Your official UFC 229 - Khabib x McGregor - BETS

lefontes

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Your official UFC 229 - Khabib x McGregor - BETS

Here we go!
 
McGregor +173 1.33u (playing the line, will be on Khabib)
McGregor NSC +135 .33u

Reyes -155 1u
Reyes SUB +1450 .2u

Volkov -171 4u
Volkov/Lewis O1.5 -160 1u
Lewis NSC -121 1.4u

Herrig -119 .66u
Herrig DEC +120 .33u

Formiga +150 .66u
Formiga NSC -148 2.5u
Formiga SUB +585 .2u

Luque -320 1u
Luque/Turner U1.5 -115 3.33u
Luque/Turner DNGTD -285 1u
Luque ITD -206 .66u

Evinger +149 3u
Evinger SUB +1615 .13u

Kunitskaya -164 6u
Kunitskaya/Lansberg O2.5 -285 3u
Kunitskaya NSC -119 2.45u
Kunitskaya -3.5 +155 .33u
Kunitskaya SUB +945 .2u

Patrick -222 1u
Patrick DEC -122 .8u
Patrick -3.5 +160 .33u

Maynard DEC +325 .4u

Martin +193 1u
Martin NSC -157 1.5u


Way too big on the Volkov and Kunitskaya fights, but I'm likely letting it all ride. May look to freeroll some of the Kunitskaya over if line movement co-operates.
 
$40/$100
Chicago -162 win
Jacksonville -375 win
New England -295 win
Tony Ferguson -335

$20/$110
No extras Toronto/Baltimore win
No extras Cinci/Mil win
Markos/Rodriguez to dec -360 win
New Orleans +12.5 -385 win
Tony Ferguson -305
Conor Mcgregor by KO +175
 
$350 Khabib ML -155

looking to up my play depending on if he moves closer to evens
 
Herrig to win
$29.06 to win $50.19

Volkov/Kunitskaya to win
$52.10 to win $128.65

Volkov/Ferguson to win
$50 to win $101.02

McGregor to win in RD1
$6.70 to win $36.85

McGregor to win by KO/TKO/DQ in RD2
$4.71 to win $44.74

McGregor to win ITD
$18.52 to win $50
 
100€
Volkov 1.57

75€ (parlay)
Khabib 1.58
Tony Fergusson 1.28
Fedor 1.36

15€ (parlay)
Khabib 1.58
Evinger 2.40
Anthony Pettis by Submission 12.0

15€ (parlay)
Khabib 1.58
Ladd 1.57
Anthony Pettys by Submission 12.0

20€ (parlay)
McGregor vs Khabib over 2.5 2.07
Volkov 1.57
Patrick 1.37
LaFlare 1.68
Lentz 1.40
Luque 1.11

And about 10x 10€ hail mary insane parlays. I'm a degenerate, not a systematic gambler, obviously.

edit: as for the most hail maries I'm really milking the following: Pettis by sub at 12.0, T-Ferg by KO at 6.50 and Ladd by sub at 6.00.

/e2: kunitskaya is in half of my bets as well and laflare is present as well in most.
 
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1.5u Alexander Volkov ML @ -152
1u Yana Kunitskaya ML @ -180
1u Felice Herrig ML @ -125

I haven't been betting mma lately because I haven't had time to watch tape until this card. Been busy flipping Canadian marijuana stocks for a fair sized profit in a very short period of time before Canada's legalization date.
 
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Martin +155 1.2u
Maynard +195 0.7u
Kunitskaya -200 2u
Evinger +150 1u
S Pettis -145 1.5u
Herrig -135 1.3
Volkov -170 2.7u
OSP/Reyes O1.5 +135 1u
A Pettis +290 0.5u
A Pettis NSC +360 0.5u
Conor +145 1.5u (really hate this one but I’m a fan boi)
Also have a RR w Volkov, Kunitskaya and Luque ITD. 0.5u per leg.

Good luck fellas!
 
I see a lot of people on Kunitskaya, in fact almost everyone...

Any of you guys really feeling she gets it done by stoppage, or is this going to be a closer, scrappy affair?
 
McGregor, Evinger, Volkov, Lentz: $100 to win $1153
McGregor, Evinger, Volkov, Lentz, Ferg, LaFlare: $20 to win $527
Evinger, Volkov, Lentz, Ferg, LaFlare: $10 to win $110
Khabib, Volkov, Lentz, Evinger, Ferguson: $20 to win $209
McGregor, Lentz, Ferguson, Volkov: $50 to win $281
McGregor, Nate, Liddell: $50 to win $834
 
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3 units OSP to win +207
2 units Formiga wins inside distance +450
1 unit McGregor wins via 1st round KO/TKO +500
1 unit Nurmagomedov to win +100 (bet with friend :D)
2.5 units Conor McGregor to win +200 (Unibet promotion)
1.5 units Nurmagomedov wins via KO/TKO/DQ +350
0.5 units Ferguson vs Pettis ends in draw +6600
 
McGregor +173 1.33u
McGregor NSC +135 .33u
Nurmagomedov wins, lands most TDs, and lands most sig strikes +138 .8u

Pettis RD1 +1400 .2u

Reyes -155 1u
Reyes SUB +1450 .2u

Volkov -171 4u
Volkov/Lewis O1.5 -160 1u
Lewis NSC -121 1.4u

Herrig -114 2u
Herrig DEC +120 .33u

Formiga +150 .66u
Formiga NSC -148 2.5u
Formiga SUB +585 .2u

Luque -320 1u
Luque/Turner U1.5 -115 3.33u
Luque/Turner DNGTD -285 1u
Luque ITD -206 .66u

Evinger +151 6u
Evinger SUB +1615 .13u
Evinger RD3 +2500 .1u
Ladd SUB +1210 .33u

Kunitskaya -164 6u
Kunitskaya/Lansberg O2.5 -285 3u
Kunitskaya NSC -119 2.45u
Kunitskaya -3.5 +155 .33u
Kunitskaya SUB +945 .2u
Kunitskaya RD3 +1800 .2u

Patrick -228 2.5u
Patrick DEC -122 .8u
Patrick -3.5 +160 .33u

Maynard DEC +325 .4u

Martin +222 .66u
Martin NSC -157 1.5u

Would've gone big on a few of these if not for limits.
Buffer to wear a bow tie -152 $150
Bottle of proper twelve at post fight presser -180 $90
McGregor/Khabib do not touch gloves +200 $50
Dana White to say literally at presser u4.5 -120 $30
McGregor does billionaire strut -220 $55
McGregor/Khabib Introduction over 2:49 $60


Some may say I bet too many fights/lines or I risk too much, the way I see it, if a line has value it deserves a bet. That said I do need to be more disciplined.

Regretting how big I am on a Derrick Lewis fight as well as the over in the Lina/Yana fight, other than that I'm quite happy with the bets. May add to Formiga if I can get more +150.
 
1u Pettis +300
2u McGregor +160
small OSP +210
 
1.6u McGregor ml +157

2.5u Ferguson/Pettis FDGTD -102
0.15u Pettis sub +1100

2u on Reyes ml -195 (1u in a Parlay with Poirier)
0.75u Reyes/OSP u1.5 -151
0.75u Reyes/OSP u1 +100

3.7u Volkov ml -172
1u Volkov KO/TKO +240
0.15u Volkov r3 +1300

2u Herrig ml -120
0.15u Herrig sub +850
0.4u Herrig/KH u2.5 +360

2.1u Formiga ml +134
0.25u Formiga sub +600

0.26u Turner itd +900
0.8u Turner/Luque u1.5 -142

4u Evinger +150
1.5u Ladd -120
0.25u Evinger itd +850
0.25u Evinger sub +1600

1.5u Yana ml -138
1u on Yana + Barberena parlay +109
0.15u Yana r3 +1700

0.15u Patrick sub +800

1.6u Martin ml +173
 
J. Formiga +120 2u
J. Formiga +150 .5u
J. Formiga Sub +585 .25u

T. Martin +130 2u
T. Martin ITD +516 .1u

M. Waterson SUB +1050 .15u
A. Pettis SUB +1175 .15u

Not much action here just trying to sit back and enjoy.
<Fedor23>
 
how many of you got FUCKED by prices this card? put my action in wayyy too early on almost every play.

.5u to win .6u on Laflare -135, it's -130 now.
.5u to win .875u, on OSP +175, it's +220 now.
1.75u to win 1u on Volkov -175, it's -150 now.
1u to win 1.35u on McGregor +135 , it's +165 now.
2u to win .6u on no glove touch -303.

almost 1u total in all the price differentials. already going into the night feeling bummed about that, but still feel confident in my plays.

top to bottom I think we've had better card recently, UFC 225 and 226 stand out as better, but this one still feels very special. hope everyone makes some change and hope we get an amazing card. Conor Bless.
 
1.75u McGregor +165
0.25u Nurmagomedov DEC +465

0.5u St. Preux NSC +230
0.1u Reyes SUB +1450

0.5u A.Pettis NSC +333
0.2u A.Pettis SUB +1235
0.1u Ferguson RD3 +1000

0.025u Volkov SUB +2000

1u Herrig +100
0.05u Herrig SUB +1125

1u Formiga +150
0.15u Formiga SUB +585

0.15u Turner NSC +875

0.5u Evinger NSC +295

1u Kunitskaya NSC -125

0.2u Formiga/Herrig/McGregor +1140
0.1u Laflare/Evinger/Volkov/McGregor +1861
0.05u Formiga DEC/Volkov ITD/Ferguson DEC +4531
0.025u Ferguson RD3/McGregor RD2 +8150
 
khabib.PNG



Khabib by points. Betting $82 to win $451. Odds @$5.50
Khabib to complete more then 5 takedowns. Betting $150 to win $300.20 Odds @1.90
Will the fight go to distance (5 rounds) Betting $60 to win $255. Odds @ $4.25
Picture below.
 
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