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    UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Lewis

    This Parisian-porter fight seems like a classic example of inflated contender series hype, wiki capping, and recency bias. Two first round finishes that really didn’t prove a whole lot. One by a spinning back fist - as someone who bet porter, I want Parisian to throw spinning shit as the chances...
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    Bellator Europe 8

    Why Penini? Okay striker but limited power and questionable grappling. Shipman just fought two superior fighters and arguably beat one of them. I think we're getting great odds on Ship here.
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    UFN 154 on ESPN+ 12 Moicano vs Korean Zombie

    I didn't know Wiman went vegan, thanks for that. Wiman controlling cole from top and getting an armbar from bottom vs sass isn't enough to make him black belt level imo. He may have been a decent gatekeeper in his prime, but would be shocked if he can even compete in this ufc landscape 5 years...
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    UFN 154 on ESPN+ 12 Moicano vs Korean Zombie

    Not at all. If you think Pena -400 is a bad bet, then you see Wiman winning over 20% of the time right? How does he win in these scenarios? Pena has great cardio, proven durability, easily superior striking that is getting better every fight. Again, Wiman retired 5 years ago - I doubt he shows...
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    UFN 154 on ESPN+ 12 Moicano vs Korean Zombie

    Notice the level of fighters you're referencing here. You're trying to compare legends of the game to a fringe level journeyman who is looking for a paycheck. And still, none of those examples were quite applicable. As far as Tamdan goes, there's a far cry from 23 and 28 to 30 and 35, especially...
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    UFN 154 on ESPN+ 12 Moicano vs Korean Zombie

    Any actual reasoning here? Easy to declare a blanket statement without providing any analysis. While you’re at it please present all the cases where a fighter has successfully come back from a 5 year layoff...
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    UFN 154 on ESPN+ 12 Moicano vs Korean Zombie

    You should be celebrating the free money my friend. The fact that Wiman was ever a ufc fighter is a clear example of the evolution of mma; he wouldn't be able to make it nowadays even if he was in his prime. Coming off a FIVE year layoff versus a hungry and dangerous Pena? Wiman has never been...
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    UFN 154 on ESPN+ 12 Moicano vs Korean Zombie

    I agree with you about her wins being overall unimpressive, although Ostovich if anything has shown great tdd throughout her career and was easily winning against pvz before making a dumb mistake. However Montana has shown toughness and competed with fighters who are equal or better to lee in...
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    UFN 154 on ESPN+ 12 Moicano vs Korean Zombie

    Lee would easily win if she fought smart, but not sure I can trust her to do so over -200. Against Evans-smith there was 3 different times in the first round where lee could’ve ended up on her back, one of which she just fell after a missed hook kick. DLRs top control and bjj is better than aes...
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    UFC 232 Jones vs Gustafsson II

    Funny how condescending you are while spouting blatantly wrong info. Mayweather-Mcgregor was never close to even odds. And as if the people at your bar represent the majority of everybody who watched <45>
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    UFC 232 Jones vs Gustafsson II

    Totally disagree that hall would take penn in a muay thai fight. Even a fat shot 40 y.o penn would easily beat hall in a straight striking bout; siver's a lifelong kickboxer who is superior to hall in every facet of striking and penn still almost had him out of there in r2. Considering penns tdd...
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    UFC 232 Jones vs Gustafsson II

    Not sure if the condit matchup is that straightforward, it wont be easy for chiesa to muscle the takedown on a bigger guy for once and condit won't make things easy for him...his bottom game used to get more credit but its still dangerous and more importantly will make chiesa work to keep him...
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    UFC on Fox 31 Iaquinta vs Lee II - BETS

    Man, I remember you touting the iaquinta/silva underdog double a week or more ago. Why add miller with all the unknowns and disadvantages there?? Sure, sprinkle a few bucks on miller as a big underdog and nobody could fault you. We have to trust our leans to some extent, nobody is going to be...
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    UFC Fight Night 137

    If he had a full camp and the bout was in neutral territory, I'd agree the lines should be evens. But the short notice+brazil is enough to give santos an edge here...lines seem accurate as they are imo.
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    UFC 228 - Till V Woodley

    Definitely not a tap - the bell had rung and dodson was indicating that. If you rewatch that fight it is clear he was never in any actual danger.
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    Professional Fighters League- 2018 Season (2)

    Mostly agree with this, although I do think Harris has a better chance than the odds indicate and such is worth a unit or two. Also, I've seen a few on Cooper but Kusch has many more tools at his disposal imo. 3u Nurma/harrison/story/mago to win 3u 1.5u harris to win 3.6u 2.5u Kusch to win 2u
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    Bellator 204 Caldwell vs Lahat

    Dvalishvili win is huge info, even if it was a few years back. Merab didn't develop those skills overnight.
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    Bellator 202 Budd vs Nogueira

    Jim what do you think about Ducote-Arteaga? Thought odds would be steeper given arteagas relative inexperience and wrestling disadvantage.
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    UFC FN 132 PBP/Discussion

    3.1k on viv
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