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You guys will have to excuse the absence of my typical Tips screenshot since cock sucking, bush league, “pro” fighting organization UFC is perfectly content with having inaccurate event times posted on popular sites online. Couldn’t get my picks in on Tips because I thought the fucking event...

I like Hill over Markos. Hill should have more output and a strong edge in movement. I think Randa is going to be chasing her and finding little success.

Another good card. Misentered the Grundy line, actually got +220, not +120, so actual profit was a little better. Wish I bet the Masvidal ML rather than the points handicap, but I felt the points handicap was safer.

There are a lot of sweeping generalizations here. The winning % you need to be profitable at -110 is completely irrelevant in mma. Winning % as a whole, really, is meaningless if you’re a serious bettor. I don’t care about it at all — I think I won 37% of my bets last year (spreadsheet tracks it...

One of my best cards ever. Makes up for my terrible card last week and then some.

Yea, I’m as big a Max fan as anybody but that’s silly. I’d cap Max like -140

You must have invented it then

Robbie crushed my soul. Such a good bet, such a stupid line, so fucking close to winning. Now I have to listen to the idiots who bet Askren at -2xx thinking they made the right choice

Coming off my worst card since 2017 last night. Going to hit Zaleski for 3-4u, and leaning Dariush for 1-2. Other than that no idea yet. Feel good about Zaleski though.

Maybe you’re right but I’d be shocked

Zabit is legit but he gets way more credit than he deserves because Bochniak stuck his tongue out at him. Same goes for Bochniak obviously, but Zabit too

Tecia is my favorite dog on the card. Got a very early line on her. She’s proven she’s a legit top 115er. Back to back losses to the two best fighters in the division just mean she isn’t elite. I’ll bet her over most 115ers at the moment. Zhang hasn’t fought anyone, definitely shouldn’t be...

Rose has Joanna’s number for whatever reason but I still believe Joanna is a better fighter and a much better striker.

Diego is on his way out, with 9 toes out the door already. this is a stepping stone for Gall. No way he loses.

Woodley will retire the WW GOAT, you will all see. Some good fights and great dogs on this card. Torres +155 is a great line. Losing to Joanna and Jessica back-to-back is irrelevant aside from proving Tecia isn’t the very best of the best. She’s still a legitimate top 115er. And Zhang has...

Joanna schooled Andrade with lateral movement and TDD, which Rose isn’t nearly as good at. I don’t see her stopping 5 rounds worth of relentless takedown attempts and pressure from Andrade, I just don’t. Andrade will walk through everything she throws. The only way I see rose winning is meme...

Sometimes, like Kron to get a sub in his debut was basically guaranteed. Bobby Cooper being fed to two competent grapplers that the UFC wanted to push. Shit like that. I don’t think there’s a resounding desire for a Pudilova win here, though. I don’t think anyone cares enough about her

All I know is I’m more confident in andrade than I have been in a bet for a while.

Not many ways Rose wins that imo. Meme sub is really the only way I see it happening. She’s outmatched everywhere

Lots of money has come in on Andrade already. She was at one point a +110 underdog and I was able to get 5u down on that line. Currently a -160 favorite. I cap her -300 in reality, expect her to close -200ish.