Your Official UFC 212 Bets

2u Aldo -110
1u Assuncao +200
0.75 Kelleher +275

2.5u Junior+Claudia -109
1.4u Junior+Claudia+Moyle/Pereria O2,5 +149
0.5u Junior+Claudia+Moyle/Pereria O2,5+Assuncao O2,5 +273
 
1.5u Beltran/Figueiredo O1.5 + Belfort 2,74
2.0u Chagas/Wallhead U2.5 2,20
2.0u Pereira 1,80
2.0u Pereira/Moyle O2.5 + Gadelha/KK O2.5 + Assunc./Moraes O2.5 2,79
2.0u Eduardo 2,70
2.0u Eduardo/Lopez O2.5 1,90
2.0u Shoeface + Gadelha 1,96
2.5u Shoeface + Gadelha + Holm + Hendricks 3,37
2.0u Shoeface + Aldo/Holloway O2.5 + Hunt + Holm 4,56
1.5u Assunc./Moraes O2.5 + Real/Juve U3.5 + Aldo/Holloway O1.5 + Holm 2,11
1.0u Silva/Medeiros O1.5 + Gadelha/KK O2.5 2,06
1.0u Silva/Medeiros O1.5 + Hendricks 2,22
1.0u Medeiros + Hendricks 2,52
1.0u Borrachinha/Bangbus O1.5 3,00
1.0u Gadelha + Aldo/Holloway O4.5 2,21
1.0u Gadelha Dec. + Hunt + Tybura + Holm 5,58
1.5u Holloway Dec. 3,75

I got 27u on the line, 6.5u of those are on Shoeface ML, and 5.5u are on Gadelha ML (+1u Gadelha DEC)

I am really not proud of the unit sizes of my picks this time, tbh I should have rather dropped 1.5u on every bet.


Get Rich or Die Tryin!
 
Last edited:
All to win 1U

Aldo/Holloway goes distance (-150)
Kowalkiewicz (+260)
Spicely (+265)
Marquardt (+140)
 
+18u last event (It would have been +33u if Teixeira had resisted until the decision)
------

0.5u Moyle (2.30)
1u Eduardo (2.70)
1u Beltran (2.20)

0.1u Figueiredo R3 (17.00)

0.2u Chagas R1 (3.75)
0.1u Wallhead R3 (29.00)

0.4u Carlos Jr KO (6.00)

0.5u Bamgbose ITD (4.00)
0.2u Bamgbose R1 (9.00)

1.5u Medeiros ITD (2.70)
0.5u Silva-Medeiros u1.5 (2.50)
0.3u Medeiros R2 (7.50)

0.8u Belfort ITD (1.72)
0.1u Marquard R2 (10.00)
0.05u Marquardt R3 (19.00)

3u Aldo-Holloway DEC (1.72)
0.1u Holloway KO R4 (41.00)
0.1u Holloway KO R5 (81.00)

parlays:
0.5u Pereira-Moyle o2.5 / Gadelha DEC (2.16)
0.4u Carlos Jr / Gadelha (1.84)
0.5u Carlos Jr / Gadelha DEC / Belfort ITD (4.14)
1u Assuncao-Moraes o2.5 / Gadelha (2.09)
1u Gadelha / Aldo-Holloway DEC (2.35)
 
Holloway
Claudia by decision
Nate
Oluwale
Silva
Assuncao
Wallhead
Alcantara
Lopez
Carlos Junior
 
UFC 212 sure to crash and burn picks LOL


Silva +120 > 2.00/2.4u
Beltran +124 > 2.00/2.48u
Spicely +229 > 2.00/4.58
Holloway +127 > 3.00/3.81

EDIT Moyle +131 risking 1.50 units

PARLAYS

Gadelha -370 + Lopez -195 +i Alcantara -325 +151 2.00 > 3.02u

Kowalkiewicz/Gadelha O2.5 -350 + Max Holloway/Aldo O4.5 -170 + Chagas -254 + Pereira/Moyle 2.5 -300 +280 > 5.6 units

Kowalkiewicz/Gadelha O2.5 -350 + Moraes/Assuncao O2.5 -257 + Spicely/ACJ O2.5 -130 + Pereira/Moyle 2.5 -300 at +321 Risking: 2.00u To Win: 6.42u

Vitor DEC. +1001 risk 0.3 units
Spiceley round 3+1800 risk 0.2 units
Holloway rounds 4/5 +2200 and +2800 risking 0.3 units respectively.

BOL MY NINJAS!!!!
 
UFC 212 Risk: 2,221.50
holloway +130: 100 for 130 - 25 parlays / holloway DEC: 33 for 99 / holloway ITD: 22 parlays / holloway RD4: 15 for 322.50 / holloway RD5: 15 for 410 - 5 parlays / holloway +5.5: 60 parlays / holloway NSC: 150 for 163 / O4.5: 75 for 50 / ITD: 15 parlays / aldo
KK DEC: 50 for 236 - 12 parlays / gadelha NSC: 145 for 100
marquardt +127: 125 for 159.25 - 25 parlays / marq ITD: 12 parlays / marq RD2: 15 for 131.25 / marq RD3: 10 for 170 / marq NSC: 10 parlays / belfort
bamgbose +275: 50 for 137.50 / U1.5: 60 parlays / RD1: 92.50 for 50 / costa SUB: 10 for 97.30
silva +115: 100 for 115 - 25 parlays / silva DEC: 25 for 120 - 12 parlays / DEC: 40 for 102 - 30 parlays / NOT medeiros ITD: 149 for 100 - 60 parlays
moraes DEC: 25 parlays / DEC: 87.50 for 50 / assuncao DEC: 40 parlays / assuncao +3.5: 60 parlays
spicely SUB: 25 for 121.25 / spicely RD3: 10 for 245 / spicely NSC: 40 for 111.60 - 25 parlays / ITD: 15 parlays / RD1: 12 parlays / junior KO: 25 for 164.50
lopez -150: 75 for 50 / lopez DEC: 30 for 109.50 - 15 parlays / lopez SUB: 10 parlays / lopez RD3: 5 parlays / eduardo
alcantara RD3: 5 parlays / ITD: 30 parlays / RD1: 12 parlays / kelleher
moyle +130: 150 for 195 - 25 parlays / moyle DEC; 15 parlays / moyle sub: 10 for 95 / moyle RD3: 5 parlays / moyle NSC: 150 for 322.50 / pereira
wallhead RD3: 10 for 217.50 - 5 parlays / wallhead NSC: 40 for 110 - 22 parlays / chagas
figueiredo -145: 101.50 for 70 / figueiredo ITD: 30 parlays / beltran: 25 parlays / beltran RD3: 5 parlays
props
FOTN: silva-medeiros: 10 for 57.50
parlays
20 for 50.39 bamgbose-costaU1.5/ holloway+5.5/ NOTmedeirosITD
20 for 49.30 bamgbose-costaU1.5/ holloway+5.5/ assuncao+3.5
20 for 56.55 bamgbose-costaU1.5/ NOTmedeirosITD/ assuncao+3.5
20 for 63.18 holloway+5.5/ NOTmedeirosITD/ assuncao+3.5
50 RR for 590.78: holloway/ marq/ silva/ moraesDEC/ moyle/ beltran
28 RR for 1,824.78: hollowayITD/ KKDEC/ marqITD/ silvaDEC/ JRspicelyRD1/ iurikelleherRD1/ wallheadNSC
20 RR for 930.16: hollowayITD/ marqNSC/ assuncaoDEC/ spicelyNSC/ lopezSUB/ wallheadNSC
30 RR for 520.36: hollowayaldoITD/ medeirossilvaDEC/ assuncaoDEC/ spicelyjuniorITD/ kelleheralcantaraITD/ figueiredoITD
35 RR for 1,180.50: medeirossilvaDEC/ assuncaoDEC/ spicelyNSC/ lopezDEC/ kelleheralcantaraITD/ moyleDEC/ figueiredoITD
15 RR for 3,889.97: hollowayRD5/ lopezRD3/ alcantaraRD3/ moyleRD3/ wallheadRD3/ beltranRD3
---


disappointed w/myself. i'm gambling WAY too much, and why?

3 disastrous outcomes:
medeiros itd
aldo itd
pereira itd

if i can avoid those 3, it might not be a HUGE loss overall. i've already determined and accepted that i'm gonna lose today. dumb gambles / reaching plays = losers
 
Last edited:
1u Jamie Moyle @ +145
1.5u on U 1.5 Medeiros vs. Silva @ +150
2u on Marlon Moraes by DEC @ +162
2u on Jose Aldo by U. Dec @ +240

2u on Carlos Júnior + Costa vs. Bamgbose U 1.5 + Gadelha vs. Kowalkiewicz O 2.5 + Aldo vs. Holloway DEC @ +296
 
Silva - 6 to win 7.50
Assuncao - 5.50 to win 11
Beltran - 4 to win 5.20
Wallhead - 3.50 to win 7.88


Marquardt/ Assuncao dec - 1.45 to win 14
Aldo/ Assuncao dec - 2 to win 12.50
ACJ/ Belfort U3/ Bangbose U3 - 4 to win 2.83
Gadelha/ Assuncao +3.5 - 5 to win 5.97

All i got for now will add more, got a date tonight will make it back by main event unless something goes horribly right
 
UFC 212 Risk $2341.50

Jose Aldo (-150) vs Max Holloway $150.00 for $100.00
Jose Aldo wins in round 4 (+2000) $25.00 for $500.00
Jose Aldo wins in round 5 (+2750) $25.00 for $687.50
Jose Aldo/Max Holloway fight ends in round 4 (+1086) $25.00 for $271.50
Jose Aldo/Max Holloway fight ends in round 5 (+1322) $25.00 for $330.50
Jose Aldo wins by KO/TKO/DQ (+401) $25.00 for $100.25
Jose Aldo wins by KO/TKO/DQ in round 5 (+3900) ~$27.50 for ~$1,072.50
Jose Aldo/Max Holloway Over 4½ (-170) $85.00 for $50.00
Jose Aldo wins by 5 round split/majority decision (+559) $40.00 for $223.60

Claudia Gadelha wins by decision (-159) vs Karolina Kowalkiewicz $159.00 for $100.00
Claudia Gadelha/Karolina Kowalkiewicz Draw (+5000) $15.00 for $750.00

Nate Marquardt (+145) vs Vitor Belfort $75.00 for $108.75
Vitor Belfort wins in round 1 (+125) $75.00 for $93.75
Nate Marquardt wins in round 2 (+800) $40.00 for $320.00
Nate Marquardt wins in round 3 (+1800) $30.00 for $540.00
Nate Marquardt/Vitor Belfort fight ends in first 60 seconds (+525) ~$27.50 for ~$144.38

Oluwale Bamgbose (+235) vs Paulo Henrique Costa $100.00 for $235.00
Oluwale Bamgbose wins by TKO/KO (+370) $30.00 for $111.00
Paulo Henrique Costa wins by submission (+883) $25.00 for $220.75
Oluwale Bamgbose/Paulo Henrique Costa fight ends in first 60 seconds (+500) ~$27.50 for ~$137.50

Erick Silva (+125) vs Yancy Medeiros $100.00 for $125.00
Erick Silva wins inside distance (+183) $40.00 for $73.20
Yancy Medeiros wins by submission (+725) $25.00 for $181.25

Marlon Moraes wins by decision (+155) vs Raphael Assuncao $75.00 for $116.25

Eric Spicely (+255) vs Antonio Carlos Junior $100.00 for $255.00
Eric Spicely wins in round 3 (+1900) $10.00 for $190.00
Antonio Carlos Junior wins by KO/TKO/DQ (+470) $25.00 for $117.50

Johnny Eduardo scorecards = no action (+125) vs Matthew Lopez $50.00 for $62.50

Iuri Alcantara wins by submission (+198) vs Brian Kelleher $25.00 for $49.50

Jamie Moyle (+140) vs Viviane Pereira $75.00 for $105.00
Jamie Moyle wins by submission (+950) $20.00 for $190.00
Jamie Moyle wins in round 3 (+2750) $10.00 for $275.00

Jim Wallhead scorecards = no action (+253) vs Luan Chagas $40.00 for $101.20
Jim Wallhead wins in round 3 (+1999) $10.00 for $199.90
Jim Wallhead wins in round 3 (+1999) $40.00 for $799.60
Jim Wallhead wins in round 3 (+2700) ~$27.50 for ~$742.50

Marco Beltran (+130) vs Deiveson Alcantara Figueiredo $75.00 for $97.50

Oluwale Bamgbose wins Fastest KO (+1000) $10.00 for $100.00
Yancy Medeiros wins Fastest Submission (+1500) $10.00 for $150.00
Jose Aldo/Max Holloway FOTN award winner (+175) $25.00 for $43.75

Parlays:
Nate Marquardt/Vitor Belfort won’t start round 3 (-364) + Claudia Gadelha (-335) vs Karolina Kowalkiewicz $200.00 for $131.05
Marlon Moraes/Raphael Assuncao Over 2½ (-257) + Claudia Gadelha/Karolina Kowalkiewicz Over 2½ (-350) $200.00 for $157.20

Eric Spicely wins by submission (+600) + Erick Silva wins by submission (+349) $15.00 for $456.45
Iuri Alcantara wins by submission (+170) + Erick Silva wins by submission (+349) $15.00 for $166.84
Deiveson Alcantara Figueiredo wins by submission (+385) + Erick Silva wins by submission (+349) $15.00 for $311.65
Iuri Alcantara wins by submission (+170) + Eric Spicely wins by submission (+600) $15.00 for $268.50
Deiveson Alcantara Figueiredo wins by submission (+385) + Eric Spicely wins by submission (+600) $15.00 for $494.25
Deiveson Alcantara Figueiredo wins by submission (+385) + Iuri Alcantara wins by submission (+170) $15.00 for $181.43

Round Robin by two-team parlays. Risk ~$27.50
Nate Marquardt/Vitor Belfort fight ends in round 3 (+1100)
Oluwale Bamgbose/Paulo Henrique Costa fight ends in round 3 (+900)
Erick Silva/Yancy Medeiros fight ends in round 3 (+700)
Marlon Moraes/Raphael Assuncao fight ends in round 3 (+1000)
Eric Spicely/Antonio Carlos Junior fight ends in round 3 (+850)
Johnny Eduardo/Matthew Lopez fight ends in round 3 (+800)
Iuri Alcantara/Brian Kellher fight ends in round 3 (+750)
Jim Wallhead/Luan Changas fight ends in round 3 (+800)
Marco Beltran/Deiveson Alcantara Figueiredo fight ends in round 3 (+750)
 
BigNick100 said:
1.2U Yancy @-110 - $115
.30U Yancy ITD @ +244 - $73
.25U Yancy ITD @ +160 - $52
.20U Yancy Round 2 - $107
.20U Yancy Round 3 - $177
.20U Medeiros wins by 3 round decision +325 - $65
(Reliazed I went too much on Yancy ITD and round bets,and if that doesn't cash but he wins I don't get much profit off the ML, so did a little Yancy DEC in case, a mistake on my part. But if Yancy wins ITD and in round 2 or 3, then ching ching!! $) If he loses, sour grapes.

.20U Kelleher wins by 3 round decision +470 - $94

.20u Marquardt / Belfort goes 3 rd distance +450 - $90

.10U Holloway wins in round 4 +2050 - $205
.10U Holloway wins in round 5 +2350 - $235
.50u Holloway wins by 5 round decision* +255 - $127.50

.15 U -Bamgbose / Costa starts round 3 +308 - $46
.15U Bamgbose / Costa starts round 2 +158* - $23
.10U Bamgbose wins by 3 round decision +1115 - $111

.10 Wallhead wins in round 3 +1800* - $180
.10 Wallhead wins by 3 round decision +385 - $39

.25U Spicely / Junior goes 3 round distance +100 - $25

.10U Pereira wins by submission +735 - $73.50
.10U Moyle wins by submission +800* - $80
(did this as a hedge in my parlays in case this fight doesn't go the dec, it will mostly be by sub)
Parlays

- $50 to win $384 - 5 Teamer
Max Holloway/Jose Aldo Over 4½ -165*
Antonio Carlos Junior -225* vs Eric Spicely
Derek Brunson -300* vs Daniel Kelly
Marcin Tybura -250* vs Andrei Arlovski
Mike Chiesa +100* vs Kevin Lee

4 Teamer $50 to win $261
Max Holloway/Jose Aldo Over 4½ -145*
Claudia Gadelha -300* vs Karolina Kowalkiewicz
Yancy Medeiros -105* vs Erick Silva
Antonio Carlos Junior -240* vs Eric Spicely


$30 to win $192
Max Holloway/Jose Aldo Over 4½ -165*
Claudia Gadelha -300* vs Karolina Kowalkiewicz
Yancy Medeiros -140* vs Erick Silva
Antonio Carlos Junior -225* vs Eric Spicely
Pereira / Moyle goes 3 round distance -260*

$16 to win $253
Yancy Medeiros -145* vs Erick Silva
Holloway / Aldo goes 5 round distance -170*
Kowalkiewicz / Gadelha goes 3 rd dist -360*
Moraes / Assuncao goes 3 round distance
Lopez / Eduardo starts round 2 -317*
Kelleher / Alcantara starts round 2 -305*
Pereira / Moyle goes 3 round distance -275*
Beltran / Alcantara starts round 2 -286*

$35- $149

Antonio Carlos Junior -245* vs Eric Spicely
Moraes / Assuncao goes 3 round distance -215*
Lopez / Eduardo starts round 2 -325*
Pereira / Moyle goes 3 round distance -275*
Wallhead / Chagas starts round 2 -257*



Think I may add a few more parlays but this is it for the most part.
Click to expand...

Just added more -

.10U Medeiros wins by submission +446 - $44
.10u Marquardt wins in round 2 +625 - $62
.5U Marquardt wins in round 3 +1200 - $60
.10 U Yancy Medeiros wins fastest KO +1400 - $140
.11U Beltran wins by 3 round decision +275 - $31
 
1u Yancy Medeiros @1.90
1u Medeiros + Lopez @3.10
1u Gadelha + O2.5 Moraes-Assunçao @2.10
0.5u Kelleher @3.50
0.5u Wallhead @3.25
 
aldo + vitor + borrach + erick/yancy O1,5 207 to win 1200
 
$80 Aldo @ $1.80
$25 Assuncao @ $3.15
$25 free bet Assuncao @ $2.45
 
Aldo + KK + Vitor 300 to win 2700
 
thought i was going to have a terrible night after that moraes robbery so really glad to make a decent profit. with moraes i would have made a fortune. it is what it is, that's the gambling game.

WINS

Paulo, Belfort, holloway £50 returns £265

Karolina sub, holloway £10 returns £213

Holloway £80 returns £184

Moyle/viviene goes the distance, Kelleher £10 returns £53

Shoeface, yancy, gadelha £54 returns £154

LOSS

Beltran, wallhead, Paulo, yancy, shoeface, gadelha, Belfort, Holloway £10 returns £1064

Beltran £20 returns £45

Wallhead £10 returns £32

Paulo, moraes £205 returns £410

PROFIT: £420
 
3u Aldo - 1.77
2u Carlos Junior - 1.45
1.5u Gadelha + Carlos Junior - 1.82
1u Medeiros - 1.75
1u Belfort/Marquardt fight ends by KO + Borra/Bamgbose fight ends R1-R2 + Aldo/Holloway o2.5 - 2.22
0.5u Borrachinha R1 - 1.83
0.5u Belfort R1 - 2.50
0.5u Wallhead - 3.16
0.25u Carlos Junior KO - 6.00

Live bet:
0.2u Wallhead/Chagas u2.5 - 2.55

Total: -2.41u

Pretty bad night. Oh well, on to the next one!
 
I circled who I thought was going to win all 12 fights and did very poor today picking only 5/12 right.

I made 7 bets tonight and was able to end the night with a 0.10 profit after being down $100 Heading into the main event. Broke even tonight and I must say I'm very lucky to have just done that after picking 5/12 of the winners

I officially like you max Holloway
 
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