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- Oct 31, 2008
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The impression that I get is that many have more a libertarian mentality, but I haven't done any research on it either. I think Jeff Bezos is firmly in the liberal camp, but even guys like Elon Musk are more libertarians than they are anything else. I like to think that they understand the value of maximizing freedom of opportunity for everyone Trump absolutely lost support of some professionals, but I would say that's less about his actual policies and more about his temperament and how he presents himself.I don't see any inconsistency there. Haven't done any research on it, but the impression I get is that true titans of industry mostly lean a little left *despite* the fact that the right has policy preferences that are much better for their material interests. One interesting thing about the last election is that even though Trump's platform probably was the most extreme ever in terms of promoting upward redistribution, he lost support among professionals and gained it among the working class.
I'm not so sure. Rightly or wrongly (as I think these are all separate issues that probably deserve their own threads), there have been some pretty obvious examples of extremism from the left that include the shooting of a US Congressman, shooting of police officers, and rioting and destruction of cities. And after the Baltimore riots, the mayor said that those rioting needed a space away from the police to express their discontent instead of saying, "Hey, quit destroying the city you live in." You may think that I'm setting up a strawman argument, but I think that these extreme outliers show something that largely isn't there on the other side of the aisle. However, I do agree with you that the collective right has gone on for far too long about denying climate change. This is a really stupid position that clearly isn't correct, and it's stopping the real debate from happening, which is how to deal with it. Perhaps it's about getting tax credits for reducing carbon output, creating incentives for alternative fuel sources, additional regulation (which I think may not be the right option), or other things. I mean, look at China! In the past few weeks, they reported that cutting carbon outputs has forced them to become more efficient in their manufacturing strategies as a means of reducing overhead, so they've essentially broken even while producing less environmental waste. There is not a person alive today that can reasonably argue that this isn't a good thing (unless you want to make the argument that China is out-innovating us, and to that, it's a simple response of saying that there isn't anything holding us back from doing the same thing other than ourselves). So yes, there are some stupid positions held. Based on some of your posts that I've read, I might ascertain that you're not such a big fan of the argument for increasing gun regulation or banning firearms? I don't want to put words in your mouth, so I'll let you answer that one. But this is one issue where I think that the rank-and-file Democrats are doing things with their feelings rather than the facts.The case is often made. Where I see a difference is that climate-science denial and various dumb economic ideas are mainstream on the right in a way that Trigglypuff or whatever is not on the left. And intelligent people on both sides is a given, but one side appealing more to intelligent people is, too. See the point about the Indians and Angels. Also, I don't think common ground is really possible on the big issues.
Look at healthcare. Should the gov't do more to ensure its affordability or less? There's no middle ground there. Even keeping things the same isn't on the table and isn't acceptable to either side. It's not a matter of intelligence (though I think a careful look at the arguments shows that the popular reasons given by the right are bunk); it's a matter of values. Some people think it is immoral to tax wealthy people more to ensure that everyone has access to care and some think that it's immoral not to. My position on this forum is mostly that we should get the facts right first and then argue (meaning the argument should be "is it good or not good to redistribute downward to ensure that everyone can get care?" rather than having to go through mountains of bullshit), but that still enrages many people.
Yeah, there some issues that we won't find common ground on. And we should debate them. And we should have people interested in the facts of the debate instead of sound bytes. I guess the real questions are how do we get the voters to care about the details of the issue, and how do we present those facts in a manner that people will digest?
I agree that people will not be argued out of their emotions. We really do live in an era of "snowflakes." One of the things that I had drilled into my head when I was going through the Special Forces Qualification Course was to leave all ego at the door and to not be too arrogant to learn. For many, regardless of political ideology, this is a really hard concept to learn. We, as a society, have forgotten how to deal with failure, be honest about what our mistakes were, and learn from them. The people we should be most critical of is ourselves. If we do that, we will actually find that we can learn an absolute ton from life, watching others, and our successes and failures. I worry about our resilience as a people.Sure, if everyone is on the level, there are issues that can be settled. But what about, say, immigration? The economic case against low-skill immigration is weak, and the economic case for high-skill immigration having clear benefits to the native population is overwhelming. So if someone really buys the economic case against immigration, an agreement can probably be reached, but what about people who advance those arguments not because they believe them but because they have other reasons for not wanting immigration that they prefer not to express? Can't really expect much from them other than resentment that their surface argument is trampled. People aren't going to be argued out of their emotions.
The recession was a rough go for everyone. At this point, the American economy is almost too big to fail. Systems of economic interdependence will drag the European and Asian markets down with us if we go down, and that's probably a good thing. Generally speaking, that should create incentives to use diplomacy, trade, and intelligence instead of using military might to solve problems. The truth of the matter is that no one was really talking about the stuff that matters on the MSM. I've thought for a long time that if you want to get the best political news out there, turn on the financial news reports. What are the Central Banks doing around the world? What are the big mergers? How are the markets reacting? As they say, follow the money. Everything else is a passing issue, the flavor of the week.The economy under Obama did outperform almost the entire Western world, and inflation was extremely low (and below wage growth). And further, we could have improved much faster if we had a stronger monetary and fiscal policy response, and Congressional obstructionism was a big reason that it was muted on the fiscal side (and irrational fear of inflation hurt the monetary response). But anyway, ridiculous notions pop up everywhere but are shot down on the left because the left doesn't have an alternative bullshit media structure.
I'm calling that a success thenAgain, see the baseball example. As written, this is true.
Donald Trump is a black swan event in a lot of ways. He was hounded by the media, and his response was that the media was worthless, simply out to get him, and that their opinion of him shouldn't matter. And people went along with it. For virtually every other candidate, they reacted to what the media said about them. Trump getting called out by journalists is just another Tuesday to him, so it's honestly hard to compare them. A better examination of the media might be George W Bush. At the very beginning, the media largely held an adversarial approach, which can be pretty common. They were adversarial with Bill Clinton, George HW Bush, Reagan, Carter, and others. And the W Administration just kept being very tight-lipped and non-disclosing. So they tried playing nice with them to get them to come out of their hole, and that didn't work for a few years. After the reelection, they decided to quit that and went for blood. And they got it. McCain was going to lose that election, and most people could see that coming a mile out. So my point that any usual candidate would have been slaughtered for holding such positions, but Trump was anything but usual, so normal metrics don't apply to him.Sure, but if Clinton had come out as an anti-vaxxer, she would have been crucified in the media for it and rightly lost huge amounts of support and the nomination if it were at the same point in the campaign.