- Joined
- Jan 10, 2006
- Messages
- 14,863
- Reaction score
- 0
0.5u Christensen +325
1u Guida +280
2.5u Penn +200/+175
0.5u Penn DEC +545
1u Quinones +130
0.5u Herrig +137
added:
0.33u Herrig NSC +200
0.23u Herrig SUB +1305
1u Boetsch KO/TKO OR DEC +199
0.5u Christensen +325
1u Guida +280
2.5u Penn +200/+175
0.5u Penn DEC +545
1u Quinones +130
0.5u Herrig +137
1u MICHAEL CHIESA (vs Kevin Lee) @2.20
1u MARYNA MOROZ (vs Carla Esparza) @3.10
1u TIM MEANS ITD (vs Alex Garcia) /JARED GORDON (vs Michel Quinones) @3.20
1u ERIC KOCH ITD (vs Clay Guida) @2.37
1u Michael Chiesa @2.20
1u Justine Kish @2.00
1u Vettori+Means @1,95
0.5u Means ITD @1.83
0.5u Koch ITD @2.37
0.38u Hendricks + o1.5 Christensen-Reyes @3.10
1u Chiesa +100
1u Johnny Case +160 -1u
0.66u Guida +185 +1.22u
0.33u Guida DEC +375 +1.24u
0.5u Christensen +325
2.5u Stansbury -125 -2.5u
1u Esparza/Moroz o2.5 + Herrig/Kish o2.5 -110 +0.9u
1.33u Herrig +135 +1.8u
And a goofy lotto RR 2-5, $13 to win 90k
Case R3 + Esparza SUB + Means R3 + Christensen ITD + Chiesa R4
TOTAL RISK: 8.33u
Lot of dog money up for me tonight, so could be a rough one. May still make a play on Herrig during the card depending how the night is going
EDIT: Lost a baseball bet play so just tilt-added Herrig now. I do like the play though
ADDED LIVE:
0.2u Case/Martin FOTN +900 +1.8u
0.33u Moroz LIVE -0.33u
0.33u Miranda Live -0.33u
1.33u Guida ml +300 +4u
0.33u Guida DEC +385 +1.27u
0.33u BJ DEC +340 -0.33u
0.4u (Total, lol) RR in 2s and 5: MirandaNSC + GuidaDEC + ChristensenITD + HerrigDEC + ChiesaSUB +0.33u
0.33u Herrig +135 +0.45u
0.33u Herrig DEC +225 +0.74u
0.66u Herrig LIVE +140 +0.92u
1u Chiesa +115
0.66u ChiesaSUB +243
can't believe i managed to make it out tonight with a profit. i took huge losses on koch and bj - shame on me, both were horrible plays. the frustrating thing is i got koch at -175 thinking he was value, i would have never played -350.
i really feel bad about that one, like i need to question my decision making because koch was just a horrible parlay leg. perhaps i should have watched more tape, i just felt koch would be able to defend takedowns and was the superior striker.
it feels like every event there is one fighter (usually a fav) that costs me a huge payday. oh well, a profit is a profit.
i got the last 5 fights perfect which saved my ass.
WINS
Esparza, vettori £100 returns £189
Horcher, means £100 returns £205
Means, reyes £200 returns £334
Herrig £200 returns £440
Boetsch, lee £100 returns £558
LOSSES
Chael, stansbury, penn £50 returns £311
Case £10 returns £21
Quinones £50 returns £112
Means dec, vettori sub, herrig dec, reyes ko £15 returns £1126
Koch, reyes, £300 returns £642
Means, horcher, Koch, reyes, lee, vettori, overeem, whitakker, Shevchenko £100 returns £5362
Penn £115 returns £316
Penn £80 returns £190
PROFIT: £306
A few more plays than intended, added a pseudo-hedge on Lee. Should've passed on the Quinones fight, the Kimball fight, and Guida, but I at least had the resolve to pass on the BJ fight! If line movement allows I'll be buying out of my Guida bet and will play Koch ITD, will also play Herrig/Kish FOTN and Lee/Chiesa FOTN
Lee -120 2.4u
Chiesa SUB +249 .5u
Boetsch +177 1u
Boetsch NSC +128 .5u
Means -200 2u
Means KO +110 .5u
Guida +280 .4u
Guida/Koch U2.5 +137 .5u
Vettori -155 2u
Esparza -168 3u
Esparza SUB +650 .3u
Esparza -3.5 +150 .5u
Horcher DEC +110 1u
Quinones NSC -118 .5u
Case +160 .5u
Case RD3 +1950 .2u
Kimball DEC +406 .25u
Vettori -210 + Reyes -275 3u for 3.05u
Vettori -210 + Esparza -210 2u for 2.35u
Chandler -565 (Bellator) + Means -240 2u for 1.35u
Bader +5.5 -245 (Bellator) + Kish +3.5 -215 1u for 1.1u
Edit: passed on Kish/Herrig FOTN at +500, took Lee/Chiesa FOTN +400 .25u. Also added Guida/Koch U2.5.