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His chin is a concern, DP hits harder than EddieHaving trouble picking a side on the ME. Leg kicks are big problem for DP and the nonstop pressure. Can DP hurt JG while constantly being walked down against the fence? FDNGD lines are juiced af. I might be on JG if he gets to be a bigger dog. Hard to be confident on either side for me. Very interested in a spot further down the card though.
She's a fan favorite, I feel like we'd be lucky to get her at anything below -200.Liking Dustin and the over especially if it’s +odds.. will Be on waterson she facing Casey which is definitely a step down from what she’s been facing. Interested on what the odds will be on her. -160 or below I’ll be all over it. Going back and forth between cowboy and condit. Leaning condit
Man, this a great card. Not huge profile fights, but the matchups are interesting.
If the fight stays totally standing, IDK. It's Justin's chin and toughness vs Dustin's superior skill. Hard to say what happens. Justin will target that lead leg for sure, but inevitably will want to brawl most likely. Dustin will land hard punches on Justin's chin. The question will be how badly can he hurt him (and can he finish him) without catching something big in return on his own chin.
I’m not sure how much we can count on Gaethje’s chin anymore after how much damage he’s taken and Alvarez putting him away only a few months ago. DP is arguably the hardest hitter he’ll have faced as well.
Also, while DP can be chinny at times, Gaethje isn’t a really a one punch power threat. He typically breaks guys down over the course of a few rounds.
My big concern is obviously the leg kicks. But I’m on DP at +100 for 2u and very happy with that.
I dont see the love for DP. He's another guy that has zero defense and a not so wonderful chin. I also think that when he's pressured, he tends to throw everything out the window and he just brawls. If that's how the fights going to play out, I'd gladly take the more durable JG at dog oddsYeah it's hard to say when Justin's chin gives out. It will be soon, but is that this fight, next fight, 3 fights from now? Not sure. He took a lot of clean shots from Eddie before finally being put away. It's hard to pinpoint exactly when it will completely fail him.
DP's chin worries me a little. Not because Justin has huge one shot power, but because at even a hint of having a guy hurt he will go flat out ballistic looking for the finish. DP will have to recover QUICKLY if he gets stung. Justin gives zero fucks and will gladly risk gassing himself out if there's a chance he can finish a fight.
DP is the more skilled fighter, that much is clear. And I bet him (worse odds than you--I have him at -125). But there's some concerns for sure. He needs to fight a smart fight here. I really hope if Justin comes out looking to throw those hard leg kicks a lot that DP will counter by shooting for TD's. I've been impressed by his top game, and I think if he can put Justin on his back he can do serious damage with gnp.
I dont see the love for DP. He's another guy that has zero defense and a not so wonderful chin. I also think that when he's pressured, he tends to throw everything out the window and he just brawls. If that's how the fights going to play out, I'd gladly take the more durable JG at dog odds
Let me rewatch MJ/JG before commentingI don’t disagree. But no concern about Gaethje getting stopped for the first time and getting wobbled badly twice the fight before that?
IMO, if Dustin hurts Gaethje the way MJ was able to, there’s a strong chance he puts him away. I also think has Dustin the cardio advantage here.
Thoughts on Condit vs Oliveira?
Condit 2-6 in his last 8.
I think Oliveira can get TDs here.
bleh, JG got hurt a lot in the MJ fight. I forgot about that. He was on his way to losing that fight if MJ hadn't gassed. good call. not sure how i intend on betting now, i still feel the same way about DPI don’t disagree. But no concern about Gaethje getting stopped for the first time and getting wobbled badly twice the fight before that?
IMO, if Dustin hurts Gaethje the way MJ was able to, there’s a strong chance he puts him away. I also think has Dustin the cardio advantage here.
I dont see the love for DP. He's another guy that has zero defense and a not so wonderful chin. I also think that when he's pressured, he tends to throw everything out the window and he just brawls. If that's how the fights going to play out, I'd gladly take the more durable JG at dog odds
Thoughts on Condit vs Oliveira?
Condit 2-6 in his last 8.
I think Oliveira can get TDs here.