Trump Approval Rating Reaches Highest Ever; Equal to Obama's At Same Point in Presidency (Gallup)

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Anyone Notice That Trump Is Now Tied With 'Popular' Obama On Job Approval?

6/19/2018

Popularity: President Trump can't get a break from negative press coverage, but somehow his approval rating continues to edge upward. In fact, it's now tied with where the "extremely popular" President Obama was at this point in his first term.

The latest Gallup poll puts Trump's job approval at 45%. That's the highest it's been since he took office, and it's up from 37% at the start of the year. Although you'd barely know it from the press Trump gets, his approval number has been on a slow but relatively steady rise all year.

Not only that, but Trump's approval in this poll is now equal to Obama's at the same point in Obama's presidency. Gallup had Obama at 45% approval by late June 2010.

The difference is that while Trump's approval has been climbing, Obama's was dropping steadily over the course of his first term.

When Obama took office, he had an approval rating of 67%. By August of that year, it had fallen to 50%. A year later it was down to 43% in Gallup's poll.

By this point in Obama's presidency, his average approval was 47.9% and falling, according to Real Clear Politics. By October of 2010, it dropped down to 44%. Trump's average is currently 43.7%, and on the uptrend.

Even more striking is the fact that the public's approval of Obama was sagging even while his press coverage was overwhelmingly positive.

A Pew Research Center study that came out last fall found that in Obama's first two months in office positive stories outweighed negative ones by two to one. A separate analysis by the Center for Media and Public Affairs found that over his first year in office almost 70% of the coverage about Obama himself was positive, as were 54% of the stories about his job performance.

And that's to say nothing of the adoration heaped on Obama by celebrities and media pundits.

Over Trump's first two months, by contrast, 62% of the stories were negative and 33% neutral. A mere 5% were positive. And if you took Fox News out of the mix, the share of positive coverage probably would almost entirely disappear. It's unlikely that Trump's coverage has improved any since.

But even as Obama's approval numbers sagged, the press continued to describe him as popular. The Washington Post called him "the popular president" in May, when his approval rating had dropped below 50%. In July, the New York Times quoted a consultant — without mockery — as saying "he's still an extremely popular president."

The IBD/TIPP Poll has consistently shown Trump's approval below the Real Clear Politics average. But his approval had been climbing in our poll as well. His 36% approval rating in June is up from 33% last October. What's more, the IBD/TIPP Presidential Leadership Index — a broader approval measure — shows a steady rise since October, when it stood at 36.5, to June's 41.1.
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https://www.investors.com/politics/editorials/trump-approval-rating-gallup-poll-obama-popularity/
 
Trump is a lock for 2020. Liberals on suicide watch.
 
Did anyone notice that Trump has been the most historically unliked President of all time and this is his peak.. and Obama peaked at nearly 70%.. and it will just take one afternoon of Twitter-fu by Trump and he'll be back down to his average again?
 
I really don't care whether Trump runs again or not. What I'm interested in is whether Republicans can keep the House and Senate on lock down come November. If they can, its going to be interesting to see if they go no holds barred against any potential Democratic President that may take office in 2020. Either way, I imagine they're going to subject any potential Democratic candidate to a social and political endoscopy digging for dirt. US politics has become NHB now more so than it ever has.
 
Trump is a lock for 2020.

The US is going to be in a pretty incredible position by the end of 2020, but much of that has little to do with who is in the oval office. He'll definitely be able to ride that wave anyway.
 
Yeah, but Obama had an economic mess on his hands. Trump has a good economy on his hands.
The Sword dancer has been a real disappointment. That being said as long as the economy is good he has a solid chance of being reelected. It will take a good candidate to beat a sitting president in a good economy.
 
Yeah, but Obama had an economic mess on his hands. Trump has a good economy on his hands.
The Sword dancer has been a real disappointment. That being said as long as the economy is good he has a solid chance of being reelected. It will take a good candidate to beat a sitting president in a good economy.

He's going to benefit massively from energy independence (plus rhetoric) and the fruits of Obama's Advanced Manufacturing Partnership Initiative. He's the most anti-science President possibly in US history but it doesn't matter when Congress has the power of the purse, overules his budget proposals and instead appropriates the highest inflation-adjusted R&D investment in US history (and he signed it into law lol). Not slacking even a second there, if anything there will be greater separation from China on the Nature Index.
 
His average in all polls is actually at 42.5%, not 45%... but yes, his approval has risen appreciably from it's low point of 37%.

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/trump-approval-ratings/

As far as "tying Obama" goes... that's great and all, but remember that he's tying Obama at a point where Obama was on the brink of one of the greatest midterm disasters ever.

I'm not saying that will happen to the Trump GOP; I don't think it will because his approval is moving in the right direction... I'm just pointing out that "tying Obama at this point in his presidency" is not some kind of gold standard.

Yeah, but Obama had an economic mess on his hands. Trump has a good economy on his hands.
The Sword dancer has been a real disappointment. That being said as long as the economy is good he has a solid chance of being reelected. It will take a good candidate to beat a sitting president in a good economy.

This is really what it always comes back to. And it's ironic, because the particular state of current the economy is not in the top 25 things the POTUS actually has control over.
 
Good for him, he's still got a long way to go before his approval rating is strong, but improvement is welcome. I think he came out of the Korea summit looking good, depending on the timing required for current news to impact his poll ratings, he could get another week of gains from that before the whole immigration disaster from the last week pulls him down again.

As the incumbent, he's the definite favorite for 2020, especially if the democrats continue to have trouble defining any kind of agenda outside of pure opposition.
 
Well yeah, as you make more good decisions and say fewer stupid things, your approval rating will go up.

I see that the OP focused a lot on media coverage. Here's another trade secret. When you make sound decisions, say fewer stupid things, or maybe even avoid TMZ style scandals with porn stars, your media coverage...will ALSO improve! Crazy stuff.
 
Well yeah, as you make more good decisions and say fewer stupid things, your approval rating will go up.

I see that the OP focused a lot on media coverage. Here's another trade secret. When you make sound decisions, say fewer stupid things, or maybe even avoid TMZ style scandals with porn stars, your media coverage...will ALSO improve! Crazy stuff.

So what you're saying is Trump deserves to have a high approval because he's been making good decisions?
 
I think that he has been winning back never Trump republicans plus he’ll always have his base no matter what. Different polls will show different things but he’s improving his popularity for sure. Republicans chances in 2018 mid terms are shooting up too. Trump is a near lock for re election imo.
 
So what you're saying is Trump deserves to have a high approval because he's been making good decisions?

His last month or so has been his strongest time in office. Mainly because his meeting with Kim went respectably and was relatively productive. He also hasn't said anything too outlandish in a while. That's about all it takes for approval ratings to increase a bit. His wounds are always self-inflicted.
 
I think that he has been winning back never Trump republicans plus he’ll always have his base no matter what. Different polls will show different things but he’s improving his popularity for sure. Republicans chances in 2018 mid terms are shooting up too. Trump is a near lock for re election imo.
Hi Essie. One day I'll get you to explain your view on borders to me again. I am still fascinated/confused by it.
 
Yeah, but Obama had an economic mess on his hands. Trump has a good economy on his hands.
The Sword dancer has been a real disappointment. That being said as long as the economy is good he has a solid chance of being reelected. It will take a good candidate to beat a sitting president in a good economy.

I believe Reagan's approval rating was around the same at this point I his first term. But likept Obama he had a horrible economy.

H.W. Bush had great approval ratings until he hit a Recession in 1991. It ultimately cost him the 1992 election.
 
People are noticing that he's actually doing things that help people.
 
Well yeah, as you make more good decisions and say fewer stupid things, your approval rating will go up.

I see that the OP focused a lot on media coverage. Here's another trade secret. When you make sound decisions, say fewer stupid things, or maybe even avoid TMZ style scandals with porn stars, your media coverage...will ALSO improve! Crazy stuff.

Yeah, no. They shit on him for the NK summit for God's sake. What was once an impossible feat for any President to pull off, turned into no big deal, and was something that could always happen, but other Presidents before him were "too smart" to give Kim recognition. Oh', and that Kim somehow humiliated Trump in negotiations, and got what he wanted, while Humpty Trumpty didn't grasp what he was doing.

The media is going to shit on him no matter what.

His approval rating is climbing because the economy is soaring. So goes the economy, so goes Trump. People don't give a shit about the noise.
 
Yeah, no. They shit on him for the NK summit for God's sake. What was once an impossible feat for any President to pull off, turned into no big deal, and was something that could always happen, but other Presidents before him were "too smart" to give Kim recognition. Oh', and that Kim somehow humiliated Trump in negotiations, and got what he wanted, while Humpty Trumpty didn't grasp what he was doing.

The media is going to shit on him no matter what.

His approval rating is climbing because the economy is soaring. So goes the economy, so goes Trump. People don't give a shit about the noise.

That's not really true at all. It was never "impossible" and was never presented as such. Obama mentioned speaking with dictators like Kim, and he was shit on for the very idea of it. So let's not continue this victim complex regarding Trump, it's beyond played out at this point.

I agree that the economy is a driving force for approval ratings. What I said though, is that acting like a dumbass can lower your approval ratings. For example, if Trump goes out there tomorrow and says something absurdly offensive, his ratings will go down a bit again. As long as he acts like an adult, his approval ratings will be fine. But that's no guarantee.
 
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