.
I see a lot of people messing up in regards to that. I am not a savant but I promise that I am a long term pretty decent $$$ winner and that is what I follow.
I also look to hit nice live odds when after round 1 the better conditioned or dynamic fighter goes to +money (Last night Milleander, & Pettis) didn’t bet on Perry because I was on him pre fight but they were all +money after the first round where I knew Curtis was the more dangerous fighter and I didn’t think Griffin would have the juice to take him down as easily going forward. Chiesa, missed weight, looked awful on the feet & was tired from running away from Pettis so dropped a nice amount on him,
Reevaluate start limiting plays and look for +money plays where the odds makers fuck up (Whittmire vs Moyle holy shit THANK YOU) and you will start to crush.
Ngannou/Lewis footnote on Wikipedia: