Rizin 4 OW GP Final (Dec. 31st)
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Both the Dec. 29th card and this NYE card are apparently going to be streamed for free and with English commentary again like the most recent Rizin card at 1 AM EST on the 29th and same time on the 31st. Will Krazy Horse once again stop kickboxer turned neophyte MMA fighter Minoru Kimura in the first round? Will Kron's Gracie BJJ be any match for the experience of Tatsuya Kawajiri? Stream will be at https://eversport.tv/fight-sports/rizin
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I doubt it... Kron will have no reason to fear him and BJJ is the best energy conserving style, especially in a 20 minute fight. This is probably one of the best guys in all of MMA Kron could be facing in terms of matchup and the potential for a quality win.
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kawa slows down plenty, though..
My thoughts on the rest of the tournament: I won money yesterday with Cro Cop beating King Mo, but I believe Baruto is going to be a tough challenge for him in the semi-finals despite the vast striking and experience advantage. Unlike in the King Mo fight, Cro Cops is the much smaller man here and Baruto is deceptively quick and skilled at getting the takedowns. I don't think Cro Cop's leg or body kicks are likely to hurt Baruto due to his massive size and padding. Unless he catches Baruto clean to the head or chin with punches or kicks I think Baruto will push Cro Cop into the corner post or ropes and then get relatively easy takedowns. Baruto will use his 400 pound bulk to hold Cro Cop down. We'll see if Cro Cop gets the benefit of referee standups which may help Cro Cop back up to his feet. If not, I think Baruto will take the decision, especially in a two round fight.
Aliakbari meanwhile, despite his great wrestling, seemed to have absolutely no submission skills and also gassed out in his fight against Heath Herring. I believe Herring would have stopped an exhausted Aliakbari if that went to a third round. I think Moldavsky will be too well rounded for Aliakbari. He's either going to avoid takedowns or perhaps reverse position and get up if he is taken down and then probably punish Aliakbari to get a stoppage or decision.
I'll have to bet Baruto in the semis over Cro Cop if he's a decent underdog and Moldavsky over Aliakbari if a smallish favorite. My finals prediction is Baruto vs Moldavsky and that will be a tough one depending on how the semi-finals go, but if I had to pick I'd say Moldavsky wins it all.
Aliakbari meanwhile, despite his great wrestling, seemed to have absolutely no submission skills and also gassed out in his fight against Heath Herring. I believe Herring would have stopped an exhausted Aliakbari if that went to a third round. I think Moldavsky will be too well rounded for Aliakbari. He's either going to avoid takedowns or perhaps reverse position and get up if he is taken down and then probably punish Aliakbari to get a stoppage or decision.
I'll have to bet Baruto in the semis over Cro Cop if he's a decent underdog and Moldavsky over Aliakbari if a smallish favorite. My finals prediction is Baruto vs Moldavsky and that will be a tough one depending on how the semi-finals go, but if I had to pick I'd say Moldavsky wins it all.
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Weigh-In Notes:
Cro Cop wasn't present to line up with the other three tournament participants at the beginning of the weigh-ins for the photo op with the belt for some reason. Hope that doesn't mean anything.
Looks like they found an opponent for Tenshin Nasukawa and booked him on 48 hours turnaround to replace the Krazy Horse vs Minoura re-match that got cancelled. I recognize his blue haired Japanese opponent from somewhere but can't think of who it is offhand and didn't catch his name. This may be a much tougher fight than yesterday's for Tenshin if this guy is as experienced as I suspect.
The woman that is facing Gabi Garcia looks like they pulled one of the ring girl's grandmothers out of the crowd and dressed her in some ridiculous wrestling outfit. Gabi towers over this 49 year old woman. Holy cow what a mismatch!
American atomweight Andy Nguyen looks pretty fit, not to mention attractive, and actually has much more experience than her opponent with a 3-3 MMA record. She may give Kid Yamamoto's 42 year old sister Miyu who has only one pro fight- which she lost- some trouble..
Young shootboxer Rena Kubota looks very "marketable" and should do well against this Polish girl they brought in to face her.
Erson Yamamoto (Kid's nephew and Miyu's son) is facing a big experience gap against Hideo Tokoro.
Kron Gracie has purple tinged unkempt hair for some reason and Kawajiri faced off with him wearing a wrestling mask.
Cro Cop wasn't present to line up with the other three tournament participants at the beginning of the weigh-ins for the photo op with the belt for some reason. Hope that doesn't mean anything.
Looks like they found an opponent for Tenshin Nasukawa and booked him on 48 hours turnaround to replace the Krazy Horse vs Minoura re-match that got cancelled. I recognize his blue haired Japanese opponent from somewhere but can't think of who it is offhand and didn't catch his name. This may be a much tougher fight than yesterday's for Tenshin if this guy is as experienced as I suspect.
The woman that is facing Gabi Garcia looks like they pulled one of the ring girl's grandmothers out of the crowd and dressed her in some ridiculous wrestling outfit. Gabi towers over this 49 year old woman. Holy cow what a mismatch!
American atomweight Andy Nguyen looks pretty fit, not to mention attractive, and actually has much more experience than her opponent with a 3-3 MMA record. She may give Kid Yamamoto's 42 year old sister Miyu who has only one pro fight- which she lost- some trouble..
Young shootboxer Rena Kubota looks very "marketable" and should do well against this Polish girl they brought in to face her.
Erson Yamamoto (Kid's nephew and Miyu's son) is facing a big experience gap against Hideo Tokoro.
Kron Gracie has purple tinged unkempt hair for some reason and Kawajiri faced off with him wearing a wrestling mask.
Also I should mention, Kawajiri was crouching in an exaggerated wrestling pose and they didn't stand very close together at the face off but Kron looked significantly bigger than him. I like my Kron action at the +170 opener, just wish I put more than a tiny 0.3 units on it.
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They have a line for Crocop?
Edit: I just checked and they do not. Agree with Jim on Baruto. Was fairly suprised by his ability to close distance quickly and even his cardio. Think he gives Cro Cop trouble.
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Cro Cop is around -333 I think.
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Bennett -333
Kimura +220
Aliakbari +115
Moldavsky -161
CroCop -333
Baruto +220
Sakurai -400
Sakata +255
Garcia -2000
Hotta +660
Saiga -200
West +140
Nguyen -182
Yamamoto +128
Kubota -590
Gujwan +335
Tokoro -238
Yamamoto +165
Kawajiri -147
Gracie +105
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if these line are anything to go by you will get your wish:
https://www.1xbet.com/da/line/Martial-Arts/1124401-Combatsport-Rizin-FF/
Baruto +242
Moldavsky -140
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Please give me Aliakbari as a dog 5d.
Aliakbari is bigger, but not immensely so to my eye. He has great takedowns but he seems to have no idea how to actually hold another fighter down and zero sub game plus bad cardio. Moldavsky doesn't look scared one bit. I don't think I'd bet Aliakbari if he was +150.
