A: You dont know anything about probabilities.
B: GSP has already tapped to strikes once (counts as a submission in betting), it might actually be a +EV bet.
Lol if you could not decipher the meaning of my post you're either
A: an idiot which there is no point in talking to you further
B: so literal you cannot have a conversation with through text because nothing is interpreted perfectly
C: your some kind of a wizard who can see the future and think bad bets are good because you know the outcome of the future....are you a wizard?
Its a bad bet guy we all know it. The Serra thing was an insane outcome for it to happen again would be very unlikely the post was a statement of generalization just to show how bad the bet was in my view not to be taken as a literal statement. Which everyone but you seemed to understand
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