UFC 231 Holloway vs Ortega - BETS

Gadelha to win
Halloway to win
Justin Willins to win
Ngannou to win
Dillashaw to win
Lawler to win
Cyborg to win
Jones to win
$6.76 to win $1000
Lose: $6.76

Shevchenko/Holloway to win
$22.27 to win $50
Win: $27.73

Gadelha/Shevchenko/Holloway to win
$16.33 to win $50
Lose: $16.33

Manuwa to win
$25 to win $62.50
Lose: $25

Theodorou to win
$26.25 to win $50.11
Win: $23.86

Nelson to win
$28.95 to win $50
Win: $21.05

Nelson to win ITD
$10 to win $20
Win: $10

Bochniak to win
$10 to win $25
Lose: $10

Burns to win
$23.81 to win $50
Win: $26.19

Burns/Gadelha/Nelson/Manuwa/Shevchenko/Hollloway to win
$33.33 to win $1000
Lose: $33.33

Holloway to win ITD
$20 to win $65
Win: $45

Holloway to win RD3
$7.70 to win $100
Lose: $7.70

Holloway to win RD4
$5.27 to win $100
Win: $94.73

Holloway to win RD5
$3.43 to win $100
Lose: $3.43

Holloway to win
$200 to win $381.81
Win: $181.81

Profit: $334.68 Woooooow Holloway the champ
 
Holloway -108 2.33u
Holloway UNAN DEC +345 .3u
Holloway/Ortega O2 -175 .5u
Ortega NSC -130 1u

Shevchenko -240 .5u
Shevchenko DEC OR KO -150 1u

Nelson -110 2.1u
Nelson/Oliveira DNGTD -194 1.3u

Dawodu -180 .5u
Dawodu/Bochniak GTD -165 .5u
Bochniak NSC +215 .5u

Manuwa +175 .66u
Manuwa ITD +250 .15u
Manuwa/Santos DNGTD -335 1u

Burns +124 .6u

Eye DEC +245 .4u

Theodorou/Anders GTD -120 .8u
Theodorou DEC +180 .3u
Anders NSC -130 1u

Ferreira -3.5 -225 1u
Ferreira SUB +155 .2u

Rakic -300 1u
Rakic/Clark O1.5 -127 .6u
Rakic DEC +240 .3u


Fairly small card by my standards, should be a fun one.

+12.5u, awesome night of fights. Up 9k between this and last weekend, with quite a few big betting opportunities left this year.
 
UFC 231 Risk $4,107.70

Max Holloway/Brian Ortega Over 3½ (-115) $115.00 for $100.00
Max Holloway wins inside distance (+410) $75.00 for $307.50
Max Holloway wins in round 4 (+1600) $25.00 for $400.00
Brian Ortega wins in round 4 (+1200) $25.00 for $300.00
Max Holloway wins in round 5 (+2200) $15.00 for $330.00
Brian Ortega wins in round 5 (+2600) $15.00 for $390.00
Max Holloway wins in rounds 4 or 5 (+1150) ~$27.20 for ~$312.80
Brian Ortega wins in rounds 4 or 5 (+740) ~$27.20 for ~$201.28
Max Holloway/Brian Ortega bout won in round 4, 5 or on points (-137) ~$74.80 for ~$55.00
Max Holloway/Brian Ortega Draw (+8500) $10.00 for $850.00

Joanna Jedrzejczyk (+293) vs Valentina Shevchenko $100.00 for $293.00
Joanna Jedrzejczyk (+280) vs Valentina Shevchenko $100.00 for $280.00
Joanna Jedrzejczyk +5½ points (-165) $165.00 for $100.00
Joanna Jedrzejczyk/Valentina Shevchenko Draw (+7500) $10.00 for $750.00

Gunnar Nelson (-134) vs Alex Oliveira $536.00 for $400.00
Gunnar Nelson (-135) vs Alex Oliveira $270.00 for $200.00
Gunnar Nelson (-140) vs Alex Oliveira $280.00 for $200.00
Alex Oliveira (+125) vs Gunnar Nelson $200.00 for $250.00
Gunnar Nelson wins by submission (+145) $100.00 for $145.00

Kyle Bochniak (+145) vs Hakeem Dawodu $100.00 for $145.00

Jimi Manuwa (+173) vs Thiago Santos $100.00 for $173.00
Jimi Manuwa/Thiago Santos Under 1½ (-165) $165.00 for $100.00

Nina Ansaroff +3½ points (-115) vs Claudia Gadelha $115.00 for $100.00

Gilbert Burns (+104) vs Olivier Aubin-Mercier $100.00 for $104.00

Jessica Eye (+180) vs Katlyn Chookagian $200.00 for $360.00

Elias Theodorou (+175) vs Eryk Anders $200.00 for $350.00

Brad Katona (-165) vs Matthew Lopez $165.00 for $100.00

Chad Laprise/Dhiego Lima Under 1½ (+145) $100.00 for $145.00
Chad Laprise/Dhiego Lima Under 2½ (-135) $135.00 for $100.00

Carlos Diego Ferreira (-485) vs Kyle Nelson $485.00 for $100.00

Aleksandar Rakic wins inside distance (-145) vs Devin Clark $72.50 for $50.00
not a bad night!
 
UFC 231 Risk $4,107.70

Max Holloway/Brian Ortega Over 3½ (-115) $115.00 for $100.00
Max Holloway wins inside distance (+410) $75.00 for $307.50
Max Holloway wins in round 4 (+1600) $25.00 for $400.00
Brian Ortega wins in round 4 (+1200) $25.00 for $300.00
Max Holloway wins in round 5 (+2200) $15.00 for $330.00
Brian Ortega wins in round 5 (+2600) $15.00 for $390.00
Max Holloway wins in rounds 4 or 5 (+1150) ~$27.20 for ~$312.80
Brian Ortega wins in rounds 4 or 5 (+740) ~$27.20 for ~$201.28
Max Holloway/Brian Ortega bout won in round 4, 5 or on points (-137) ~$74.80 for ~$55.00
Max Holloway/Brian Ortega Draw (+8500) $10.00 for $850.00

Joanna Jedrzejczyk (+293) vs Valentina Shevchenko $100.00 for $293.00
Joanna Jedrzejczyk (+280) vs Valentina Shevchenko $100.00 for $280.00
Joanna Jedrzejczyk +5½ points (-165) $165.00 for $100.00
Joanna Jedrzejczyk/Valentina Shevchenko Draw (+7500) $10.00 for $750.00

Gunnar Nelson (-134) vs Alex Oliveira $536.00 for $400.00
Gunnar Nelson (-135) vs Alex Oliveira $270.00 for $200.00
Gunnar Nelson (-140) vs Alex Oliveira $280.00 for $200.00
Alex Oliveira (+125) vs Gunnar Nelson $200.00 for $250.00
Gunnar Nelson wins by submission (+145) $100.00 for $145.00

Kyle Bochniak (+145) vs Hakeem Dawodu $100.00 for $145.00

Jimi Manuwa (+173) vs Thiago Santos $100.00 for $173.00
Jimi Manuwa/Thiago Santos Under 1½ (-165) $165.00 for $100.00

Nina Ansaroff +3½ points (-115) vs Claudia Gadelha $115.00 for $100.00

Gilbert Burns (+104) vs Olivier Aubin-Mercier $100.00 for $104.00

Jessica Eye (+180) vs Katlyn Chookagian $200.00 for $360.00

Elias Theodorou (+175) vs Eryk Anders $200.00 for $350.00

Brad Katona (-165) vs Matthew Lopez $165.00 for $100.00

Chad Laprise/Dhiego Lima Under 1½ (+145) $100.00 for $145.00
Chad Laprise/Dhiego Lima Under 2½ (-135) $135.00 for $100.00

Carlos Diego Ferreira (-485) vs Kyle Nelson $485.00 for $100.00

Aleksandar Rakic wins inside distance (-145) vs Devin Clark $72.50 for $50.00
I smell a sharp bettor. good calls except for JJ.
 
2.5u Ortega +120
0.25u Ortega SUB +252

0.25u Shevchenko SUB +429

0.5u Nelson-Oliveira u1.5 +107

2u Manuwa +170

1.5u Anders NSC -150

0.2u Anders/Manuwa/Nelson-Oliveria u1.5/Shevchenko/Ortega +2559
0.1u Anders ITD/Shevchenko ITD/Ortega SUB +4874

Probably set unless we get some big late movement. Pretty pissed that I missed out on Ortega NSC at -130.

Got shutout on my pre-bets for -5.8u but got 4.5u back live betting:

1u Ansaroff +250
0.25u Shev-JJ DGTD +240
1.2u Ortega-Holloway DGTD -120
0.5u Ortega-Holloway DGTD +250

NET: -1.3u

This cold streak I’ve been on is one of the worst I’ve had but I’m trying to stay positive and fight through.
 
Not a good night,I make a terrible mistake to use Laprise in different parlays, I didn't see the posibility of Lima knocking out Laprise, I didn't expected that KO power in such a bad fighter, but i guess that Laprise is garbage too. That ruined my night but i learn something about parlayin, just dont.
 
Or don’t make them with chinny short blokes.
 
Got shutout on my pre-bets for -5.8u but got 4.5u back live betting:

1u Ansaroff +250
0.25u Shev-JJ DGTD +240
1.2u Ortega-Holloway DGTD -120
0.5u Ortega-Holloway DGTD +250

NET: -1.3u

This cold streak I’ve been on is one of the worst I’ve had but I’m trying to stay positive and fight through.
Keep your head up T. You're one of the best and everyone goes on cold streaks. Except for @Sadistics apparently. Jesus Christ.
 
upload_2018-12-9_21-18-7.png

Total +3,17 U
 
Max ML - 6u @raketmannen for 4.6u
Start Rd 3 - 1u for ~0.5u
Max Rd 4 - 0.6u for 8.5u
Max Rd 5 - 0.6u for 11.5u
Draw - 0.1u for 8.5u

JJ ML - 2u for 5.2u
JJ Dec - 0.6u for ~2u
Sheva KO - 0.5u for 2.2u

Ansaroff ML - 1.5u for ~4u
Ansaroff Dec - 1u for 3.7u

Santos ML - 1.5u for ~0.8u
Manuwa-Santos Distance - 0.5u for ~2u

Nelson ML - 4u for 3u
Neslon Sub - 2u for 2.7u
Nelson Rd 1 - 0.5u for 1.4u

Elias ML - 0u for ~1u

Rakic-Clark DNGTD - 2u for ~1u

Dawodu Dec - 0.5u for 0.7u

Burns ML - 0.5u for 0.55u

Laprise-Lima U1.5 - 0.5u for 0.7u
Laprise Rd 1 - 0.5u for 1u
Laprise Rd 2 - 0.4u for 1.8u

I'm done, unless I get skittish and put a small pseudo-hedge on Cowboy KO like I did with Sheva, although I'm anticipating a resurgent Gunni. But what do I know.

Wussed out and took Elias for free.

Just do your thing Max. In round 4/5 preferably.

Good luck everyone.

By the time they fought I had 11u on Max ML. With hindsight the JJ outcome was so glaringly obvious but the odds buggered my judgement there. Other than that it was basically a clean sweep.

Up an absurd 40u. Doubling the unit size now, not in the new year.
 
By the time they fought I had 11u on Max ML. With hindsight the JJ outcome was so glaringly obvious but the odds buggered my judgement there. Other than that it was basically a clean sweep.

Up an absurd 40u. Doubling the unit size now, not in the new year.

Nice work sir. Congrats.
 
$80/$250
Usman -5.5 -110 win
LA Rams -490 win
Max Halloway -135

$50.30/$124.23
Santiago Ponzinibbio -220 win
Max Halloway -135
Jon Jones -270

$90/$168.80
Daniel Cormier -650 win
Max Halloway -129
Jon Jones -260

Won $250 and added $200 on max before the fight at +100. Also now down to Jon jones for another two parlay hits. Solid night.
 
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