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Discussion in 'MMA Betting Discussion' started by EzFlyer, Dec 2, 2017.
I woke and and came to my senses.
Cashed out on Jackson for no loss.
Love the early start
Do we know when the Bella portion starts?
Online it said 5:30 ish for first main card fight, could be wrong but they’re usually correct.
Fuck this card. I'm passing never got time for Val Jackson tape but im glad im not indulging on this card.
Any leans to Ryan Scope vs Lebout ?
Scope looked good if i remember rightly even tho he lost his last fight. Could be too much too soon but impossible to cap IMO.
WTF ? Can someone tell me why Kams Ekpo is a dog against Rhys Mckee ???
Only wikicappin but ekpo doesn't have single good win?
oh good point
Found a HL
LOL I'm flattered that you think that but what you are saying is highly unlikely. I didn't move anything, some high level bettors can see that Jackson is a sharp play and they came in, good for them.
So many people seem to overvalue this forum's influence on MMA betting. This forum probably doesn't even make up 1% of the money that is wagered on this sport.
And LOL at you guys flip flopping on Jackson vs Valerie. Do your own research and make a decision for yourselves, stop relying on random people on the internet.
not trying to flame you but sadistics and ez are constantly on the openers, both ml and props, and if you are 15-30 minutes behind the values have been bled dry, worthless for the most part
30-40 percent moves are not uncommon, especially on the props
Flame me? Openers always move quickly. I don't get your point, EZ bets like $50 per bet, very insignificant.
Maybe only 1% of the money wagered on the sport, but I think it'd make up a larger percentage of obscure-ass Bellator fights. I remember one dude in the R/sportsbook discord managing to push a Bellator undercard ML from 2.9 to 1.6 with like 20k, which really isn't a huge amount of money. There's also a decent cluster of profitable bettors in here, which likely means our opinions are worth more than some random drunken Aussie swinging with a 1k 'clip' since they like given dudes.
but im assuming a lot of people here follow both ez and sadistics plays, dont have time to do their own research.
and since there is very limited liquidity on prop bets, especially on big plus money odds(+500-2000), lines can move very quickly.
Just seen Jackson’s gone to fave on best fight odds for most American books roughly 2.4 to 1.8-1.9
Yeah I'm sure its not hard to move Bellator lines but still, I highly doubt my post had anything to do with the movement on Jackson, the timing was just a coincidence. There's like 20 people contributing to this Bellator thread and most are casual bettors.
You do see sharp action on insignificant WMMA fights. A great example is Wu vs Mazany. Wu opened as a dog and she got hammered until she was a favourite, a lot of action came in the day before the fight. I didn't understand the movement at all, I actually bet a lot on Mazany. After the fight Mazany reveals that she had a broken toe and was on crutches for half her training camp. Sharp bettors had inside info and they faded her which explains the movement. Didn't work out for them but that was sharp action on Wu.
The way the odds moved on Jackson, tells me that significant money came in fast which means it's probably sharp money. She was hammered across the board and moved 40 points quickly. Maybe there's some inside info on Valerie or maybe bettors are just following the same plan as myself and fading Valerie long term $$$
Sticking with my Val fade because it's the right play (i.e. keeping good habits). She sucks - I don't care what others say, she was a total passenger in the JJ fight, and a proven quitter too. The other girl is not good either but I made the dog play.
I just went in betfred to finish my ufc bets and had a look on their machine. They have odds for fabian edwards -350 which looks like free money. So i doubled him with dizy @ -120. Im considering fabian a lock so even tho i didnt want to bet dizy @ -230 i feel like im getting him @ -120 so i bit. Hopefully fabian doesnt bite me in the arse but hes looked legit so far. War dizy dont get fuckin brabo choked