Thoughts on this multi-bet?

Frankie beats KZ is scary to me tbh. At some point Frankie has to have a downward spiral.
 
Wizzlebiz said:
Frankie beats KZ is scary to me tbh. At some point Frankie has to have a downward spiral.
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Agreed, but is it going to start now? Against a guy who has fought for 2:50 in the last 5 years?
 
i wanna know what in the world would make you think Brunson is going to win that fight? That is a one sided ass whooping and Brunson is on the receiving end.
 
Shit bet from a shit poster in a shit thread in the wrong section
 
xhaydenx said:
Thinking of throwing 5k down on this multi-bet. The return is 41k. What do you guys think?

DC to beat Lewis.
Blaydes to beat Ngannou
Frankie to beat Korean Zombie
Brunson to beat Adesyana.

My only real worry is Brunson. I think he's way more than Adesyana has faced, but I do believe he'll turn the wrestling on and win easy if he has to. Although, we have seen him become hesitant against decent strikers like when he fougth Silva, but then he also finished Hall, Machida and Larkin, who are good strikers. Blaydes should be too much for timid Ngannou in this rematch, Frankie has had 11 fights since 2013 while Zombie has had 1 which lasted only 2:50, and DC should completely slaughter Lewis.
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I admire the thought you put into this, but damn, thats alot of money on a parlay. If you just made a nice commission, or somehow have the $ burning a hole in your pocket, then go for it. If its really gonna sting, Id say dont do it
If you do it, Ill put $250 down on the same parlay. I know, chump change, but fuck it. Im in
And before all the "bet slip or fuck off" people jump in, yes Ill do it
 
xhaydenx said:
Thinking of throwing 5k down on this multi-bet. The return is 41k. What do you guys think?

DC to beat Lewis.
Blaydes to beat Ngannou
Frankie to beat Korean Zombie
Brunson to beat Adesyana.

My only real worry is Brunson. I think he's way more than Adesyana has faced, but I do believe he'll turn the wrestling on and win easy if he has to. Although, we have seen him become hesitant against decent strikers like when he fougth Silva, but then he also finished Hall, Machida and Larkin, who are good strikers. Blaydes should be too much for timid Ngannou in this rematch, Frankie has had 11 fights since 2013 while Zombie has had 1 which lasted only 2:50, and DC should completely slaughter Lewis.
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You're a fool if you don't do it, and an idiot if you don't post a picture of the betting slip.
 
Parlay is not the way.
Odds low, but just a baseline

$1.14 DC to beat Lewis $5.75.
$1.3.8 Blaydes to beat Ngannou $3.07
$1.38 Frankie to beat Korean Zombie $3.07
$3.82 Brunson to beat Adesyana. $1.27

All these fights are winnable by either guy but the odds are not.
The actual win % is $2.00

Therefore with $5k I would do:
$1250 on Lewis $5.75 --> $5937
$1250 on Ngannou $3.07 --> $2587
$1250 on Zombie $3.07 -> $2587
$1250 on Brunson $3.82 -> $3525

Then you'd hope that at least 50% of those fights returns. If you had even the lowest two return, you would make
$5k profit.
 
You'd be better off removing Brunson from the bet and just taking what you can get on the other three.
 
I'd say do it. Honestly, I think you have good reasons behind your picks.
 
MonkeyPickAss said:
i wanna know what in the world would make you think Brunson is going to win that fight? That is a one sided ass whooping and Brunson is on the receiving end.
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Because Israel was taken to a split decision by Vettori who isn't that good and doesn't have the grappling skill of Brunson, and Tavares is a low power journeyman who doesn't deserve his ranking. Good on Israel for winning both those fights, but lets not pretend like that somehow compares to Brunson finishing Machida and Hall and decisioning Larkin.
 
play brunson straight and parlay the other 3 if you have to. i would leave cormier out because there is no value but what do i know?
 
Big money on a parlay containing 2 HW fights?

You fucking crazy.
 
Assuming the OP isn't just trolling, that is arguably the worst parlay I've ever seen in MMA.

I'm not a fan of parlays in MMA to begin with (the sport is too unpredictable, and it's hard enough to correctly call a single fight, let alone multiple ones), but this one is egregiously bad. Forget the awful Brunson-Adesanya choice or the questions surrounding Edgar, I also hate betting on Blaydes to beat N'Gannou in the rematch at the current odds.

Blaydes has been on a hot streak since that loss and N'Gannou looked horrendous against Lewis, swaying people, but stylistically, they're the same fighters (if anything, N'Gannou might have improved more) and there is no reason why the fight won't go in a very similar fashion.
 
xhaydenx said:
Because Israel was taken to a split decision by Vettori who isn't that good and doesn't have the grappling skill of Brunson, and Tavares is a low power journeyman who doesn't deserve his ranking. Good on Israel for winning both those fights, but lets not pretend like that somehow compares to Brunson finishing Machida and Hall and decisioning Larkin.
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Check out Darren Till's last two fights before completely destroying Cerrone, if that doesn't make you question your logic you can go all in on Brunson already
 
piglord said:
play brunson straight and parlay the other 3 if you have to. i would leave cormier out because there is no value but what do i know?
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Yeah, there's no value to it, but when you're doing a multi-bet, those little value ones add up good.
 
PolarBearPaulVarelans said:
Assuming the OP isn't just trolling, that is arguably the worst parlay I've ever seen in MMA.

I'm not a fan of parlays in MMA to begin with (the sport is too unpredictable, and it's hard enough to correctly call a single fight, let alone multiple ones), but this one is egregiously bad. Forget the awful Brunson-Adesanya choice or the questions surrounding Edgar, I also hate betting on Blaydes to beat N'Gannou in the rematch at the current odds.

Blaydes has been on a hot streak since that loss and N'Gannou looked horrendous against Lewis, swaying people, but stylistically, they're the same fighters (if anything, N'Gannou might have improved more) and there is no reason why the fight won't go in a very similar fashion.
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What? It ain't that hard to call fights. I call them right all the time.

What's wrong with the Edgar reasoning? He's been active, he's been fighting top comp. Zombie came back off a 5 year lay-off, two of which was in the army or whatever, and was getting beaten by Dennis before he got the finish. Edgar is a damn good bet in that one.

I can't believe Brunson isn't the fav over Israel. A split decision against low comp vettori and a decision over journeyman Tavares somehow tells people that he's going to beat a guy who finished Lyoto and Hall in the first round with strikes?

Ngannou has improved more? He got completely exposed by Stipe and was too afraid to even fight against Lewis. Now, he's fighting a guy who knows the blueprint to beating him and is a wrestler. I'll be surprised if Ngannou doesn't look worse than his last two. Lol at ending in a similar fashion. It was a doctors stoppage the first time around. Ngannou only landed 10 or so more strikes and you can see that is confidence is gone now compared to Blaydes.
 
xhaydenx said:
What? It ain't that hard to call fights. I call them right all the time.
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Which is why we have so many casinos, both online and brick-and-mortar, going out of business because of how much money they're losing to everyone on MMA. Oh, wait...

xhaydenx said:
What's wrong with the Edgar reasoning? He's been active, he's been fighting top comp. Zombie came back off a 5 year lay-off, two of which was in the army or whatever, and was getting beaten by Dennis before he got the finish. Edgar is a damn good bet in that one.

I can't believe Brunson isn't the fav over Israel. A split decision against low comp vettori and a decision over journeyman Tavares somehow tells people that he's going to beat a guy who finished Lyoto and Hall in the first round with strikes?

Ngannou has improved more? He got completely exposed by Stipe and was too afraid to even fight against Lewis. Now, he's fighting a guy who knows the blueprint to beating him and is a wrestler. I'll be surprised if Ngannou doesn't look worse than his last two. Lol at ending in a similar fashion. It was a doctors stoppage the first time around. Ngannou only landed 10 or so more strikes and you can see that is confidence is gone now compared to Blaydes.
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Truly impeccable analysis for all three fights, dude. No way any of those bouts go differently than how you predicted, either.

I take it back. Your parlay is awesome and if I were you, I wouldn't just bet $5,000, I would bet $50,000!
 
PolarBearPaulVarelans said:
Which is why we have so many casinos, both online and brick-and-mortar, going out of business because of how much money they're losing to everyone on MMA. Oh, wait...



Truly impeccable analysis for all three fights, dude. No way any of those bouts go differently than how you predicted, either.

I take it back. Your parlay is awesome and if I were you, I wouldn't just bet $5,000, I would bet $50,000!
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Glad you could see my way of thinking. I happen to have 50K so I'll put it all down.
 
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