Spain to overtake Japan in Life Expectancy by the year 2040

Arkain2K

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Spain to lead Japan in global life expectancy
By Rob Picheta, CNN | October 18, 2018​


Spain will overtake Japan's long-held position at the top of the world's life expectancy table by 2040, while the United States is set to take a big fall in rankings, new research finds.

People in Spain will live for 85.8 years on average, marginally edging out expected lifespans in Japan (85.7), Singapore (85.4) and Switzerland (85.2).

The United States will take the biggest drop in ranking of all high-income countries, falling from 43rd in 2016 to 64th by 2040, with an average life expectancy of 79.8.

The US will be overtaken by China, which rises 29 places to 39th in the table.

Americans will live only 1.1 years longer on average in 2040 compared to 2016, well below the average global rise of 4.4 years over that same period.

"Whether we see significant progress or stagnation depends on how well or poorly health systems address key health drivers," said Kyle Foreman, director of data science at the Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME) and lead author of the study.

"The future of the world's health is not pre-ordained, and there is a wide range of plausible trajectories," said Forman.

The findings add to a study last month which found that adhering to a Mediterranean diet can prolong people's lives.

Spain is one of several European countries to offer tax-funded healthcare, with their healthcare system ranked as the seventh best in the world by the World Health Organization.

Neighboring Portugal was the biggest riser in the top 20, forecasted to add 3.6 years to its average life expectancy and rising from 23rd to fifth. Italy moved up one spot from seventh to sixth.

The study, published in the journal Lancet on Tuesday, analyzed data from the 2016 Global Burden of Diseases project, to generate predictions from 2017 to 2040.

The impacts of diseases such as diabetes, HIV/AIDS and cancers, as well as risk factors including diet and smoking rates were taken into account by researchers at the IHME.

The factors which caused the most premature mortalities were high blood pressure, high body mass index, high blood sugar, tobacco use and alcohol use, the researchers said.

According to the new research, British people's average lifespan will be 83.3 years (an increase of 2.5 years), Germans' will be 83.2 (up by 2.3 years) and an average Australian will live until age 84.1, a rise of 1.6 years which keeps them in the overall top ten.

Syria is forecast to see the largest rise globally, adding more than 10 years to its average lifespan (to 78.6 years) and climbing from 137th to 80th, assuming its devastating civil war comes to an end.

https://www.cnn.com/2018/10/17/health/life-expectancy-forecasts-study-intl/index.html
 
Last edited:
Ranked 43rd and 78.7 years.

I know the ranking is bad but its really fucking good...it's amazing how much humans live expectancy has risen a shitload in the last 100 years, all over the world.

I know people are gonna bitch about America's score, but just keep that in perspective.

Imagine if we had universal healthcare instead of this waterdown crap.



This video puts things in perspective
 
Good climate
Overall good culinary traditions
Functional healthcare
Beautiful women

I can see why Spain is ranked high
 
These countries may soon have the highest life expectancies
By Ashley Welch CBS News October 18, 2018​


Japan currently ranks first in the world with an average lifespan of 82.9 years as of 2016. The country is projected to fall to second place by 2040 with an average lifespan of 85.8 years.

Spain, currently in fourth place with an average lifespan of 82.9 years, is expected to gain almost three years of longevity to claim the top spot by 2040.

The top 10 countries with the highest average life expectancies forecasted for 2040 are:
  1. Spain - 85.8 years
  2. Japan - 85.7 years
  3. Singapore - 85.4 years
  4. Switzerland - 85.2 years
  5. Portugal - 84.5 years
  6. Italy - 84.5 years
  7. Israel - 84.4 years
  8. France - 84.3 years
  9. Luxembourg - 84.1 years
  10. Australia - 84.1 years

In 2016, the U.S. ranked 43rd in the world, with an average lifespan of 78.7 years. By 2040, Americans' life expectancy is forecast to increase, but only by 1.1 years to 79.8. This causes the U.S. to plummet in rank to 64th.

The study, published in the international medical journal The Lancet, offers unique new insights into the health statuses of nations worldwide.

"The future of the world's health is not pre-ordained, and there is a wide range of plausible trajectories," Dr. Kyle Foreman, the lead author of the study, said in a statement. "But whether we see significant progress or stagnation depends on how well or poorly health systems address key health drivers." Foreman is director of Data Science at the Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME) at the University of Washington.

In contrast to the U.S., China's life expectancy is expected to drastically increase over the next couple of decades. In 2016, it ranked 68th among 195 nations, with an average life expectancy of 76.3 years. However, if recent health trends continue, by 2040 it could rise to a rank of 39th with an average life expectancy of 81.9 years.

The study also takes a look at some of the conditions that are shortening people's lives, and projects a significant increase in deaths from non-communicable diseases including diabetes, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD), chronic kidney disease, and lung cancer. It warns, as well, of worsening health outcomes linked to obesity.

The researchers say the top five health factors that explain most of the future trajectory for premature death are high blood pressure, high body mass index, high blood sugar, tobacco use, and alcohol use. Air pollution ranked sixth.

https://www.cbsnews.com/news/countries-highest-life-expectancies-by-2040/
 
Last edited:
Arkain2K said:
Japan currently ranks first in the world with an average lifespan of 82.9 years as of 2016. The country is projected to fall to second place by 2040 with an average lifespan of 85.8 years.

Spain, currently in fourth place with an average lifespan of 82.9 years, is expected to gain almost three years of longevity to claim the top spot by 2040.

The top 10 countries with the highest average life expectancies forecasted for 2040 are:
  1. Spain - 85.8 years
  2. Japan - 85.7 years
  3. Singapore - 85.4 years
  4. Switzerland - 85.2 years
  5. Portugal - 84.5 years
  6. Italy - 84.5 years
  7. Israel - 84.4 years
  8. France - 84.3 years
  9. Luxembourg - 84.1 years
  10. Australia - 84.1 years

In 2016, the U.S. ranked 43rd in the world, with an average lifespan of 78.7 years. By 2040, Americans' life expectancy is forecast to increase, but only by 1.1 years to 79.8. This causes the U.S. to plummet in rank to 64th.

The study, published in the international medical journal The Lancet, offers unique new insights into the health statuses of nations worldwide.

"The future of the world's health is not pre-ordained, and there is a wide range of plausible trajectories," Dr. Kyle Foreman, the lead author of the study, said in a statement. "But whether we see significant progress or stagnation depends on how well or poorly health systems address key health drivers." Foreman is director of Data Science at the Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME) at the University of Washington.

In contrast to the U.S., China's life expectancy is expected to drastically increase over the next couple of decades. In 2016, it ranked 68th among 195 nations, with an average life expectancy of 76.3 years. However, if recent health trends continue, by 2040 it could rise to a rank of 39th with an average life expectancy of 81.9 years.

The study also takes a look at some of the conditions that are shortening people's lives, and projects a significant increase in deaths from non-communicable diseases including diabetes, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD), chronic kidney disease, and lung cancer. It warns, as well, of worsening health outcomes linked to obesity.

The researchers say the top five health factors that explain most of the future trajectory for premature death are high blood pressure, high body mass index, high blood sugar, tobacco use, and alcohol use. Air pollution ranked sixth.

https://www.cbsnews.com/news/countries-highest-life-expectancies-by-2040/
Click to expand...


Wow obbesity, high blood pressure,high sugar,alcohol use and depression. It sure looks good for me hmmn. I guess good bye Sherdog hahahahah.
 
Seems like something that would be impossible to honestly project outside of an educated guess. I imagine medicine is going to change a lot in that time as well.
 
The Muslims will wipe them all out long before then, amirite?
 
So if you hit 78 in the US you should move to Spain and get another 7 years.

What could possibly change in the next 22 years to make this prediction inaccurate though but I guess in 22 years time it'll be easier for Americans to relocate to Spain as they'll share the same language, Spanish.
 
I'll believe it when I see it.
 
Arkain2K said:
These countries may soon have the highest life expectancies
By Ashley Welch CBS News October 18, 2018​


Japan currently ranks first in the world with an average lifespan of 82.9 years as of 2016. The country is projected to fall to second place by 2040 with an average lifespan of 85.8 years.

Spain, currently in fourth place with an average lifespan of 82.9 years, is expected to gain almost three years of longevity to claim the top spot by 2040.

The top 10 countries with the highest average life expectancies forecasted for 2040 are:
  1. Spain - 85.8 years
  2. Japan - 85.7 years
  3. Singapore - 85.4 years
  4. Switzerland - 85.2 years
  5. Portugal - 84.5 years
  6. Italy - 84.5 years
  7. Israel - 84.4 years
  8. France - 84.3 years
  9. Luxembourg - 84.1 years
  10. Australia - 84.1 years

In 2016, the U.S. ranked 43rd in the world, with an average lifespan of 78.7 years. By 2040, Americans' life expectancy is forecast to increase, but only by 1.1 years to 79.8. This causes the U.S. to plummet in rank to 64th.

The study, published in the international medical journal The Lancet, offers unique new insights into the health statuses of nations worldwide.

"The future of the world's health is not pre-ordained, and there is a wide range of plausible trajectories," Dr. Kyle Foreman, the lead author of the study, said in a statement. "But whether we see significant progress or stagnation depends on how well or poorly health systems address key health drivers." Foreman is director of Data Science at the Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME) at the University of Washington.

In contrast to the U.S., China's life expectancy is expected to drastically increase over the next couple of decades. In 2016, it ranked 68th among 195 nations, with an average life expectancy of 76.3 years. However, if recent health trends continue, by 2040 it could rise to a rank of 39th with an average life expectancy of 81.9 years.

The study also takes a look at some of the conditions that are shortening people's lives, and projects a significant increase in deaths from non-communicable diseases including diabetes, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD), chronic kidney disease, and lung cancer. It warns, as well, of worsening health outcomes linked to obesity.

The researchers say the top five health factors that explain most of the future trajectory for premature death are high blood pressure, high body mass index, high blood sugar, tobacco use, and alcohol use. Air pollution ranked sixth.

https://www.cbsnews.com/news/countries-highest-life-expectancies-by-2040/
Click to expand...

Am I wrong in my evaluation that all 10 of those countries have universal health care?
 
Son of Jamin said:
Good climate
Overall good culinary traditions
Functional healthcare
Beautiful women

I can see why Spain is ranked high
Click to expand...

@ElKarlo
Japan seems to me to have a problem with depression. Which would hurt their life expectancy.
 
MicroBrew said:
@ElKarlo
Japan seems to me to have a problem with depression. Which would hurt their life expectancy.
Click to expand...
Haha oh man. I've worked at a lot of schools here, private and public. Tons of teachers have had break downs. The hikkikomori or self imposed isolation is real here. Mental health is still very much ignored here
 
That high youth unemployment will work wonders for long life.
 
ElKarlo said:
Haha oh man. I've worked at a lot of schools here, private and public. Tons of teachers have had break downs. The hikkikomori or self imposed isolation is real here. Mental health is still very much ignored here
Click to expand...
It was the same thing in the MidEast, when I lived there. The South Asians and MidEasterners didn't accept or acknowledge depression. In those cultures it was never seen as a legit medical condition. If a person brought up depression, society would laugh and admonish him/her for making excuses .
 
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