Dom hasn't fought in a long time and was getting KO'd multiple fights in a row when he last did fight. No question he had good skills at one point. Maybe the time away was well spent and his durability has bounced back and he's sharpened thing up with his game. No way I'd have any confidence in...
Man...I'd be worried about Dom's chin even if he was fighting a potted plant LOL. And Jacoby isn't a massive one hit KO guy but he has power enough. He's got a couple recent KO wins...
So this is interesting...Underdog is allowing parlays of fighters facing each other. The payouts are reduced but imo this still seems to present some massive value in certain spots.
For example, Rowe vs Matthews. Fight goes distance is -125, over 2.5 is -150. Rowe sig strikes is 39.5, Matthews...
I mean...if we think it's a striking match this dude fought Poatan 3 times in 2 years and went the distance in all 3. Won one of them, and all were competitive. I think from purely a striking perspective it's plenty fair to say he's at Perreira's level.
Now this is MMA so for sure there's a...
You'd think he'd have gassed badly last fight having to defend off his back for a round last fight then, right? Especially being a kickboxer vs a grappler? Bit he came out fresh rd 2 and smoked the dude.
Main daily fantasy plays:
PP:
Matthews under 91.5 fantasy score. Have it paired with multiple discounted props that already cashed. Risk of around $100 that will payout around $300.
Also Hafez over 1.5 takedowns, about half that amount.
UD:
Main play is Brown over 57.5 sig strikes+ Rowe over...
For sure it's not a guarantee that elite specialists translate. KB, grappling, anything. I **think** I've seen enough from Almeida to say he's gonna be successful in MMA for a bit but maybe I get proven wrong.
Yeah maybe Vettori we'd call a very capable MW wrestler too?
Anyway, Kopylov is a good striker but I think at least some of why he's looked really good at times is because of who he's striking against. Almeida has beaten some of the best kickboxers in the world. Because he is one. MMA is...
Oh of course there's no sure things. Fluffy tapping Viera was mostly (all) about Viera gassing horribly but your point is still valid. A better example would be Rothwell subbing Josh Barnett. Weird shit happens, I totally agree.
That said, while I slightly lean to the over too I'm not...
That's kind of a weird take to me. What in Kopylov's striking looks as good as Almeida's? Nothing I could find on tape. If like you said we're working under the assumption this is gonna essentially be a kickboxing fight with MMA gloves...Cesar is just the way better kickboxer. Of course that...
I'd rather play Holland itd than his ML probably. He tends to either look dominant, or flake out and lose. (A few exceptions but this is how I tend to view him).
I didn't bet him, should have. But based on the stylistic matchup and skillset I've seen I think Cesar has value up to maybe -140ish.
The guys that Roman has finished imo are all levels upon levels below Almeida in terms of striking. I'd be way more hesitant had I seen anything grappling-wise...
For anyone who plays DFS--Prizepicks and Underdog both have Hafez TD's at 1.5. Both @PuertoRican and I love the over. IMO it has more value than anything the books are offering on this week's "Sherdog Main Event". Gall hasn't been taken down a ton necessarily in his career (fought a lot of...
Cesar now the favorite over Kopylov. Who ever could've seen that coming?
**Raises hand**
Like I said to Stat Collector, this is EXACTLY the type opponent you'd give a striking specialist from K-1 to build him up. A solid guy that prefers to strike but doesn't have the pedigree or skills...
It can happen for sure. Lot of variables. What kind of camps has the guy done? How much weight has he been cutting all those years? What's his injury history?
Going back even farther than Joe Daddy, how about Karo Parysian? Same deal, was fighting grown men when he was 16. Karo also allegedly...
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