Your Official UFN 113 Bets

[Yotsuya]

I enjoyed capping Nash-Roberts, Mulheron-Willis and Rountree-Craig a lot, so I treated myself three semidegenerate 2u underdog bets as late birthday present. Good odds and cool dudes.

Nelson R1/2 0.5u 3.0
Pontzibbion dec 0.1u 7.0
Calderwood 0.2u 2.95
Felder 0u for 0.4u / dec 0.5u 3.5 / R3 0.1u 22.5 / Nsc 3u 2.03
Janes 0.2u 5.7
Craig 2.3u 2.85
Mulheron 2u 2.73
Nash 2u 2.9

Dec rr 0.4u
U/o rr 0.2u

Birthday present bets clean 100% -6u loss. +1,2u the rest. Mulheron was a disappointment but really enjoyable fights otherwise.

 

[piglord]

thought this was going to be a disaster after teymur lost. from a technical standpoint i called that fight dead on but was completely blindsided by henry's chin and the cardio discrepancy. i guess teymur coming back from a honeymoon should have been a red flag.

felder, calvillo, ponzinibbio parlay saved my ass tonight on a card i wasn't hugely confident on.

next week however i am way more confident.

it's funny how in the real world you get money by being a moronic, well groomed, extroverted, smiling, obsequious cockroach whereas in the gambling world you can get money by using your eyes and coming to rational conclusions.

MORE MONEY IN THE FUCKING BANK.

WINS

Smith £125 returns £196

Rountree £151 returns £351

Felder £71 returns £171

Bofando, calvillo £100 returns £216

Felder, calvillo, ponzinibbio £101 returns £1012

Ponzinibbio £115 returns £316

LOSSES

Johns, morales itd £25 returns £65

Teymur, marshman £316 returns £616

Teymur, marshman £200 returns £409

Smith, teymur, marshman ko, felder dec, calvillo sub, ponzinibbio, Bermudez £50 returns £4542

Seery £32 returns £134

Nash £55 returns £158

Mulheron £30 returns £150

Marshman ko £95 returns £155

PROFIT: £796

 

[Obsidian Fracture]

1.75U on Gunnar @ $1.62. $70 to profit $43.40.

Well that $70 got knocked the fuck out. Grats to Ponz backers.

 

[EzFlyer]

UFN 113 Net: +1,122.83
ponzinibbio +160: 100 for 160 - 21 parlays / ponz DEC: 25 for 107.50 - 19 parlays / O2.0: 71 for 50 - 30 parlays / nelson RD2: 10 parlays
calderwood DEC: 33 for 151.80 - 10 parlays / calvillo: 2.50 for 0 / calvillo RD1: 5 parlays / calvillo RD3: 15 for 157.50 - 5 parlays
ray -110: 110 for 100 / ray DEC: 10 parlays / felder DEC: 33 for 100.65 - 10 parlays
janes +470: 32.50 for 152.88 / janes +3.5: 30 for 78 - 10 parlays / janes NSC: 5 parlays / NOT marshman ITD: 0 for 5 / marsh RD1: 10 parlays / marsh RD2: 5 parlays
rountree +100: 125 for 125 - 30 parlays / rountree DEC: 10 for 135.10 / rountree RD1: 40 parlays / DEC: 15 for 90 / U1.5: 75 for 50 / craig RD2: 5 parlays
mulheron +700: 15 for 105 - 21 parlays / mulheron DEC: 20 for 73 - 10 parlays / DEC: 100 for 100 - 10 parlays / O1.5: 79.20 for 60 - 30 parlays / willis DEC: 9 parlays
nash: 0 for 52.50 - 21 parlays / nash ITD: 5 parlays / ITD: 182.10 for 132 - 30 parlays / roberts: 0 for 5 / roberts SUB: 9 parlays / roberts RD2: 5 parlays
seery +415: 100 for 415 / seery DEC: 10 parlays / seery +3.5: 21 parlays / O2.5: 95 for 50 - 30 parlays / pantoja SUB: 14 parlays
bofando: 30 parlays / bofando RD1: 30 for 46.50 - 40 parlays
henry +278: 130 for 361 - 21 parlays / henry RD3: 10 for 135 - 5 parlays / henry NSC: 30 for 52.80 - 10 parlays / teymur RD1: 9 parlays
johns DEC: 30 parlays / johns -3.5: 50 for 60 - 21 parlays / O2.5: 95 for 50
smith RD3: 5 parlays
props
FOTN: seery-pantoja: 8 for 60
FOTN: henry-teymur: 7 for 66.50
parlays
52.50 for (paid +96.46) 307.60: ponznelsonO2.0/ rountree/ mulhernwillisO1.5/ nashrobertsITD/ seerypantojaO2.5/ bofando/ johnsDEC
56 RR for (paid +97.96) 804.87: ponz/ rountreeRD1/ mulheron/ nash/ seery+3.5/ bofandoRD1/ henry/ johns-3.5
21 RR for (paid +104.77) 1,616.69: ponzDEC/ rountreeRD1/ willisDEC/ robertsSUB/ pantojaSUB/ bofandoRD1/ teymurRD1
20 RR for (paid +17) 302.91: rayDEC/ marshRD1/ rountreeRD1/ mulheronwillisDEC/ bofandoRD1/ henryNSC
20 RR for 1,827.70: ponzDEC/ jojoDEC/ felderDEC/ janes+3.5/ mulheronDEC/ seeryDEC
15 RR for 1,409.97: nelsonRD2/ calvilloRD3/ marshRD2/ robertsRD2/ henryRD3/ smithRD3
15 RR for (paid -9.86) 499.47: nelsonRD2/ calvilloRD1/ janesNSC/ craigRD2/ nashITD/ pantojaSUB
---

back on track, baby.

could've been a *monster* night if ponz won after 2.0 or even more if ponz won via decision (those RR's would've paid a lot bigger).

both of my RD3 stabs (henry and calvillo) should've f'ing HAD the R3 finishes, too. but i won't whine (much) this week. capped off a good week.

 

[Sapp]

After livebetting, here are results:

0.6u Paul Felder @2.5 + 0.9u
0.3u Cynthia @1.5 + 0.15u
0.2u Leslie [email protected] +0.1u
0.2u [email protected] + 0.1u

-0.3u craig
-0.3u nash
-0.2u Marshman KO
-0.2u Gunni
-0.1 stupid parlay

Overall: +0.15u

Still technically not off my winning streak, but this was basically a non event.

 

[Sadistics]

Ponzinibbio +190 1u

Calderwood +210 2u

Felder NSC -101 1.5u
Ray DEC +135 1u

Rountree +131 2u

Nash +160 2u

Mulheron +150 1u

Smith -150 3u


Marshman -270 + Johns -270 5u for 4.4u

Marshman -285 + Teymur -181 1u for 1.1u

Felder/Ray O2.5 -195 + Pantoja/Seery O2.5 -215 1u for 1.2u

Aiming for at least 3u profit, putting me 50u up since June 16th. Not feeling very confident, though can you ever be when 5/6 of your straight ML plays are dogs?

Won't be able to watch this nor the next 2 events live, then we have the month break

Up 5u, surpassing the 50u in a month goal!

 

[MrSkin]

What am i doing wrong, how should i change my strategy?

 

[MrSkin]

bump..,.help a newbie better bros...

 

[Sadistics]

What am i doing wrong, how should i change my strategy?

View attachment 250547

Betting the same amount on every fight isn't the best strategy, you should vary amounts based on confidence level and your perception of line value.

 

[onC]

Betting the same amount on every fight isn't the best strategy, you should vary amounts based on confidence level and your perception of line value.

Slightly disagree, when it comes to complete newcomers to betting. Using flat bets (for example 1% of your bankroll) works pretty well, and you'll see pretty fast wether you're making winning bets or not.

Obviously once you're more experienced, and can identify the value of different spots more accurately, you should vary your betsizes based on that.

 

[Sadistics]

Slightly disagree, when it comes to complete newcomers to betting. Using flat bets (for example 1% of your bankroll) works pretty well, and you'll see pretty fast wether you're making winning bets or not.

Obviously once you're more experienced, and can identify the value of different spots more accurately, you should vary your betsizes based on that.

I think officer brown proved that's not a winning strategy. We're not here to provide newbie advice, as MrSkin showed it's not working for him, though it is a small sample size with just 1 event.

Unit sizing and correctly determining how many units to assign to each bet is very important