Your Official UFC 218 Bets

[SlayKatzNY]

Appreciate all the insight I glean from you sharps. Good luck to you all. Most I've ever bet on one card as I've slowly built my bankroll over last 8-months. My bets for this evening:

Cejudo - Tecia - $150 for $210
Cejudo - Max - $120 for $110
Cejduo - Justin - $130 for $145
Montano - Brazilian Cowboy - $170 for $200
Johns - Reyes - $330 for $300

 

[timmyclax22]

Klose +120 to win 1U
Klose Decision +240 to win .5u
Gaethje ITD +140 to win 1.4u
Medeiros +255 to win 1.5u
Reem +189 to win 1.5u
Reem decision +525 to win 1U
Reem round 3 +1725 to win 2u

 

[maxim814]

Magana to win
$2.70 to win $10.80
Lose: -$2.70

Casey to win
$5 to win $11.25
Cashed out at $5 after RD2
Push: $0

Klose to win
$5 to win $12.50
Lose: -$5

Felder to win
$5 to win $10.50
Win: $5.50

Felder to win (Added after round 1)
$4.57 to win $9.14
Win: $4.57

Waterson/Torres U2.5
$2.86 to win $10.01
Lose: -$2.86

Torres to win
$10 to win $16.66
Win: $6.66

Alvarez to win
$25 to win $64.37
Win: $39.37

Alvarez to finish fight
$5 to win $21.66
Win: $16.66

Ngannou to win
$10 to win $15
Win: $5

Ngannou/Holloway to win
$13 to win $24.26
Win: $11.26

Holloway to win in Round 3
$1 to win $8
Win: $7

Holloway to win in Round 4
$2 to win $19
Lose: $2

Holloway to win in Round 5
$3 to win $45
Lose: $3

Net: +$80.46 Awesome night. Way to go Alvarez, Francis and Holloway!

 

[And]

Adding:

Not Holloway ITD +140 0.3u

Not N'Gannou ITD +163 0.3u

Pettis ML +270 0.5u

Alvarez ITD +400 0.1u

Waterson SC=NA -108 0.5u

Felder ML +120 1u
Charles Oliveira KO/TKO +850 0.1u

Herrig ML -120 1u
Herrig SC=NA +101 0.5u
Herrig R3 +1800 0.1u

Kimball ML +450 0.15u

Crowder Dec. +650 0.1u

Magana ITD +1400 0.05u

Final pre-event bets:

Aldo ML +260 1u
Not Holloway ITD +110 1u
Aldo SC=NA +536 0.8u
Aldo ITD +897 0.2u
Aldo Sub. +2000 0.05u
Holloway R5 +2000 0.05u

Overeem ML +230 1.5u
Overeem SC=NA +342 0.5u
Not N'Gannou ITD +163 0.3u
Ngannou-Overeem GTD +310 0.25u
Overeem Sub +1430 0.1u
Ngannou Sub +2000 0.1u
Overeem R3 +2500 0.05u

Pettis ML +270 0.5u

Gaethje R3 +1200 0.1u
Alvarez ITD +400 0.1u

Waterson ML +207.5 1u
Waterson SC=NA -108 0.5u
Waterson Sub. +1250 0.15u

Felder ML +106.4 2.6u
Felder Dec. +455 0.25u
Charles Oliveira KO/TKO +850 0.1u

Teymur -3.5 +155 0.5u

Herrig ML -120 3u
Herrig SC=NA +102.5 2u
Herrig -3.5 +170 0.5u
Herrig ITD +425 0.25u
Herrig R3 +1800 0.1u

Homasi Dec. +560 0.2u

Reyes Sub. +800 0.1u
Kimball ML +450 0.15u

Willis ITD +287 0.2u
Crowder Dec. +650 0.1u

Magana Sub +1300 0.05u
Magana ITD +1400 0.05u

Edit:

Added Herrig -3.5 +170 0.5u and Teymur -3.5 +155 0.5u as well

Aldo ML +260 1u
Not Holloway ITD +110 1u
Aldo SC=NA +536 0.8u
Aldo ITD +897 0.2u
Aldo Sub. +2000 0.05u
Holloway R5 +2000 0.05u

Overeem ML +230 1.5u
Overeem SC=NA +342 0.5u
Not N'Gannou ITD +163 0.3u
Ngannou-Overeem GTD +310 0.25u
Overeem Sub +1430 0.1u
Ngannou Sub +2000 0.1u
Overeem R3 +2500 0.05u

Pettis ML +270 0.5u

Gaethje R3 +1200 0.1u
Alvarez ITD +400 0.1u +0.4u

Waterson ML +207.5 1u
Waterson SC=NA -108 0.5u
Waterson Sub. +1250 0.15u

Felder ML +106.4 2.6u +2.766u
Felder Dec. +455 0.25u
Charles Oliveira KO/TKO +850 0.1u

Teymur -3.5 +155 0.5u +0.775u

Herrig ML -120 3u +2.5u
Herrig SC=NA +102.5 2u
Herrig -3.5 +170 0.5u
Herrig ITD +425 0.25u
Herrig R3 +1800 0.1u

Homasi Dec. +560 0.2u

Reyes Sub. +800 0.1u +0.8u
Kimball ML +450 0.15u

Willis ITD +287 0.2u +0.574u
Crowder Dec. +650 0.1u

Magana Sub +1300 0.05u
Magana ITD +1400 0.05u

Total: -1.585u

 

[piglord]

repost (calculated wrong the first time).

with £522 last night this was an awesome weekend.

WINS

Alvarez £100 returns £220

Reyes sub £20 returns £220

Herrig £100 returns £200

Teymur, cooper £186 returns £386

Yancy £20 returns £80

Yancy £50 returns £137

Felder £50 returns £97

Holloway, torres £330 returns £732

Reyes, razak, willis, felder free bet returns £190

LOSSES

Aldo £100 returns £262

Pettis £100 returns £350

Reyes sub, torres dec, felder, max ko, pettis dec £10 returns £3427

Holloway itd, francis, torres, willis, cooper, reyes, razak, teymur, felder, pettis dec free bet returns £1221

PROFIT: £1196

 

[MT6ix]

Cejudo ML @ -260 for 1.5u.
Gaethje ML @ -175 for 1u.
Teymur ML @ -132 for 1u.

2 out of 3, up just under 1u.

Really enjoyed this card as a fan.

 

[AxeMurderer]

Total = +1140
$460 to win $262.50 - Aldo/Holloway ITD
$125 to win $100 - Holloway wins ITD*
$30 to win $277 - Holloway wins by submission* +925
$215 to win $100 - Francis Zavier N'Gannou -215*
$150 to win $100 - N'Gannou wins inside distance* -150
$30 to win $293 - Reyes wins by submission +979
$55 to win $42 - David Teymur* -130 vs Drakkar Klose
$211 to win $250 - Cooper wins inside distance
$40 to win $40 - Felice Herrig +100*
$100 to win $155 - Oliveira
$265 to win $100 - Alvarez / Gaethje ITD
$20 to win $83 - Alvarez wins by TKO/KO*
$75 to win $55 - Pettis points handicap* +3½
$25 to win $68 - Sergio Pettis*


Huge night for me, what a difference a day made. I got lucky with the last minute ko from eddie, i have to somehow keep myself from those bets but it worked out this time.

 

[t6p]

0.5u Aldo NSC +558 -0.5u
0.2u Aldo KO +1255 -0.2u
0.1u Aldo SUB +2000 -0.1u

1.5u NOT Ngannou ITD +163 -1.5u
0.2u Ngannou-Overeem GTD +350 -0.2u
0.2u Overeem DEC +650 -0.2u
0.1u Overeem SUB +1305 -0.1u

0.6u Pettis +255 -0.6u
0.4u Pettis DEC +418 -0.4u

1.5u Alvarez +165 +2.48u
0.5u Alvarez ITD +400 +2u
0.1u Alvarez RD1 +750 -0.1u

0.5u Waterson-Torres ITD +235 -0.5u

3u Felder +114 +3.42u
0.5u C. Oliveira SUB +225 -0.5u
0.1u Felder SUB +1600 -0.1u

0.5u Medeiros +248 +1.24u
0.5u A. Oliveira DEC +223 -0.5u
0.1u Medeiros SUB +980 -0.1u

2u Teymur -145 +1.38u
0.5u Teymur DEC +178 +0.89u

0.1u Reyes SUB +979 +0.98u

0.5u Torres DEC/Cejudo DEC/Holloway ITD +493 +2.47u
0.1u Felder/Alvarez/Overeem +1454 -0.1u
0.55u RR Teymur DEC/A. Oliveira DEC/C. Oliveira SUB/Alvarez ITD +0.15u
0.55u RR Klose DEC/Felder ITD/Overeem ITD/Holloway DEC -0.55u

NET: +8.76u

I love Eddie Alvarez and Paul Felder. Great night but I'm a little bit salty because 5dimes rejected my live bets on Yancy at +440 and Max/Aldo ITD at +120. Also would have been nice for the Felder win to be ruled a sub, but what can you do. Awesome weekend for me, up a little over 17u overall. Starting to get my confidence back after that bad run. Shout out @Sadistics for the Reyes sub play, wish I went bigger!

 

[Sadistics]

Overeem +245 1.5u
Ngannou KO -136 2u
Ngannou/Overeem U1.5 -125 .5u

Pettis DEC +320 .5u

Torres -140 2.5u
Torres -3.5 +185 .5u

C. Oliveira NSC -110 1u

Oliveira -203 2u
Oliveira/Medeiros O1.5 -180 1u

Teymur -162 2u
Teymur/Klose O1.5 -175 1.5u

Herrig DEC +142 .5u

Cooper ITD +162 1.5u
Cooper/Magana U2.5 +170 1u

Reyes SUB +1135 .7u

Willis/Crowder O1.5 -140 1u


Cooper + Reyes -166 3u

Cooper + Willis -119 1u


Thought I'd be on Aldo at near 3-1 but I'm just gonna try to livebet max. Wanted to have much more on Cooper, would've gone 10u at -200, but she's way too steep.

+25u! Couldn't be happier. Live and late bets can be found in the sig if anyone cares. Looks like everyone had a very profitable weekend, congrats all

 

[EzFlyer]

UFC 218 Net: +870.23
holloway SUB: 25 for 218.75 - 10 parlays / holloway KO: 21 parlays / holloway RD4: 6 parlays / holloway RD5: 15 for 183.75 / RD4: 25 for 212.50 / ITD: 252.50 for 215 / aldo DEC: 20 parlays / aldo KO: 15 for 178.20 - 7 parlays / aldo RD1: 10 for 200
overeem +200: 50 for 100 / overeem DEC: 6 parlays / overeem RD1: 10 parlays / overeem +3.5: 100 for 155 / DEC: 33 for 102.30 - 20 parlays / O1.5: 67 for 81.74 / NOT ngannou ITD: 42 parlays
pettis +201: 75 for 151.25 - 21 parlays / pettis NSC: 20 parlays
gaethje -102: 330 for 325 / gaethje ITD: 21 parlays / gaethje RD2: 30 parlays / gaethje RD3: 7 parlays / DEC: 60 for 50 / O1.5: 82.50 for 50 / KO: 66.50 for 50
torres: 0 for 46.34 / ITD: 25 for 100 / waterson DEC: 20 parlays / waterson SUB: 25 for 366.25 - 7 parlays
felder +123: 300 for 370 - 21 parlays / felder DEC: 20 parlays / felder ITD: 21 parlays / felder SUB: 15 for 240 / felder RD2: 6 parlays / felder RD3: 15 for 153.75 - 17 parlays
medeiros +158: 192.50 for 304 - 21 parlays / medeiros DEC: 6 parlays / ITD: 175 for 100 / a.oliveira KO: 25 for 53.75 - 20 parlays / a.oliveira RD3: 7 parlays
klose +141: 200 for 282.50 - 42 parlays / klose DEC: 26 parlays
herrig -115: 352 for 305 / herrig DEC: 21 parlays / herrig ITD: 20 parlays / herrig SUB: 50 for 315 / herrig RD3: 10 for 160 - 7 parlays / RD1: 10 parlays
cooper ITD: 21 parlays / cooper SUB: 21 parlays / cooper RD2: 60 for 300 - 26 parlays / cooper RD3: 40 for 360 - 17 parlays
homasi +240: 50 for 120 - 20 parlays / homasi RD1: 10 parlays / homasi RD2: 7 parlays / alhassan RD1: 21 parlays
reyes SUB: 20 for 195.80 - 6 parlays / reyes RD1: 21 parlays / U1.5: 58.50 for 50 / kimball ITD: 10 parlays
willis DEC: 33 for 83.49 - 21 parlays / willis RD3: 10 parlays / willis NSC: 125 for 203.75
props
FOTN: felder-c.oliveira: 5 for 50
parlays
49 RR for (paid -21.23) 1,072.12: NOTngannouITD/ pettis/ felderITD/ medeiros/ klose/ cooperITD/ willisDEC
110 RR for (paid -98) 2,112.32: aldoDEC/ reemngDEC/ pettisNSC/ gaethjeRD2/ watersonDEC/ felderDEC/ a.olivKO/ kloseDEC/ herrigITD/ homasi/ cooperRD2
45 RR for 3,239.67: hollowaySUB/ reemRD1/ gaethjeRD2/ felderRD3/ caseyherrigRD1/ homasiRD1/ kimballITD/ cooperRD3/ willisRD3
28 RR for 3,508.44: aldkoKO/ gaethjeRD3/ watersonSUB/ felderRD3/ a.olivRD3/ herrigRD3/ homasiRD2/ cooperRD3
21 RR for (paid +131.50) 930.65: holloRD4/ reemDEC/ felderRD2/ medeirosDEC/ kloseDEC/ reyesSUB/ cooperRD2
63 RR for (paid +39.07) 795.61: holloKO/ NOTngannouITD/ gaethjeITD/ felder/ klose/ herrigDEC/ alhassanRD1/ reyesRD1/ cooperSUB
---

good stuff. two good w's back to back. feels good after the rough aussie/shanghai ones.

 

[EzFlyer]

some good scores i'm seeing, gents!! fuckin love it, gratses!

 

[Jamah]

1.3u Eddie Alvarez @2.62

1u Overeem @3.00
1u Felder @2.00

0.8u Magana-Cooper u2.5 @2.62
0.5 Medeiros @3.00 / 0.1u Medeiros DEC @6.00

+4.4u Nice event. Some huge fights. I expected Alvarez to win, but I didn't think that he was going to look that good, he was so composed during the entire fight.

 

[thewiggo]

Good night! Near £1100 profit.

Good job all winners tonight was a very good night for the threadmen

 

[Joedaman55]

-$20 Magana, +$50 Herrig, +$20 Teymur, -$27 Oliveira, -85 Gaethje, +100 Ngannou, -$200 Aldo. Net -$162.

Went big on Aldo thinking he would pace himself more and fight smarter. My picks were around 50/50 for the event, not bad but not good enough to make money.

 

[OutRun]

1.5u Felder/Oliveira u1.5 @ 2.10
2u Alex Oliveira @ 1.40
2u Al-Hassan @1.40
3u Teymur @1.55
1.5u Cooper/Magana u2.5 @ 2.2

up 7.25u, pissed at how close I was to hitting the Cowboy and 1.5u bets

 

[Yotsuya]

Mostly done.

Holloway itd 0.75u 2.0
Aldo R1 ko/tko 0.05u 34.0
Aldo R2 ko/tko 0.1u 38.0
Overeem R1 0.1u 10.0
Ngannou R2 0.1u 6.0
Ngannou R3 0.05u 17.0
Overeem dec 0.05u 6.5
Gaethje itd 0.75u 2.4
Alvarez R2 0.05 11.0
Cejudo nsc 0.5u 1.6
Pettis dec 0.1u 5.2
Felder 2u 2.1
Felder R3 0.2u 17.0
Felder sub 0.1u 16.0
Torres 1u 1.73
Torres nsc 1u 2.23
Madeiros 0.7u 2.85
Herrig 1u 1.77
Teymur 0.5u 1.63
Alhassan 0.35u 1.46
Reyes + Cooper 1u 1.59
Willis 0.5u 1.5

+ Additional degen gambles on Felder and Herrig. I used to hate both, but I've grown to like them and would really like to see them keep developing and doing well.

+5.5u. Veeery nice night. Hitting every single ml-bet and was on right side of every fight except one (some last minute gambles). I was trying some new stuff like blocking all black-and-white spammers on this forum and using new capping emphasis on my leans. I was boosting the bets by reliable bettors opinions as usual, so thanks Sherdog!

(I won 166 euros degen gambling too.)

 

[Obsidian Fracture]

Teymur over Klose 2U @ $1.54 = $80 to profit $43.20
Gaethje over Alvarez 2.5U @ $1.52 = $100 to profit $52
Gaethje KO Alvarez 1.25U @ $2.10 = $50 to profit $55

Added Reem over Ngannou 2.5U @ $2.87 = $100 to profit $187.20 (bought out $100 early action @ $2.70 at a loss, to put the ~$80 I got back on Reem at $3.34).
Felder over Olivera 1.5U @ $1.96 = $60 to profit $57.60

Hit:
Teymur over Klose = +$43.20
Felder over Olivera = +$57.80
Holloway KO Aldo $150 @ 2.10 = +$165 (added late)

Missed:
Overeem over Ngannou = -$100
Gaethje over Alverez = -$100
Gaethje KO Alverez = -$50
Holloway SUB Aldo = -$20 (added late)

Total = -$4.20

Gaethje and Reem really hurt me this event. I knew both guys could be on the wrong side of a KO and it ended up happening. Ow well, live to bet another day!