Your Official UFN 110 Bets

2,5u Brunson/Kelly <2.5 1,90
2,5u Hunt 2,00

2,5u Pearson/Hooker >2.5 + Holm 1,97
2,5u Steele + Moraga 2,58
2,5u Ottow + Cutelaba 1,95 (tailing Sham ;))

0,25u Pearson + Cutelaba/Henrique da Silva <1.5 + Gouti 16,53
0,25u Jumeau/Steele <2.5 + Moraga + Brunson/Kelly <2.5 7,75
0,25u Steele ITD + Brunson ITD + Cutelaba ITD + Holm/Correia U4.5 + Cormier 84,53

It was a good night for me, I had 2 further parlays closed with Brunson and Hunt, + I did a last minute parlay which hit (1,5u Aldrich + Moraga + Brunson + Cutelaba/Henrique ITD 5,43)
If Steele had finished Jumeau my 84,53 lotto parlay would still be alive.

Overall I was really just wrong on two things:
Steele (like anybody else)
Pearson/Hooker >2.5

I went +8,02u (the two parlays that closed with Brunson and Hunt excluded).

My regrets:
- I put too much units on Pearson/Hooker >2.5, there were just too many intangibles for a 2.5u bet (Hooker moving up a weight class and so on)
- I believe I saw Jumeau at plus money at bet365 live betting during round 2, and after Steele got rocked the first time in round 2 I actually had already lost all my confidence in him, I should have at least dropped 1u on Jumeau.

My improvements:
I did not get trapped in any bad live bets (well, I did no live bets at all lol)
I greatly improved my unit size management

I was very confident in Cutelaba, Moraga, Steele, Brunson, Hunt, and Brunson/Kelly <2.5, but tbh I am happy that I did not drop more units on them.
After all nobody is a lock (Holly might be vs Correia *cough*), I did not go full degen and I made good money.

I don't regret making a bet on Steele at all, but I swear that I will never ever put any money on him again.
And I might bet pretty much anybody against Jumeau next time, he did not impress me at all.
 
+12u total. 9/11 on bets. big loss on steele. big win on hunt
 
Last edited:
0.05u Kelly SUB +2190 -0.05u
0.05u Kelly RD3 +2925 -0.05u

1.7u Cutelaba -170 +1u

1.6u Elliott NSC -160 -1.6u
0.5u Elliott SUB +400 -0.5u
0.1u Elliott RD3 +1700 -0.1u

0.25u Hirota +540 -0.25u

1u Brown +110 -1u

2.4u Steele -160 -2.4u

1.3u RR Hunt/Brunson KO/Hooker Dec/Cutelaba ITD/Steele ITD -0.36u

NET: -5.31u

Yikes, really frustrating night. Worst event of the year for me so far and puts me slightly back into the negative overall after a nice run of events had me in the black. Oh well, hopefully get it back next weekend.
 
.10u Cutelaba Round 2 - +425 to win $42.50
.10u Cutelaba Round 3 - +950 to win $95


.46u Kim -185 to win $25
.10u Kim by TKO/KO +335 to win $33.50


.20 U Ashkan ML to win $34
.10U Ashkan round 1 +675 to win $67.50
.10u Moraga round 2 - +625 to win $62.50
.10u Moraga round 3 - +11125 to win $112.50


.80u Steele ML to win $50.00
.25u Steele by DEC - to win $37.50

.20u Pearson ML to win $25.00


.25 Brunson ITD to win $27.00

.26u Brown to win .25

2 team parlay -.25u Cutelaba/Ottow Parlay - $26

2 team parlay - .50u Brunson/Hunt parlay to win $87


2 team parlay -.45u Cutelaba + Steele to win $61

2 team parlay - .50u - Daniel Hooker/Ross Pearson Over 2½ +
JJ Aldrich/Chan Mi Jeon Over 2½ -215 to win $58.00

3 team parlay - .25u - Dominique Steele -160 +
Kiichi Kunimoto/Zak Ottow Over 1½ -225 + Thibault Gouti/Dong Hyun Kim Over 1½ -200 to win $63.00

3 team parlay 1u-
Derek Brunson -265* + Ion Cutelaba -200* + Dominique Steele -160 to win $188

4 team parlay - .21u- Dominique Steele -160
+ Kiichi Kunimoto/Zak Ottow Over 1½ -225 + Thibault Gouti/Dong Hyun Kim Over 1½ -200 + Hooker / Pearson goes 3 round distance -155 to win $100.00

4 team parlay I love : $100 to win $180

Derek Brunson -280* vs Daniel Kelly
Hooker / Pearson starts round 2 -428*

Not Pichel inside distance -322*
Kunimoto / Ottow starts round 2 -359

4 team parlay - .25u to win $148.00

Damien Brown -120*
Dominique Steele -170* vs Luke Jumeau

JJ Aldrich/Chan Mi Jeon Over 2½ -205*
Thibault Gouti/Dong Hyun Kim Over 1½ -165*


4 team parlay .34u to win $106.00

Derek Brunson -265*
Ion Cutelaba -210* vs Henrique da Silva
Zak Ottow -280* vs Kiichi Kunimoto
JJ Aldrich/Chan Mi Jeon Over 2½ -215*



7 team parlay - .27u to win $172.00

Derek Brunson -280* vs Daniel Kelly
Ion Cutelaba -300* vs Henrique da Silva

Dominique Steele -165* vs Luke Jumeau
Hooker / Pearson starts round 2 -428* vs Fight won’t start round 2
Not Pichel inside distance -322*
Kunimoto / Ottow starts round 2 -359*
2037 Jeon / Aldrich starts round 2 -475*


added :

Brown/Pichel goes the DEC - .32U to win $25


Ottow wins by DEC .15U TO WIN $15


4 team parlay : .25 to win $79

Derek Brunson -280* vs Daniel Kelly
Hooker / Pearson starts round 3 -208* vs Fight won’t start round 3
Not Pichel inside distance -322* vs Pichel wins inside distance
Kunimoto / Ottow starts round 3 -172* vs Fight won’t start round 3

.18 TO WIN $262.08 - 7 Team Parlay

Derek Brunson -265* vs Daniel Kelly
Daniel Hooker/Ross Pearson Over 2½ -210*
Ion Cutelaba -210* vs Henrique da Silva
Damien Brown -160* vs Vinc Pichel
Zak Ottow -280* vs Kiichi Kunimoto
J Aldrich/Chan Mi Jeon Over 2½ -215*

Dong Hyun Kim -185* vs Thibault Gouti

.15 to win $92.08 6 Team Parlay

Derek Brunson -280* vs Daniel Kelly
Ion Cutelaba -300* vs Henrique da Silva
John Moraga -170* vs Ashkan Mokhtarian
Zak Ottow -330* vs Kiichi Kunimoto
JJ Aldrich -220* vs Chan Mi Jeon

Not Pichel inside distance -322*

Added late : Hunt ML 2u to win $240.00


End Results : Minus- $218.00.


So I am with most that got hurt by Steele. Luke was better then excepted. Maybe a lesson to be learned as well since Steele was never great to begin with. Lots of parlays missed by one, so I need to re group and tighten up some more. Pichel ITD was a shocker too. That's how the cookie crumbles sometimes.
 
5 units ottow + cutelaba @ +100

Also hit brun r1 +250 little lb profit from hooker and threw 400 on hunt just before fight started @ +133. Steele blew a six teamer and i lost a little from lb earlier in night think lb brown was biggest lb loss. Anyhow 5 unit win and back to where i was 4 events ago before andrade fucked me and cirkunov blew my treble and five teamer to give me a 12k swing. Hate you forever Cirkunov
 
2u Hooker/Pearson o2.5 - 1.57
2u Cutelaba - 1.50
2u Steele - 1.60
1.5u Brunson + Volkanovski - 1.87
1.5u Ottow/Kunimoto o1.5 + Volkanovski + Hooker/Pearson o2.5 - 3.05
1u Ottow/Kunimoto 1.5 - 1.42
1u Hooker - 1.72
1u Hunt - 2.20
0.5u Brunson ITD - 2.00

0.5u Steele + Cutelaba ITD - 3.03
0.5u Cutelaba ITD - 1.95
0.25u Hirota DEC - 7.00
0.25u Brown - 1.92
0.25u Ottow + Cutelaba/Da Silva o1.5 - 1.98
0.25u Hooker DEC - 3.25
0,1u Cutelaba R3 - 10.00
0.1u Hunt R3 - 13.00

0.1u Hunt R4 - 34.00
0.1u Hunt R5 - 34.00
0.5u Aldrich/Jeon o2.5 - 1.53
0.5u Hunt/Lewis o1.5 - 1.90

Live bets/last minute additions:
0.5u Ottow DEC - 1.83
1u Jumeau - 2.75

0.1u Ashkan R1 - 7.00
0.5u Moraga ITD - 2.62

0.25u Hunt ITD - 2.87

Total: +4,36u

My only real regret is not trusting my own read and betting more on Hookers ML instead of going big on the over (the same over that cost me 3,5u...). It's my own fault but seeing pretty much everybody on Pearson made me back off. Also, it's kind of crazy that I'm once again saved by a long shot round prop in the main event, just like when I hit Gus R5 on the Stockholm card.
 
20.5u won. Hit all prebets except 0.1u Cutelaba R2

won 5u livebetting Jumeau +200, some units livebetting Hooker, Hunt and Volk.
loses livebetting: 1.8u with Moraga ITD (sick), 1u on Brown lol.

After a hard start of the year the sun shines again. 47,5u up and the goal is +300u before the end of the year. Embrace the grind!
 
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