I don't know shit about Williams other than her most recent fight. That being said, that recent performance is enough to make me want to pick her to win and bet on her as a dog (I'm not betting at all on this Bellator card).
There is no way in hell I nor you can trust Valerie in this spot. Yeah, she has several advantages on paper, but she has proven more than once that those advantages on paper don't mean shit.
Valerie had one good fight in the UFC that made us stop and think how decent/good she is, but then she turned into a steaming pile of Canadian moose dung right after that fight, and stunk up the cage in subsequent fights.
I bet on Valerie against Viviane Pereira and thought she looked decent enough to win Round 1. But, something changed in her mind and she just gave up in R2 and R3. It was weird cuz I could see the switch in caring and momentum, and was shocked that a girl who was taller, longer, had better technical boxing, UFC experience, and was fighting in her hometown would lose to a midget in a fight like this. IIRC, the crowd booed, but it was a clear win for the midget.
It's one thing to lose a fight, but to lose a fight because of you not caring and/or your will to keep fighting and/or push yourself is not there, then it's time to retire.
Several of you have bets on Valerie, so good luck with that. I personally wouldn't bet her as a dog here. If I was forced to bet this fight, I'd only bet Williams as a dog.