UFC on FOX 29 Poirier vs Gaethje

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Could be. Also I don't really have opinion about ml in this fight one way or another, but I do think Wiec dec is good deal at 10.75.

No problem with the bet dude. I just think its too early to judge who has better cardio and adam is durable
 
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Rewatched tape on Ricky Rainey and I'm starting to think that he keeps his hands so low that the spinkick will be there all day.
 
Officially, Israel and Casey will be the only two fighters with SPHA for this card.

Fighters with SPHA are 5-0 since UFC Fight Night 126.
 
Is Patrick Williams worth betting on against Luke Sanders?
 
Fuck no. Maybe his round 1 prop is worth a little money, but even with Sanders being a proven flake hard to see Patrick "I'm gassed as fuck after 4 min" Williams getting the W any other way

He is very dangerous while he has gas left. He dropped dusquenoy and finished Alejandro Perez in the first.
 
I want to go out have fun, paychecks, a good performance, entertain, there is danger, getting punch in the head is not good for your long term health, that was my concern when I retired, last fight I wasn't myself, lots of stuff in my personal life, I'll do my best, if not it won't crush me, I'm more than just this, I made mistakes in my last fight, I wish I put on a better fight, make it more exciting but at least I didn't take any damage



This is why Inwanted to go heavy on Brown at -110. But Cowboy is something like -220 now and that's a lot of juice.
 
Anyone watched tape on Dan Moret? It's hard to envision Burns being -590 against anyone
 
Reis' brother died the day after he signed this fight.

https://www.mmafighting.com/2018/4/...ufc-on-fox-29-cope-brothers-death-john-moraga

The Brazilian flyweight accepted the offer, but 24 hours later another phone call left him devastated.

On Feb. 2, Reis’ younger brother, 30-year-old Wagner Araujo, died in a motorcycle accident in Sao Paulo, Brazil.

”It was a really difficult experience,” Reis told MMA Fighting. “I used my training camp to get over this tough moment, and at the same time, move on with my life.

”Unfortunately, the day after I told him about this fight, I was informed of his death. It’s difficult, but that motivated me a lot. This fight will be a homage to him, for sure.”

Wagner was married and had a one-year-old son, who has Reis as his godfather. The UFC fighter stayed in Brazil for two weeks to help his family, but kept training for his upcoming bout. He wasn’t sure if he would still fight Moraga on April 14, though.

”When I came back to California, I told my coaches that I was good to continue training,” Reis said. “This is a big motivation for me, a good distraction from everything that happened.”

”Some training partners thought it wasn’t a good fight for me because I usually fight with top 5, better ranked fighters,” Reis said, “But I want someone good in order to move up in the rankings with a win. I’m focused. I know Moraga’s game really well. He’s on a roll, so that’s motivating. I like this match-up.”

Both Moraga and Reis are specialists in the grappling area, but Reis doesn’t expect his opponent to actually try to test his jiu-jitsu against him in Glendale.

”I think he will try to keep it standing,” Reis said. “Every time he fights he takes the fight to the ground, but always comes back up. He’s coming off two good performances standing, a good knockout against that Russian, and knowing that I always want to go to the ground, I believe he will try to keep it standing. He has knockout power.

”I know I have more chances to finish him taking him to the ground. I have good chances knocking him out standing as well, but it’s obvious that my best weapon is the ground game. I want to trade with him to knock him out, but if I can’t knock him out I will take him down.”
 
Anyone watched tape on Dan Moret? It's hard to envision Burns being -590 against anyone
I watched his latest fight and a highlight. I thought he has good striking, movement and defence for a regional fighter with so many sub wins. Southpaw with ok reach and fights reasonably tall too. Seems composed under pressure. He has a good change on winning if Burns tries to prove Daddy Hooft that he can kickbox. I don’t think Burns has ever faced a leftie in UFC btw.
 
Call me crazy but made a parlay of Adam and Williams by finish for the early prelim spice.
 
People actually betting Bhullar at these odds? His wrestling is being extremely overrated. The competition at the commonwealth games is very low, since none of the countries participating produce strong wrestlers. He also lost his only match at the Olympics. Dude is getting hyped up to tap into the India market.

Wieczorek is not great, but I think he'll have success stuffing takedowns after the first round and start to out volume Bhullar as the fight goes on.

Should be close to a pick-em IMO. Really like Wieczorek Dec +1000.
 
People actually betting Bhullar at these odds? His wrestling is being extremely overrated. The competition at the commonwealth games is very low, since none of the countries participating produce strong wrestlers. He also lost his only match at the Olympics. Dude is getting hyped up to tap into the India market.

Wieczorek is not great, but I think he'll have success stuffing takedowns after the first round and start to out volume Bhullar as the fight goes on.

Should be close to a pick-em IMO. Really like Wieczorek Dec +1000.

Adam is a weak 230lb hw with no tdd and long gangly legs
 


Worth listening to.


I agree with his analsis that Poirer / his team panic a bit when they get in a fire fight and this is a bad trait to have agaisnt Gaethje. However, I am not sure I can approve of the sentiment the Alvarez keeps trotting out that Poirer was quitting against him in their fight and was about to go out regardless of the illegal knee. If anything I felt like it was turning distinctly in Poirer's favor.
 
Perez almost the favorite, same with Jotko.
 
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