TUF 27

Discussion in 'MMA Betting Discussion' started by Wiktoruspro, Jun 24, 2018.

  1. Stunna77

    Stunna77 Purple Belt

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    Triz + money is definitely the right side unless you beleive Gianetti has actually improved tenfold in less than a year. I think it had a lot more to do with the favorable matchups he recieved on TUF. I am only 1.5u on Triz +153 right now, just because TUF contestants have burned me before once to the big show.
     
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  2. Stunna77

    Stunna77 Purple Belt

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    I also added to my Taveres action and bet his +5.5 line for 1u at -135. Israel hasn't showcased big power so even in the event he wins, I think a close decision is fairly likely.
     
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  3. mkess101

    mkess101 World Series or bust...

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    I was looking at the +5.5 but didn't get it. I'm thinking maybe the extra juice on not Israel itd at -165 makes more sense in case he wins a wide dec (either in reality or just because judges give him BS credit for some spinning crap).

    Not sure. Might just stick with my Tavares ML bets.
     
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  4. michi972

    michi972 Green Belt

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    Piechota sub+Brazil win and btts
    Tavares
    Piechota+Marquez
     
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  5. Stunna77

    Stunna77 Purple Belt

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    Didn't even look at that tbh, but yeah similar value imo with the added juice for a wide dec. I am assuming if he really is peicing taveres up that badly to win a wide dec then he probably gets a finish anyways.
     
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  6. TheOneTrueKing

    TheOneTrueKing 4th most under appreciated tipster @betmmatips

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    How you see the fight playing out? Finding it hard to get a read on this one. Will Trizano shoot takedowns? Or maybe only if he's losing the stand up? I hear Somewhere Guanetti had the wrestling advantage. Will he be shooting. I see the sub skills. Not been able to get a good read on this fight
     
  7. Stunna77

    Stunna77 Purple Belt

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    Gianetti definitely does not have the wrestling advantage. Triz can compete in all phases imo, but from Joe's pre tuf fights I think Triz taking him down and maintaining top position may be his clearest avenue.
     
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  8. Sadistics

    Sadistics Green Belt

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    Joe will not have the wrestling advantage. Watch a couple of these quick fights if you have time https://mma-today.com/prospect-week-73117-8617-joe-giannetti
     
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  9. TheOneTrueKing

    TheOneTrueKing 4th most under appreciated tipster @betmmatips

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    Thanks guys . Will do the tape now.
     
  10. TheOneTrueKing

    TheOneTrueKing 4th most under appreciated tipster @betmmatips

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    Gianetti. Zuniga is easy to look good against. V poor and undersized. Reach dis advantage

    Also Zuniga v Gunther is about as low standard as it gets
     
  11. Omni1

    Omni1 Blue Belt

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    I wish you luck accomplishing that. What is your website address? You should have it embedded somewhere.
     
  12. wack3d

    wack3d Silver Belt

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    saw it was mentioned somewhere in this thread Gianetti went 0-30 in wrestling matches LOL honestly dont think he has the edge anywhere but subs
     
  13. Omni1

    Omni1 Blue Belt

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    You are correct. Giannetti even admitted in a recent interview that Trizano has better fundamentals. However, if you are going big on Trizano I would strongly recommend that you have a hedge in the form of Giannetti via Sub. In my opinion the only way Giannetti wins is through a tricky sub.
     
  14. Karmello

    Karmello Purple Belt

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    Ok after a lot of thinking I'm hopping on the Trizano train. At first I couldn't really get a good read on this fight but you guys convinced me and watching some of Gianetti's old fights also helped.

    Let's fucking go Trizano!!!!
    <{JustBleed}>
     
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  15. BatBoyJG

    BatBoyJG Brown Belt

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    I see Trizano having the much cleaner striking and out landing Gianetti on the feet. I see Joe trying to initiate the grappling and Trizano getting away on the first few attempts. Eventually I see Joe going for some kind of takedown and giving up top position where Trizano will be able to maintain while keeping the pressure on him. Gianetti is tough so I don’t Trizano’s best shot at a finish is a rnc or an accumulation of shots due to Joe gassing out.
     
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  16. Larthus

    Larthus Yellow Belt

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    tailing, thanks for the heads up, hope for the best
     
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  17. BigDramaShow26

    BigDramaShow26 Green Belt

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    The appeal of laying these bets down in Vegas is almost gone at this point.
    He fought two of the worst fighters in TUF history.
     
  18. wack3d

    wack3d Silver Belt

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    looks like someone dropped a small bomb on Roxy went from +150 straight to +120

    temped to go on Honchak now even though i hate betting favorites in wmma
     
  19. Sadistics

    Sadistics Green Belt

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    5d dropping props for the rest of the TUF fights.

    Trizano SUB +917
    Trizano +3.5 -125
     
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  20. piglord

    piglord Black Belt

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    never watched tuf but sounds good enough for me.
     

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