FSU got beat by every decent team they faced this year, including getting wrecked by BC, Alabama and Clemson. I just don't buy that a sophomore makes a 6 loss team into a 1 loss team. 3 or 4 loss at best. Maybe they beat NC St. and Louisville.
And preseason rankings are exactly the problem. It's garbage getting a 'quality win' against a team that has proven nothing. They shouldn't even have rankings until halfway through the season.
The AAC went 4-3 in bowl games, with wins against the Big 12, ACC and SEC. And half of UCF's wins were against bowl eligible teams (more than half after beating Auburn). They also completely destroyed teams all season. They didn't have a single win by less than a TD and 8 of their wins were by 25+