Your Official UFN 109 Bets

[Cord]

8u Held 1.30

 

[wack3d]

on:

Glover
Sobotta
Akhmedov
Hadzovic
Smith

too lazy to login to all the bookies for excact units =/ but not big on anyone.. hopefully the dogs will be barking

 

[2bet]

2u Akhmedov - 3.00

2u Musoke/Velickovic >2.5 + Smith/Camozzi >2.5 + Gustaffson >2.5 - 3.76

2u Held + Taleb + Till - 1.95

2u Held + Munhoz + Hermansson/Nicholson <2.5 - 3.37

2u Musoke + Gus - 2.47


1u Oezdemir/Cirkunov >1.5 - 1.90

1u Sobotta - 1.90

1u Musoke + Sobotta/Saunders >2.5 - 2.74

----------------------------------------
I am most confident in Held, second Till.
Most value definitly in the Akhmedov line, this line seems very off.
Not sure what to think of Oezdemir yet, so no money on Cirkunov.
No Money on Madadi/Silva, my guess is that this will be a very chaotic fight.
No money on Munhoz because the line is just that bad.

 

[BigNick100]

.5u Sobotta - DEC@ +230
1u Sobotta - ML@ +100
.2u Omair - DEC@ +550
.5u Omair/Alhassan starts 2 @+100
.25u Omair/Alhassan starts 3 @ +210
1u Smith/Camozzi over 2.5@-165
.25u Enkamp DEC @+604
.25 Enkamp ML @ +310
.25u Munhoz SUB - @+180
.25u Nicholson ML - @+145


Misha/Till/Munhoz - $125 for $108
Misha/Till/Brunson/Tybura/Hendricks - $75 for $261
Sobotta/Till/Tybura/Chiesa - $50 for $316
Sobotta/Till/Cheisa/Gus Unanimous DEC - $20 for $445
Sobotta/Till/Gus Unanimous DEC - $25 for $265


Hail mary parlays -
Misha/Sobotta/Munhoz/Till/Smith-Camozzi over 2.5/Madadi/Silva over 2.5 = $20 for $109
Held/Till/Silva/Munhoz/Nicholas/Sobotta/Misha/Gus - $20 to win $355

That's it for now. I got a lot of parlays riding on Till. Also confident as well.

.5u Sobotta - DEC@ +230
1u Sobotta - ML@ +100
.2u Omair - DEC@ +550
.5u Omair/Alhassan starts 2 @+100
.25u Omair/Alhassan starts 3 @ +210
1u Smith/Camozzi over 2.5@-165
.25u Enkamp DEC @+604
.25 Enkamp ML @ +310
.25u Munhoz SUB - @+180
.25u Nicholson ML - @+145


Misha/Till/Munhoz - $125 for $108
Misha/Till/Brunson/Tybura/Hendricks - $75 for $261
Sobotta/Till/Tybura/Chiesa - $50 for $316
Sobotta/Till/Cheisa/Gus Unanimous DEC - $20 for $445
Sobotta/Till/Gus Unanimous DEC - $25 for $265


Hail mary parlays -
Misha/Sobotta/Munhoz/Till/Smith-Camozzi over 2.5/Madadi/Silva over 2.5 = $20 for $109
Held/Till/Silva/Munhoz/Nicholas/Sobotta/Misha/Gus - $20 to win $355

That's it for now. I got a lot of parlays riding on Till. Also confident as well.

I forgot to add
.5u Till ITD @ +101
$15 Till in round 1 @ +250
$10 Till in round 2 @ +450
$10 Till in round 3 @ +900

5u Gus Unanimous DEC @345
(Decided to hedge with Gus in round 3,4,5 in case)
$10 Gus in round 3 @ +725
$10 Gus in round 4 @ +1225
$10 Gus in round 5 @ +1600

 

[Polarize]

Like 8-9u lost last event (I deserve the lost for not closing my live bets of Masvidal before R3 although I knew that the correct thing was to close the bets. Prebets went wrong, especially losing the overs in Skelly-Knight Miocic-JDS.

---------

2u Smith (2.62)

2u Till-Ayari u2.5 (2.40)
0.2u Till R2 (6.00)

0.2u Akhmedov DEC (8.50)

0.5u Cirkunov SUB (2.00)
0.1u Cirkunov R3 (9.50)

2u Gustafsson TKO-DEC (1.66)
0.1u Gustafsson R3 (13.00)

parlay:
1u Gustafsson TKO-DEC/Darren Till (2.16)

----
Maybe I add Sobotta if I can get him at evens.

 

[edole]

 

[NinjaCat456]

2.4u Till + Munhoz + Cirkunov to win 2u

RR 0.468u Musoke/Vel O2.5, Silva/Madadi O2.5, Gus/Glover O2.5, Camozzi/Smith FGTD, Herm/Nicholson ITD to win just under 2u

Lotto 0.032u Till ITD + Musoke points + Hermansson + Munhoz ITD + Silva + Taleb + Alhassan/Omari O1.5 to win 2.35u

Prob have a crack at some live bets as we go too.

 

[hugdeeznuts]

Camozzi by decision
Held/Till/Munhoz parlay
Nicholson
Taleb/Alhassan parlay
Saunders/Silva parlay
Misha/Gus parlay

 

[MMA Goodfella]

Sorry I didn't realize they already started and I posted but I had just made LOL let me edit them

ML PLAYS


Smith (+160) Risking: 2.5 Unit(s) To Gain: 4.00 Unit(s)

Madadi (+150) Risking: 2.2 Unit(s) To Gain: 3.30 Unit(s)

Sobotta (+100) Risking: 5.5 Unit(s) To Gain: 5.50 Unit(s)

Parlays


Gus -325 » Taleb -390 + Till -330 +114 risk 4 units




.. add more momentarily, best of luck everyone!

 

[null]

UFN 109 Risk $2174.20

Glover Teixeira (+255) vs Alexander Gustafsson $75.00 for $191.25
Glover Teixeira +5½ points (+140) $75.00 f0r $105.00
Glover Teixeira/Alexander Gustafsson Over 2½ (-140) $105.00 for $75.00
Glover Teixeira wins in round 4 (+2839) $10.00 for $283.90
Glover Teixeira wins in round 5 (+3663) $10.00 for $366.30

Misha Cirkunov wins by TKO/KO (+422) vs Volkan Oezdemir $25.00 for $105.50

Ben Saunders (+102) vs Peter Sobotta $100.00 for $102.00
Ben Saunders wins by submission (+711) $25.00 for $177.75

Omari Akhmedov (+200) vs Abdul Rasak Alhassan $100.00 for $200.00
Omari Akhmedov wins by decision (+701) $30.00 for $210.30

Nordine Taleb (-355) vs Oliver Enkamp $355.00 for $100.00
Nordine Taleb wins by submission (+950) $25.00 for $237.50

Jack Hermansson (-165) vs Alex Nicholson $165.00 for $100.00
Jack Hermansson wins in round 3 (+1400) $10.00 for $140.00

Pedro Munhoz by submission (+165) vs Damian Stasiak $40.00 for $66.00

Trevor Smith (+135) vs Chris Camozzi $50.00 for $67.50

Reza Madadi (+145) vs Joaquim Silva $75.00 for $108.75

Bojan Velickovic (+107) vs Nico Musoke $100.00 for $107.00
Bojan Velickovic wins by submission (+904) $15.00 for $135.60
Bojan Velickovic wins in round 3 (+1800) $10.00 for $180.00

Darren Till/Jessin Ayari Under 2½ (+122) $75.00 for $91.50

Marcin Held/Damir Hadzovic Over 2½ (-108) $43.20 for $40.00
Marcin Held wins by decision (+166) $30.00 for $49.80

Fights to end in submission over 2½ (+145) $30.00 for $43.50
Fights to end in submission over 3½ (+444) $15.00 for $66.60
Fights to end in submission over 4½ (+1408) $10.0 for $140.80
Fights to end in submission over 5½ (+5525) $3.00 for $165.75
Fights to end in submission over 6½ (+31000) $2.00 for $620.00

Jack Hermansson/Alex Nicholson FOTN award winner (+700) $15.00 for $105.00

Parlays:
Pedro Munhoz (-719) vs Damian Stasiak + Nordine Taleb (-390) vs Oliver Enkamp + Misha Cirkunov (-450) vs Volkan Oezdemir $401.00 for $300.42

Ben Saunders wins by submission (+610) + Misha Cirkunov wins by submission (+110) $25.00 for $347.75
Pedro Munhoz wins by submission (+160) + Misha Cirkunov wins by submission (+110) $25.00 for $111.50
Marcin Held wins by submission (+175) + Misha Cirkunov wins by submission (+110) $25.00 for $119.38
Pedro Munhoz wins by submission (+160) + Ben Saunders wins by submission (+610) $25.00 for $436.50
Marcin Held wins by submission (+175) + Ben Saunders wins by submission (+610) $25.00 for $463.13
Marcin Held wins by submission (+175) + Pedro Munhoz wins by submission (+160) $25.00 for $153.75

 

[EzFlyer]

UFN 109 Risk: 2,811
GT +250: 50 for 125 - 21 parlays / GT DEC: 10 parlays / GT RD1: 4 parlays / GT +5.5: 100 for 142.50 / GT NSC: 50 for 126.50 / RD4: 13 for 123.50 / RD5: 12 for 144 / gus
cirkunov -229: 457.50 for 200 / cirkunov KO: 30 for 154.50 / cirkunov RD2: 10 parlays / oezdemir
saunders -135: 270 for 200 / saunders DEC: 21 parlays / sobotta
akhmedov +191: 200 for 382.50 - 21 parlays / akhmedov DEC: 30 for 195 - 10 parlays / akhmedov RD3: 4 parlays / alhassan
taleb RD2: 10 parlays / enkamp
hermansson +102: 100 for 101.67 / hermansson NSC: 80 for 99.20 / ITD: 70 for 98 / nicholson
munhoz SUB: 50 for 145 / munhoz RD2: 10 parlays / stasiak
camozzi RD3: 10 for 122.50 - 4 parlays / camozzi NSC: 92.50 for 50 / O2.5; 135 for 100 / smith
madadi DEC: 21 parlays / madadi RD3: 4 parlays / O2.5: 210 for 150 / silva
velickovic +125: 150 for 187.50 / velickovic DEC: 21 parlays / velickovic SUB: 10 for 94 / velickovic RD3: 10 for 200 - 4 parlays / velickovic NSC: 80 for 101.60 / O2.5: 75 for 50 / musoke
till -275: 275 for 100 / till DEC: 21 parlays / ayari +3.5: 50 for 82.50
hadzovic +265: 50 for 132.50 / hadzovic DEC: 10 parlays / hadzovic RD3: 4 parlays / hadzovic +3.5: 50 for 80 - 21 parlays / held
props
FOTN: hermansson-nicholson: 10 for 70
parlays
30 RR for 1,123.46: GTDEC/ CirkRD2/ AkhmedovDEC/ talebRD2/ munhozRD2/ hadzovicDEC
49 RR for 1,435.80: GT/ saundersDEC/ akhmedov/ madadiDEC/ bojanDEC/ tillDEC/ hadzovic+3.5
12 RR for 4,323.20: GTRD1/ akhmedovRD3/ camozziRD3/ madadiRD3/ velickovicRD3/ hadzovicRD3
---

basically set.

i wish i had a lot less on saunders. overbet the openers. only regret at present.

edit: added some dumb RR's and FOTN tiny bet. added camozzi NSC.

hedged my velickovic stuff, now on him +129 and freerolling the NSC now that musoke NSC is +130

 

[Monster Meat]

added
$14/$52
red sox first 5 -165 win
munhoz inside distance -120
penguins game 1 -165

$30/$63
dodgers -166
madadi/silva over 2.5
nico/bojan over 2.5

 

[timmyclax22]

Glover (+254) to win 2U
Akhmedov (+220) to win 2.2U
Akhmedov Rd 3 (+2000) to win 2U
Smith (+130) to win 1U

 

[King_Brown]

Sobota+Musoke+Munhoz/Stasiak U2,5 225 to win 1700
Hermansson + Akhmedov + Silva 120 to win 900
Nelson + MM + Swanson + Maia + Gus 300 to win 1500
Gus + Munhoz + Held + Till + MacDonald + Taleb 300 to win 2000
Gus + Hermansson + Musoke 225 to win 900

 

[piglord]

got every fight right other than razak and cirkunov who were my biggest bets. oh well, it could have been a lot worse.

WINS

hadzovic £18 returns £69

Musoke/bojan o2.5, silva £50 returns £113

Gustafsson itd £100 returns £220

Sobotta, gustafsson £50 returns £125

LOSSES

Till, razak £185 returns £388

munhoz, cirkunov £320 returns £520

Gus/texeira dec £50 returns £118

gustafsson, Holloway , cirkunov, sobotta, razak, taleb, hermansson, munhoz, till, smith, hadzovic £5 (free bet) returns £1549

gustafsson, Holloway, sobotta, razak, till, smith, taleb £20 (free bet) returns £938

LOSS: -£246

silver lining is i still have this killer parlay alive:

Joaquim Silva, Jack Hermansson, Peter Sobotta, Derrick Lewis, Marcin Tybura, Holly Holm, Kevin Lee, Alistair Overeem, Valentina Shevchenko, Kelvin Gastelum, Jon Jones £50 returns £13095

 

[Antagonist88]

2u Glover/Gust o2.5 -125 +1.6u
2.66u NOT Dustin Johnson wins Byron Nelson (won) + Cirkunov -137 -2.66u
1u Trevor Smith +150 (Wanted 2 but jumped too early then waited too late. Will add if it hits +200 again)
1u Bojan/Musoke o2.5 + Silva/Madadi o2.5 +122
1u Nicholson +130 -1u
1.5u Akhmedov +205 +3.08u
1u Bojan/Musoke o2.5 + Camozzi/Smith o2.5 + Till +160
0.33u Held+Till+Munhoz+Taleb+Cirkunov+Gust +350 -0.33u
0.2u Glover DEC +1060 -0.2u

And a lotto RR'd 2-5:
Glover DEC+Saunders SUB+Akhmedov DEC+Nicholson DEC+Madadi SUB. Risk: 0.866u to win around 1163u.

ADDED during card:
0.66u Taleb+Cirkunov+Glover/Gust o2.5 +170 -0.66u
0.1u Akhmedov R2 and R3 -0.2u
0.66u Madadi LIVE +160 -0.66u
0.5u Akhmedov LIVE +225 +1.125u

TOTAL RISK: 12.33u. Definitely forced some plays to have more reason to watch the card, but lighter than normal for me.

Finished up 3.649u on the night. Would have been 10ish if Cirkunov didn't happen, but oh well. Only regret is not being bigger on Smith, since I was real confident in him

 

[t6p]

0.5u Teixeira +260 -0.5u
0.5u Teixeira DEC +1160 -0.5u

1.68u Cirkunov -168 -1.68u

0.5u Akhmedov +200 +1u

0.3u Nicholson KO +365 -0.3u

0.5u Till/Cirkunov ITD +101 -0.5u
0.5u Till/Silva-Madadi o2.5/Taleb +128 +0.64u
0.55u RR (2s,3s,4) Till ITD/Munhoz SUB/Nicholson-Hermansson ITD/Cirkunov SUB -0.55u

Added:
0.5u Nicholson-Hermansson ITD +130 +0.65u
0.1u Akhmedov DEC +550 +0.55u
1u Akhmedov +225 +2.25u
0.1u Teixiera +500 -0.1u
0.1u Teixiera +900 -0.1u

NET: +0.86u

I was feeling great going into the Misha fight but it wasn't meant to be. Oh well, confidence level was basically zero going in to the event so I'll take the tiny profit. Hope others did better.

 

[Joseph Budden]

Now with $150 units thats 11u for me on the day. Cirk cost me like 2 grand smh.

However, for my biggest win of the day, allow me to turn your attention toward the #bum HoF in my sig. ZeesMMA is the worst tout ever. I called him out on it in his latest youtube video when I was enraged to hear he doubled his price.



(yes my youtube name is my full name. Yes go ahead google my old facebook prob sexier than all of you anyway)

After I completely decimated this bum for being a douche tout, and after another poor performance from him today, he tweeted this



With my 11u day keeping me to one losing UFC this year and my life changing youtube comments that made Zee realize hes being an asshole, I declare myslef #mostelite

 

[Jamah]

1u Gustafsson+Musoke-Bojan O2.5 @2.10
1u Till+Held+Cirkunov @2.45
0.5u Smith @3.00
0.5u Madadi @2.62
EDIT: added 0.5u Akhmedov @3.00

+1.6u I only risked 3.5u , so not bad at all

 

[timmyclax22]

Glover (+254) to win 2U
Akhmedov (+220) to win 2.2U
Akhmedov Rd 3 (+2000) to win 2U
Smith (+130) to win 1U

Added Akhmedov Live (+180) to win .9U
Added Glover Live (+500) to win 1.25U

+2.75U