TUF 27

Discussion in 'MMA Betting Discussion' started by Wiktoruspro, Jun 24, 2018.

  1. Stunna77

    Stunna77 Purple Belt

    Joined:
    Dec 10, 2015
    Messages:
    1,794
    Likes Received:
    2,576
    Triz + money is definitely the right side unless you beleive Gianetti has actually improved tenfold in less than a year. I think it had a lot more to do with the favorable matchups he recieved on TUF. I am only 1.5u on Triz +153 right now, just because TUF contestants have burned me before once to the big show.
     
    Karmello, MT6ix and Sadistics like this.
  2. Stunna77

    Stunna77 Purple Belt

    Joined:
    Dec 10, 2015
    Messages:
    1,794
    Likes Received:
    2,576
    I also added to my Taveres action and bet his +5.5 line for 1u at -135. Israel hasn't showcased big power so even in the event he wins, I think a close decision is fairly likely.
     
    Omni1 likes this.
  3. mkess101

    mkess101 85 or bust...

    Joined:
    Sep 24, 2007
    Messages:
    22,891
    Likes Received:
    7,969
    I was looking at the +5.5 but didn't get it. I'm thinking maybe the extra juice on not Israel itd at -165 makes more sense in case he wins a wide dec (either in reality or just because judges give him BS credit for some spinning crap).

    Not sure. Might just stick with my Tavares ML bets.
     
    Stunna77 likes this.
  4. michi972

    michi972 Green Belt

    Joined:
    Feb 3, 2016
    Messages:
    1,313
    Likes Received:
    434
    Piechota sub+Brazil win and btts
    Tavares
    Piechota+Marquez
     
    ChoKuRei likes this.
  5. Stunna77

    Stunna77 Purple Belt

    Joined:
    Dec 10, 2015
    Messages:
    1,794
    Likes Received:
    2,576
    Didn't even look at that tbh, but yeah similar value imo with the added juice for a wide dec. I am assuming if he really is peicing taveres up that badly to win a wide dec then he probably gets a finish anyways.
     
    mkess101 likes this.
  6. TheOneTrueKing

    TheOneTrueKing 4th most under appreciated tipster @betmmatips

    Joined:
    Mar 22, 2017
    Messages:
    787
    Likes Received:
    398
    How you see the fight playing out? Finding it hard to get a read on this one. Will Trizano shoot takedowns? Or maybe only if he's losing the stand up? I hear Somewhere Guanetti had the wrestling advantage. Will he be shooting. I see the sub skills. Not been able to get a good read on this fight
     
  7. Stunna77

    Stunna77 Purple Belt

    Joined:
    Dec 10, 2015
    Messages:
    1,794
    Likes Received:
    2,576
    Gianetti definitely does not have the wrestling advantage. Triz can compete in all phases imo, but from Joe's pre tuf fights I think Triz taking him down and maintaining top position may be his clearest avenue.
     
    TheOneTrueKing and Sadistics like this.
  8. Sadistics

    Sadistics Green Belt

    Joined:
    Dec 22, 2015
    Messages:
    1,316
    Likes Received:
    2,848
    Joe will not have the wrestling advantage. Watch a couple of these quick fights if you have time https://mma-today.com/prospect-week-73117-8617-joe-giannetti
     
    Karmello, TheOneTrueKing and Stunna77 like this.
  9. TheOneTrueKing

    TheOneTrueKing 4th most under appreciated tipster @betmmatips

    Joined:
    Mar 22, 2017
    Messages:
    787
    Likes Received:
    398
    Thanks guys . Will do the tape now.
     
  10. TheOneTrueKing

    TheOneTrueKing 4th most under appreciated tipster @betmmatips

    Joined:
    Mar 22, 2017
    Messages:
    787
    Likes Received:
    398
    Gianetti. Zuniga is easy to look good against. V poor and undersized. Reach dis advantage

    Also Zuniga v Gunther is about as low standard as it gets
     
  11. Omni1

    Omni1 Orange Belt

    Joined:
    Mar 22, 2006
    Messages:
    442
    Likes Received:
    228
    Location:
    Michigan
    I wish you luck accomplishing that. What is your website address? You should have it embedded somewhere.
     
  12. wack3d

    wack3d Silver Belt

    Joined:
    Jan 10, 2006
    Messages:
    14,242
    Likes Received:
    6,182
    saw it was mentioned somewhere in this thread Gianetti went 0-30 in wrestling matches LOL honestly dont think he has the edge anywhere but subs
     
  13. Omni1

    Omni1 Orange Belt

    Joined:
    Mar 22, 2006
    Messages:
    442
    Likes Received:
    228
    Location:
    Michigan
    You are correct. Giannetti even admitted in a recent interview that Trizano has better fundamentals. However, if you are going big on Trizano I would strongly recommend that you have a hedge in the form of Giannetti via Sub. In my opinion the only way Giannetti wins is through a tricky sub.
     
  14. Karmello

    Karmello Green Belt

    Joined:
    Apr 7, 2017
    Messages:
    1,099
    Likes Received:
    662
    Ok after a lot of thinking I'm hopping on the Trizano train. At first I couldn't really get a good read on this fight but you guys convinced me and watching some of Gianetti's old fights also helped.

    Let's fucking go Trizano!!!!
    <{JustBleed}>
     
    rille31 likes this.
  15. BatBoyJG

    BatBoyJG Brown Belt

    Joined:
    Jan 27, 2010
    Messages:
    3,455
    Likes Received:
    1,195
    Location:
    NYC
    I see Trizano having the much cleaner striking and out landing Gianetti on the feet. I see Joe trying to initiate the grappling and Trizano getting away on the first few attempts. Eventually I see Joe going for some kind of takedown and giving up top position where Trizano will be able to maintain while keeping the pressure on him. Gianetti is tough so I don’t Trizano’s best shot at a finish is a rnc or an accumulation of shots due to Joe gassing out.
     
    TheOneTrueKing likes this.
  16. Larthus

    Larthus White Belt

    Joined:
    Feb 20, 2018
    Messages:
    114
    Likes Received:
    97
    tailing, thanks for the heads up, hope for the best
     
    BatBoyJG likes this.
  17. BigDramaShow26

    BigDramaShow26 Blue Belt

    Joined:
    Sep 30, 2016
    Messages:
    891
    Likes Received:
    1,004
    The appeal of laying these bets down in Vegas is almost gone at this point.
    He fought two of the worst fighters in TUF history.
     
  18. wack3d

    wack3d Silver Belt

    Joined:
    Jan 10, 2006
    Messages:
    14,242
    Likes Received:
    6,182
    looks like someone dropped a small bomb on Roxy went from +150 straight to +120

    temped to go on Honchak now even though i hate betting favorites in wmma
     
  19. Sadistics

    Sadistics Green Belt

    Joined:
    Dec 22, 2015
    Messages:
    1,316
    Likes Received:
    2,848
    5d dropping props for the rest of the TUF fights.

    Trizano SUB +917
    Trizano +3.5 -125
     
    Naught2Sixty and pytycrys like this.
  20. piglord

    piglord Brown Belt

    Joined:
    Sep 5, 2014
    Messages:
    4,990
    Likes Received:
    5,089
    Location:
    Sewers
    never watched tuf but sounds good enough for me.
     

Share This Page