Your Official UFC Fox 29 Bets

1u Gaethje +135

1u vettori +235

0.67u Mueller +100
 
1u - Rainey ML +175
.75u - Rainey ML +150
1u - Tavares ML -165
2u - Tavares ML -135
2u - Moraga ML +120
 
1u Gaethje +135

1u vettori +235

0.67u Mueller +100
added:

0.5u condit +185

1u more on vettori +230ish (2u +231 net)

1u rainey +150
0.1u rainey SUB +1300

0.8u reis -120

0.13u jotko DEC +205

0.38ishu mueller -115 (1.05u -105 net)

0.13u lima DEC +205
0.27u okami DEC +213
0.48u DEC -180
0.45u lima NSC -134

0.33u wieczorek +295

1u lopez -125
 
$100/$122
Reis -130
Gaethje/porier doesn’t go to dec -385

$25/$103
Gaethje +125
Kamaru usman -220
Stephen Thompson -175

$5.30/$93.35
Gaethje inside distance +141
Alex Oliviera -200
Wilson Reis -140
Edgar/Swanson goes distance -215
Benavidez by decision +105

$20/$97.14
Porier/Gaethje won’t go dec -400
Kamaru usman -220
Stephen Thompson -175
Benavidez by dec +105
 
My action so far, just waiting for the best possible price on Poirier to hedge my Gaethje parlay
A lot will have to go wrong for me to end this event in a loss
upload_2018-4-14_12-20-47.png
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Janikowski, andryszak £500 returns £801

Andryszak in 59 secs £9 returns ?

Soldic, bhullar £100 returns £186

Sanders/Williams u1.5 £80 returns £180

Casey £100 returns £200

Andryszak, bhullar, sanders £200 returns £399

Condit £96 returns £270

Sanders, Tavares £175 returns £377

Moraga, lima £60 returns £264

Lima, moraga, bhullar, janikowski, andryszak, soldic, condit, sanders, acj, casey £25 returns £2381

Vettori £100 returns £325

Vettori sub £25 returns £250

Vettori sub, casey dec, condit dec, gaethje ko £10 returns £3240

Vettori sub, casey dec, gaethje ko £5 returns £360

Soldic, sanders/Williams u1.5, Tavares dec, acj sub, lima dec, gaethje ko £10 returns £1086

Sanders, perez, Mueller, Tavares, acj, moraga, salikhov, bhullar, lima, condit, vettori, casey, gaethje £5 returns £14267

Mueller £110 returns £210
 
Last edited:
Gaethje +125 2u
Gaethje/Poirier o1.5 -150 1.5u
Moraga +120 1u
Vettori/Stylebender o1.5 1.55u -155
Casey +100 1.5u
Waterson +110 1.4u

Small action for me. Didn't want to force anything. Bought out of my Casey bet. I don't trust her for some reason. Best of luck guys.

Edit* added a last minute degen parlay. Lopez ITD +325, Mueller/Dobson FDNGD +220, Gaethje/ Poirier FDNGD -425, .2u for 3.16u
 
Last edited:
2u Poirier +100
0.1u Poirier SUB +585
0.05u Poirier RD3 +800
0.05u Poirier RD4 +1200

0.5u Condit +190
0.1u Condit SUB +1060

0.5u Vettori +230
0.1u Vettori SUB +600

0.3u Casey +383

0.1u Casey/Vettori/Condit/Poirier +2381
0.1u Tavares DEC/Junior SUB/Poirier ITD +1446
0.1u Casey-Waterson ITD/Vettori/Oliveria DEC +1983

0.2u RR Vettori DEC/Condit ITD/Poirier SUB
 
Last edited:
Poirier +100 .5u
Poirier/Gaethje DNGD -265 2u
Poirier/Gaethje ends by KO -238 1u
Poirier/Gaethje U2.5 -139 .3u
Poirier KO +200 .3u

Oliveira -198 1.5u (may add)
Condit RD3 +2000 .1u

Adesanya -240 1u
Adesanya/Vettori O1.5 -150 1u
Adesanya DEC +300 .1u

Casey NSC +133 .5u

ACJ -220 1u
ACJ SUB +195 .4u

Reis -124 .6u
Reis DEC +150 .4u

Tavares -155 1.5u

Moret +460 .25u

Dobson +150 1u

Bhullar -253 2u
Bhullar/Wieczorek GTD -110 .8u

Lopez +110 .5u
Lopez/Perez GTD -150 .5u

Sanders -230 2.3u
Sanders RD2 +450 .3u
Sanders/Williams U1.5 +125 .5u


Fights to GTD
O7.5 +108 .4u
O8.5 +269 .1u
 
$25 to win $778, 9 Team Parlay.

Pending 4/14/18 9:30pm UFC Fighting 1001 Justin Gaethje +110* vs Dustin Poirier
Pending 4/14/18 9:00pm UFC Fighting 1101 Alex Oliveira -200* vs Carlos Condit
Pending 4/14/18 8:30pm UFC Fighting 1202 Israel Adesanya -235* vs Marvin Vettori
Pending 4/14/18 8:00pm UFC Fighting 1301 Cortney Casey/Michelle Waterson Over 2½ -290*
Pending 4/14/18 6:00pm UFC Fighting 1701 Krzysztof Jotko/Brad Tavares Over 2½ -300*
Pending 4/14/18 5:30pm UFC Fighting 1802 Gilbert Burns -630* vs Dan Moret
Pending 4/14/18 5:00pm UFC Fighting 1901 Shana Dobson/Lauren Mueller Over 2½ -320*
Pending 4/14/18 4:30pm UFC Fighting 2001 Dhiego Lima +105* vs Yushin Okami
Pending 4/14/18 3:30pm UFC Fighting 2302 Luke Sanders -420* vs Patrick Williams


<Fedor23>
 
UFC 129 Risk: 2,065.55
gaethje +135: 150 for 202.50 / poirier
condit +75: 75 for 138.75 / condit RD3: 25 for 450 / a.oliveira
vettori +231: 300 for 692.50 / adesanya
waterson +145: 90 for 130.50 / waterson DEC: 60 for 147.20 / casey
boetsch ITD: 20 for 88 / boetsch KO: 20 for 103 / boetsch RD3: 12 for 204 / shoeface
rainey +170: 150 for 255 / rainey SUB: 15 for 195 / salikhov
reis -120: 120 for 100 / moraga
jotko DEC: 20 for 41 / tavares
burns-moret: idk
mueller -105: 157.50 for 150 / dobson
lima DEC: 20 for 41 / lima NSC: 128 for 100 / DEC: 72 for 40 / okami DEC: 40 for 85
wieczorek +295: 50 for 147.50 / bhullar
lopez -121: 181.50 for 150 / perez
williams NSC: 30 for 105 / sanders
props
DEC O9.5: 20 for 133.80
DEC O10.5: 5 for 101.25
DEC O11.5: 2 for 165.50
parlays
33 for 27.82 reis-moraga O2.5 -270 & jotko-tavares O2.5 -290
33 for 31.06 reis-moraga O2.5 -270 & lima-okami O2.5 -240
33 for 29.87 jotko-tavares O2.5 -290 & lima-okami O2.5 -240
21 RR for 3,450.26: gaethjeRD3/ conditRD3/ vettoriRD1/ boetschRD3/ raineyRD3/ muellerSUB/ williamsRD1
35 RR for 2,254.37: gaethjepoirierDEC/ conditITD/ vettoriNSC/ boetschNSC/ raineysalikhovRD1/ wieczorek/ williamsNSC
30 RR for 1,034.71: vettoriSUB/ boetschITD/ salikhovRD1/ burnsRD2/ muellerITD/ lopezSUB
46.55 RR for 1,211.93: vettori/ watersonDEC/ boetsch/ raineyNSC/ burnsSUB/ limaDEC/ lopezDEC
50 RR for 959.98: gaethjepoirierO3.0/ vettoriNSC/ reisDEC/ tavaresDEC/ burnsSUB/ limaDEC
21 RR for 2,132.57: gaethjeRD3/ vettoriSUB/ watersonSUB/ raineySUB/ tavaresKO/ burnsRD3/ limaSUB
---

mehhhhhhhhh not confident today
 
UFC on Fox 29 Risk $3359.75

Justin Gaethje (+125) vs Dustin Poirier $200.00 for $250.00
Justin Gaethje/Dustin Poirier Over 1½ (-155) $310.00 for $200.00
Justin Gaethje wins in round 3 (+900) $15.00 for $135.00

Alex Oliveira (-200) vs Carlos Condit $200.00 for $100.00
Alex Oliveira (-200) vs Carlos Condit $200.00 for $100.00
Alex Oliveira -3½ points (+135) $75.00 for $101.25
Alex Oliveira wins inside distance (+281) $50.00 for $140.50
Alex Oliveira wins by TKO/KO (+365) $35.00 for $127.75
Alex Oliveira wins by KO/TKO/DQ in round 1 (+800) ~$8.00 for ~$64.00
Alex Oliveira wins in round 1 (+525) $20.00 for $105.00
Alex Oliveira wins in round 1 (+600) ~$16.00 for ~$96.00
Carlos Condit wins by submission in round 3 (+7000) ~$8.00 for ~$560.00
Alex Oliveira/Carlos Condit Under 2½ (+160) $100.00 for $160.00
Alex Oliveira/Carlos Condit time out in the fight (+210) ~$8.00 for ~$16.80

Marvin Vettori (+225) vs Israel Adesanya $200.00 for $450.00
Marvin Vettori wins by submission (+800) ~$24.00 for ~$192.00
Marvin Vettori/Israel Adesanya Over 1½ (-150) $300.00 for $200.00

Cortney Casey (+105) vs Michelle Waterson $200.00 for $210.00
Cortney Casey wins inside distance (+525) $25.00 for $131.25
Cortney Casey wins by submission (+695) $25.00 for $173.75

Tim Boetsch (+220) vs Antonio Carlos Junior $100.00 for $220.00
Tim Boetsch wins by TKO/KO (+515) $40.00 for $206.00
Tim Boetsch wins by KO/TKO/DQ (+700) ~$16.00 for ~$112.00
Tim Boetsch/Antonio Carlos Junior Under 1½ (+127) $100.00 for $127.00

Ricky Rainey (+165) vs Muslim Salikhov $100.00 for $165.00

John Moraga (+110) vs Wilson Reis $200.00 for $220.00
John Moraga wins by TKO/KO (+550) $20.00 for $110.00

Krzysztof Jotko scorecards = no action (+153) vs Brad Tavares $75.00 for $114.75

Gilbert Burns/Dan Moret Under 2½ $100.00 for $110.00

Lauren Mueller (-115) vs Shana Dobson $115.00 for $100.00
Lauren Mueller wins inside distance (+500) $20.00 for $100.00
Lauren Mueller wins by submission (+1100) ~$16.00 for ~$176.00
Lauren Mueller wins in round 3 (+1950) $10.00 for $195.00

Dhiego Lima (+110) vs Yushin Okami $100.0 for $110.00
Dhiego Lima wins by KO/TKO/DQ (+700) ~$16.00 for ~$112.00
Dhiego Lima/Yushin Okami Under 2½ (+215) $50.00 for $107.50

Arjan Bhullar -3½ points (-205) vs Adam Wieczorek $82.00 for $40.00

Alejandro Perez/Matthew Lopez Over 2½ (-230) $69.00 for $30.00

Luke Sanders/Patrick Williams Under 1½ (-117) $87.75 for $75.00

Justin Gaethje/Dustin Poirier awarded FOTN bonus (+157) ~$24.00 for ~$37.68
 
Mueller to win
$5.60 to win $10.08
Win: $4.48

Waterson to win
$5 to win $11
Win: $6

Rainey to win
$6 to win $15.75
Rainey to win (Livebet)
$5 to win $13.75
Lose: -$11

Jotko to win
$5 to win $10.50
Lose: -$5

Reis to win
$10 to win $17.27
Lose: -$10

Vettori to win
$10 to win $32.50
Vettori to win (Livebet)
$3 to win $10.50
Lose: -$13

Condit to win
$4 to win $11.20
Lose: -$4

Gaethje to win
$20 to win $41
 
Last edited:
Condit
Dustin
Waterson
Reis
Tavares
Carlos Junior/Israel
 
1u - Rainey ML +175
.75u - Rainey ML +150

1u - Tavares ML -165
2u - Tavares ML -135
2u - Moraga ML +120

Also added:
1.5u - Boetsch/Shoeface u1.5 +127
2.5u - Tavares ML -125
1u - Moraga ML +110

2.5u - Williams/Sanders u1.5 -117
 
Last edited:
2u Poirier +100 +2u
0.1u Poirier SUB +585 -0.1u
0.05u Poirier RD3 +800 -0.05u
0.05u Poirier RD4 +1200 +0.6u

0.5u Condit +190 -0.5u
0.1u Condit SUB +1060 -0.1u

0.5u Vettori +230 -0.5u
0.1u Vettori SUB +600 -0.1u

0.3u Casey +383 -0.3u

0.1u Casey/Vettori/Condit/Poirier +2381 -0.1u
0.1u Tavares DEC/Junior SUB/Poirier ITD +1446 -0.1u
0.1u Casey-Waterson ITD/Vettori/Oliveria DEC +1983 -0.1u

0.2u RR Vettori DEC/Condit ITD/Poirier SUB -0.2u

Added:
0.1u Williams RD1 +750 -0.1u
0.5u Reis +240 -0.5u
0.5u Rainey +260 -0.5u

NET: -0.65u

Thank you for saving me Dustin. Only thing I regret tonight is not taking Waterson +200 or whatever she was after round 1. Even though I did think Casey should have gotten the nod, I let my pre-fight action blind me there. Confidence was low coming into this card, so not too disappointed with the small loss.
 
Gaethje +125 2u
Gaethje/Poirier o1.5 -150 1.5u
Moraga +120 1u
Vettori/Stylebender o1.5 1.55u -155
Casey +100 1.5u
Waterson +110 1.4u

Small action for me. Didn't want to force anything. Bought out of my Casey bet. I don't trust her for some reason. Best of luck guys.

Edit* added a last minute degen parlay. Lopez ITD +325, Mueller/Dobson FDNGD +220, Gaethje/ Poirier FDNGD -425, .2u for 3.16u

+1u whoop dee doo lol. At least it's not a loss. Next week will be much better.
 
UFC 129 Net: -2,833.37
gaethje -112: 1,112.10 for 988.56 / ITD: 205 for 100
condit -142: 625 for 438.75 / condit RD3: 25 for 450 / ITD: 100 for 140
vettori +299: 675 for 2,020 / ITD: 200 for 150
waterson +147: 350 for 515.50 / waterson DEC: 60 for 147.20
boetsch ITD: 20 for 88 / boetsch KO: 20 for 103 / boetsch RD3: 12 for 204
rainey +205: 625 for 1,283.75 / rainey SUB: 15 for 195
reis +192: 280 for 537.50
jotko +350: 40 for 140 / jotko DEC: 20 for 41

mueller -107: 203.50 for 190 / mueller NSC: 92 for 93.50
lima DEC: 20 for 41 / lima NSC: 128 for 100 / DEC: 72 for 40 / okami DEC: 40 for 82
wieczorek +295: 50 for 147.50

lopez -121: 181.50 for 150
williams NSC: 30 for 105
props
DEC O9.5: 20 for 133.80
DEC O10.5: 5 for 101.25
DEC O11.5: 2 for 165.50

parlays
33 for 27.82 reis-moraga O2.5 -270 & jotko-tavares O2.5 -290
33 for 31.06 reis-moraga O2.5 -270 & lima-okami O2.5 -240
33 for 29.87 jotko-tavares O2.5 -290 & lima-okami O2.5 -240
21 RR for 3,450.26: gaethjeRD3/ conditRD3/ vettoriRD1/ boetschRD3/ raineyRD3/ muellerSUB/ williamsRD1
35 RR for (paid -31.20) 2,254.37: gaethjepoirierDEC/ conditITD/ vettoriNSC/ boetschNSC/ raineysalikhovRD1/ wieczorek/ williamsNSC
30 RR for 1,034.71: vettoriSUB/ boetschITD/ salikhovRD1/ burnsRD2/ muellerITD/ lopezSUB
46.55 RR for 1,211.93: vettori/ watersonDEC/ boetsch/ raineyNSC/ burnsSUB/ limaDEC/ lopezDEC
50 RR for 959.98: gaethjepoirierO3.0/ vettoriNSC/ reisDEC/ tavaresDEC/ burnsSUB/ limaDEC
21 RR for 2,132.57: gaethjeRD3/ vettoriSUB/ watersonSUB/ raineySUB/ tavaresKO/ burnsRD3/ limaSUB

50 RR for 384.71: gaethjeKO/ conditITD/ vettori/ watersonDEC/ NOTshoefaceSUB
50 RR for (paid -13.28) 194.77: gaethjeNSC/ conditolivITD/ vettoriNSC/ NOTcaseyDEC/ boetsch+3.5

---

that's a wrap for me, no exagerration. i don't have what it takes anymore and i think i've been kind of "looking" for this to happen, like, i've been asking for it.

it's been real, guys, was a fun few years. best of luck. don't chase.
 
i feel that livebetting casey and condit were both good plays, annoyed that they didn't work out (casey in particular).

bhullar was an atrocious play. weird shit always happens with heavyweights, especially unpoven heavyweights.

still having a good year but this sets me back a tonne.

WINS

Poirier £100 returns £262

Mueller £110 returns £210

Sanders, Tavares £175 returns £377

Acj sub £100 returns £237

Moraga £210 returns £420

LOSSES

Gaethe £157 returns £331

Gaethje £100 returns £200

Gaethje, Poirier draw £30 returns £870

Condit r3 ko, gaethje ko £20 returns £1352

Condit £200 returns £400

Condit £96 returns £270

Moraga itd £30 returns £120

Rainey dec £25 returns £90

Moret £50 returns £275

Mueller sub £20 returns £190

Soldic, sanders/Williams u1.5, Tavares dec, acj sub, lima dec, gaethje ko £10 returns £1086

Sanders/Williams u1.5 £80 returns £180

Andryszak, bhullar, sanders £200 returns £399

Soldic, bhullar £100 returns £186

Sanders, perez, Mueller, Tavares, acj, moraga, salikhov, bhullar, lima, condit, vettori, casey, gaethje £5 returns £14267

Lima, moraga, bhullar, janikowski, andryszak, soldic, condit, sanders, acj, casey £25 returns £2381

Andryszak in 59 secs £9 returns ?

Janikowski, andryszak £500 returns £801

Moraga, lima £60 returns £264

Vettori sub, casey dec, condit dec, gaethje ko £10 returns £3240

Vettori sub, casey dec, gaethje ko £5 returns £360

Casey £100 returns £200

Casey £100 returns £266

Casey £100 returns £180

Vettori £100 returns £325

Vettori £100 returns £300

Vettori sub £25 returns £250

NET LOSS: £1446
 
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