Non-MMA Sports Betting Discussion - August 2016

[chill doggie]

Damn taking a lick in MLB, glad I went conservative.

 

[piglord]

Was that his bet?

yeah i got wind of his world series pick around the time i was on a really hot mma streak so i threw a few hundred on it. odds have dropped a lot since.

 

[blokeybloke]

Monaco are 550+ to win Group E in Champions Lg

I'm not regularly a futures bettor but will be hard to pass this one up.

 

[iGnP]

fucking rangers... always seem to pull that shit when i bet against them

 

[piglord]

fucking rangers... always seem to pull that shit when i bet against them

if it's any consolation i cashed out my bet for a small loss when it went 7-6 mariners. fuck that's two nights in a row i've cashed out premature on winning bets.

bet365 must have made so much money from me on the cash out feature. i literally always cash out wins and let loses ride.

 

[mkess101]

You have to question why a guy who just made $800k (and brags about it) is begging for subscribers still?

I mean, you just said you earned more today than I will in my life. Why are you begging me for $$$?! All touts are frauds and no one will be able to convince me otherwise. Don't get me wrong, some are more successful than others; but if you're that good why are you not just winning and/or raising the outlay rather than begging people for arbitrary amounts to become 'a valued client'...

So I don't know what his overall #'s look like, but he lost $1m betting Meisha against Nunes. It's not all sunshine and roses for him.

 

[iGnP]

if it's any consolation i cashed out my bet for a small loss when it went 7-6 mariners. fuck that's two nights in a row i've cashed out premature on winning bets.

bet365 must have made so much money from me on the cash out feature. i literally always cash out wins and let loses ride.

just dont even bother watching the games, bro. place the bet, go do something else, and check the score when the games over. live betting can be a bitch

 

[iGnP]

So I don't know what his overall #'s look like, but he lost $1m betting Meisha against Nunes. It's not all sunshine and roses for him.

there's a dude on another forum that basically told what Vegas Dave's service is about. He has you set aside a good chunk of money in order to use his system. Then he has 'series' bets, which is a chase system. I think the chase system went up to 5 games or something. So with every bet that you lose, youre risking more on the next bet. i dont want to speculate but his '1' loss probably offsets a great chunk of what he's won, since apparently the majority of his plays are on highly juiced favorites

 

[mkess101]

there's a dude on another forum that basically told what Vegas Dave's service is about. He has you set aside a good chunk of money in order to use his system. Then he has 'series' bets, which is a chase system. I think the chase system went up to 5 games or something. So with every bet that you lose, youre risking more on the next bet. i dont want to speculate but his '1' loss probably offsets a great chunk of what he's won, since apparently the majority of his plays are on highly juiced favorites

That's the dumbest thing I've ever heard. It's like people who double their bet every time they lose at blackjack or roulette. Yes, the odds say you won't lose 5, 6, 7 hands/spins in a row too often. But it doesn't have to happen too often for you to be ruined when it does.

It's even worse betting big favorites (though I know Vegas Dave has hit some dog bets too to be fair) since as you said your losses on an individual fight/game are far bigger than your wins.

If he's actually advocating this "system" he's worse than a fraud, he's probably ruining the lives of certain very gullible people.

 

[iGnP]

That's the dumbest thing I've ever heard. It's like people who double their bet every time they lose at blackjack or roulette. Yes, the odds say you won't lose 5, 6, 7 hands/spins in a row too often. But it doesn't have to happen too often for you to be ruined when it does.

It's even worse betting big favorites (though I know Vegas Dave has hit some dog bets too to be fair) since as you said your losses on an individual fight/game are far bigger than your wins.

If he's actually advocating this "system" he's worse than a fraud, he's probably ruining the lives of certain very gullible people.

That's how he claims a 28-1 record (I don't know exact numbers, just a ball park number). If he loses the first four bets in a series but hits the last one, he considers it a win

 

[mkess101]

That's how he claims a 28-1 record (I don't know exact numbers, just a ball park number). If he loses the first four bets in a series but hits the last one, he considers it a win

I'm sure he's net positive if he's something similar to that on his "series" bets, but it's a long term recipe for going bankrupt potentially. Betting mostly heavy favorites and increasing your bet substantially each time you lose means a lot of smallish wins and a few gigantic losses. Yes if you can spread out those losses enough it can work, but one bad stretch where you lose a few "series" of bets and you are sunk.

 

[iGnP]

I'm sure he's net positive if he's something similar to that on his "series" bets, but it's a long term recipe for going bankrupt potentially. Betting mostly heavy favorites and increasing your bet substantially each time you lose means a lot of smallish wins and a few gigantic losses. Yes if you can spread out those losses enough it can work, but one bad stretch where you lose a few "series" of bets and you are sunk.

Exactly this. I'm not saying he's losing people money left and right but man id feel so uneasy once those juiced favorites start losing. Imagine how much you'd be risking on the last game in order to win back everything you lost

 

[iGnP]

Seriously dont understand how the mariners/rangers game is basically a pick em. HUGE pitching mismatch for the Mariners. this has to be a trap

 

[chill doggie]

Rangers last night was the only thing I hit lol, if Blue Jays had won and Nationals 1.5 would have hit I would have made decent coin.

Fucked up and didn't plan for todays games AND woke up late to get to the casino on time, anything else pops out?

 

[iGnP]

Rangers last night was the only thing I hit lol, if Blue Jays had won and Nationals 1.5 would have hit I would have made decent coin.

Fucked up and didn't plan for todays games AND woke up late to get to the casino on time, anything else pops out?

ill prob live bet the Tigers if they dont score in the bottom of the third. verlander is dealing and sale isnt missing bats. lots of contact

im on texas but ill feel square if they lose

i have a couple of plays later but im not sure which ones the best. will post later

 

[iGnP]

meh, only other play i like today are the angels and angels -1.5

Edit ignore, trout and pujols are out

 

[cs02132]

Monaco are 550+ to win Group E in Champions Lg

I'm not regularly a futures bettor but will be hard to pass this one up.

That's def a good bet.

I was actually thinking about dropping the $500 for Arsenal to advance from their group lol

 

[blokeybloke]

That's def a good bet.

I was actually thinking about dropping the $500 for Arsenal to advance from their group lol

For all the shit Arsene constantly gets from his own fans, he has the best starting XI in the Prem, imo.

 

[chill doggie]

I knew I should have taken Marlins out almost immediately but did have faith on Blue Jays.

 

[chill doggie]

Will hopefully bank on Cardinals ML today.
St Louis has good road record, their rookie pitcher has performed very well, Brewers weak offense.