Your Official UFN 116 Bets

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Had a bit to drink last night cause it was my birthday..said i was going to lay the juice but came to my senses this morning lol. Going to play easy tonight..

My lengthy parlays feel a little silly. The two teamer is my only confident investment.
 
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2,25u Smith 1,80
2,25u Smith/Lombard O1.5 1,80
2,25u Martin 2,00
2,25u Martin/Aubin-Mercier O2.5 + Usman/Moraes O2.5 2,23
2,25u Burns 1,80
2,25u Hamilton + Rockhold/Branch O1.5 2,04
2,25u Hamilton/Spitz ITD + Rockhold/Branch O1.5 1,96
1,5u Jotko 1,50
1,5u Gillespie/Gonzales O1.5 + Rockhold 2,07
1,5u Ledet ITD 1,83
0,5u Jotko ITD 8,00

Alves would have been my favourite bet
 
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+ 1u last event, but it feels like a loss considering I was +7u or +8u before Shev/ Nunes fight.
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0.33u Burns (1.70)
1.2u Mercier (1.80)
1u Lombard (2.20)

1.33u Burns-Saggo DEC (1.50)
1u Hamilton-Spitz o1.5 (1.90)
0.2u Hamilton DEC (3.75)
2u Usman-Moraes o2.5 (1.53)

0.2u Lombard DEC (5.50)
0.13u A.Smith R2 (7.00)
0.1u A.Smith R3 (11.00)

parlays:
0.5u Burns-Saggo o2.5/Usman-Moraes o2.5 (2.23)
0.1u Burns-Saggo DEC/Jotko/Hamilton-Spitz o1.5/Mercier/Usman-Moraes o2.5/Lombard (26.08)

EDIT:
0.25u Jotko ITD (8.00)
 
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Rockhold itd
Lombard
Gillespie/usman/perry
Ledet itd
OAM
Hamilton itd
Burns
Hall
 
Burns -120 $44 for $37.00
Martin +100 $55.00 for $55.00

Rockhold -450 + Gillespie -425 + Usman -600 + Ledet -425 $55.00 for $67.71

Perry -465 + Usman -600 + Jotko -200 risk $110.00 for $123.00

Smith -115 risk $60 to win $52.18

Hamilton -200 + Jotko -200 risk $50 to win $62.50

Hamilton -200 + Perry -465 risk $50 to win $42.18

Gillespie By Submission +500 risk $14 totaling $70

Moraes By Submission +1100 risk $14 to win $154

Ledet/Anyanwu o1.5 -150 $70.00 to win $46.48

Ledet wins in round 2 +375 risk $14 to win $52.50

Perry -465 + Hamilton -200 + Jotko -225 $75.00 to win $122.45



Will be hedging on Branch/Rock if over legs come through.
 
0.2u Branch +450
0.2u Branch NSC +460
0.1u Branch DEC +1100

1.1u Smith -110
0.1u Smith RD3 +950

0.1u Usman RD3 +975

1u OAM +100

1.9u Jotko -190
0.05u Jotko RD3 +2325

1.35u Burns -135
0.1u Burns SUB +425

0.5u RR (3s) Burns SUB/OAM SUB/Ledet SUB/Usman KO/Gillespie DEC
0.5u RR (3s) Hall-Jotko ITD/Moraes-Usman ITD/Gonzalez-Gillespie GTD/Smith-Lombard GTD/Rockhold-Branch GTD

Lotta little stabs here hoping to make something happen. Not confident on this card. Wishing I took OAM NSC instead of ML but oh well.
 
1.2u Branch/Rockhold o2.5 -120
2.2u Anthony Smith -110
0.66u Smith ITD +150
2u Usman/Moraes o2.5 -180
0.5u Ledet DEC +201
1.2u OAM -120
0.25u OAM SUB +400
0.66u Jotko -3.5 +170
1u Saggo +125
0.33u Saggo DEC +225
1.7u Saggo/Burns o2.5 -170

TOTAL RISK: Around 11.7u, plus some small stabs and RRs. Original plan was to bet Lombard prefight and LB Smith, but for some reason went on to Smith straight, hope I don't regret that. Will add more plays life, and probably wind up with action on the fights I don't currently have anything on.
 
UFN 116 Risk $2145.50

David Branch (+450) vs Luke Rockhold $100.00 for $450.00
David Branch +5½ points (+180) $75.00 for $135.00
David Branch scorecards = no action (+460) $50.00 for $230.00
David Branch wins by KO/TKO/DQ (+933) $20.00 for $186.60
David Branch wins in round 1 (+2000) $10.00 for $200.00
David Branch wins in round 2 (+2500) $10.00 for $250.00

Mike Perry/Alex Reyes Over 1½ (+137) $75.00 for $102.75

Anthony Smith/Hector Lombard Over 1½ (-127) $127.00 for $100.00

Jason Gonzalez (+355) vs Gregor Gillespie $75.00 for $266.25
Jason Gonzlaez +3½ points (+175) $75.00 for $131.25
Jason Gonzalez wins by submission (+1095) $25.00 for $273.75

Kamaru Usman -3½ points (-360) vs Sergio Moraes $270.00 for $75.00
Kamaru Usman wins by TKO/KO (+242) $40.00 for $96.80

Azunna Anyanwu/Justin Ledet Over 1½ (-142) $142.00 for $100.00
Azunna Anyanwu/Justin Ledet Over 1½ (-142) $142.00 for $100.00

Tony Martin (+105) vs Olivier Aubin-Mercier $200.00 for $210.00

Anthony Hamilton/Daniel Spitz Under 1½ (+107) $75.00 for $80.25

Uriah Hall (+190) vs Krzysztof Jotko $75.00 for $142.50
Uriah Hall wins by TKO/KO (+390) $35.00 for $136.50

Gilbert Burns/Jason Saggo Over 2½ (-215) $64.50 for $30.00

Anthony Smith/Hector Lombard FOTN award winner (+625) $10.00 for $62.50

Round Robin of 45 two-team parlays. Risking $450.00 for $5,754.23
David Branch (+425) vs Luke Rockhold
Alex Reyes (+375) vs Mike Perry
Hector Lombard (+125) vs Anthony Smith
Jason Gonzalez (+345) vs Gregor Gillespie
Sergio Moraes (+550) vs Kamaru Usman
Azunna Anyanwu (+350) vs Justin Ledet
Tony Martin (+100) vs Olivier Aubin-Mercier
Daniel Spitz (+175) vs Anthony Hamilton
Uriah Hall (+175) vs Krzysztof Jotko
Jason Saggo (+125) vs Gilbert Burns
 
1.5u Alves +150
1.1u Alves/Perry O1,5 -113

1.5u Burns -118

added:

1u Martin +100

0.25u Dubios R1-3(won) + Branch +805
0.25u Dubios R1-3(won) + Gillespie SUB +1038

0.15u Branch R4 +4000
0.15u Branch R5 +5000
 
official +271
Rockhold $50 to win $22
Rockhold/Branch over 2.5 $60 to win $51
Perry ko/tko $166 to win $100
Lombard $20 to win $10
Smith $10 to win $10
Gillespie/Gonzales ITD $185 to win $100
Gillespie by sub $20 to win $85

Ledet ITD $40 to win $38
Martin/OAM over 2.5 $45 to win $20
Usman ITD $50 to win $107

Jotko $75 to win $34

Really happy how this ended. Jotko would of made this day easier, from a card of fights that i only had a few leans on turned out in the positive.
 
0.2u Branch +450 -0.2u
0.2u Branch NSC +460 -0.2u
0.1u Branch DEC +1100 -0.1u

1.1u Smith -110 +1u
0.1u Smith RD3 +950 +0.95u

0.1u Usman RD3 +975 -0.1u

1u OAM +100 +1u

1.9u Jotko -190 -1.9u
0.05u Jotko RD3 +2325 -0.05u

1.35u Burns -135 +1u
0.1u Burns SUB +425 -0.1u

0.5u RR (3s) Burns SUB/OAM SUB/Ledet SUB/Usman KO/Gillespie DEC -0.5u
0.5u RR (3s) Hall-Jotko ITD/Moraes-Usman ITD/Gonzalez-Gillespie GTD/Smith-Lombard GTD/Rockhold-Branch GTD -0.5u

Live bets:
0.1u Martin +900 -0.1u

NET: +0.2u

Welp, continued my recent trend of treading water. Better than losing but I can't seem to get that one break to put me over the top lately. Really fun card to watch too. On to the next one...
 
Rockhold DEC +320 .33u

Perry/Reyes U1.5 -130 .5u

Smith +100 1u

Gillespie/Gonzales O1.5 -160 2.7u
Gillespie SUB +780 1u

Usman/Moraes O2.5 -185 2u

Anyanwu/Ledet O1.5 -139 2u
Anyanwu NSC +318 .3u

Martin +135 .5u

Hall +170 .5u

Saggo +125 1u


Gillespie -3.5 + Ledet -3.5 + Martin +3.5 +203 2.5u

Usman + Gillespie + Ledet -104 2u

May end up on Branch if he keeps climbing. Hoping to buy out some of the Gillespie over if line movement allows


+10u night, in big part due to the full unit on Gillespie SUB +780. Hit Hall ITD +1600 for .33u after round 1 as well. Had very low expectations for this card so I'll happily take it.

Mid-card/live-bets:
Branch +187 1.5u
Branch/Rockhold O2.5 -122 1u

Lombard -120 2u
Smith ITD +400 .2u
Smith RD3 +1000 .1u

Gillespie/Gonzales ITD -200 5u

Ledet DEC +175 .33u

Hall ITD +1600 .33u

Saggo +175 .5u
 
i know i sound like a crackhead who has quit for the 50,000th time but i am staying away from non-ufc now.

£100 bet max on other organisations and no other sports period. other sports suck anyway, i only watch them as a distraction from my life.

hopefully i can have a good end to the year after blowing all of my profits thus far on dumb dumb shit.

nice night, would have been epic with branch.

WINS

Ledet, usman, gregor £300 returns £555

Gregor sub £20 returns £320

Gregor sub £16 returns £240

Spitz £60 returns £165

Cejudo, Anthony smith £212 returns £513

LOSS

Sago £20 returns £45

Hall dec, £20 returns £140

Hall dec, spitz dec, gregor sub, branch ko £5 returns £36,575

Creasy, wood, martin £57 returns £190

Branch £300 returns £1599

PROFIT: £783
 
1.2u Branch/Rockhold o2.5 -120
2.2u Anthony Smith -110
0.66u Smith ITD +150

2u Usman/Moraes o2.5 -180
0.5u Ledet DEC +201
1.2u OAM -120

0.25u OAM SUB +400
0.66u Jotko -3.5 +170
1u Saggo +125
0.33u Saggo DEC +225
1.7u Saggo/Burns o2.5 -170


TOTAL RISK: Around 11.7u, plus some small stabs and RRs. Original plan was to bet Lombard prefight and LB Smith, but for some reason went on to Smith straight, hope I don't regret that. Will add more plays life, and probably wind up with action on the fights I don't currently have anything on.

ADDED LIVE:
0.33u Hall LIVE +400 +1.33u
1.8u Hall/Jotko ends ITD LIVE +100 +1.8u
0.25u Spitz TKO/KO +410 +1.02
0.15u Smith R3 +1024
0.5u Smith ITD +113
0.5u Smith +145 LIVE
0.66u Smith +100 LIVE

0.2u Branch +450
0.2u Branch +200 LIVE

+5.17ish. Man, some bad beats on o2.5s. Kamaru gets his first UFC finish (1st career KO) and Moraes finished for the first time, Burns gets his 2nd career KO and Saggo finished for the first time, and then Branch taps to strikes in 2017. Rough ones. Smith came through big though and live betting really saved my night.
 
UFN 116 Net: -609.57
branch +450: 100 for 325 / branch KO: 20 for 193.60 - 6 parlays / branch RD1: 10 for 187.50 / branch RD4: 5 for 165 / branch RD5: 5 for 200 / branch +5.5: 100 for 196 - 33 parlays / branch NSC: 50 for 264.50 - 7 parlays / RD1: 10.50 parlays / DEC: 30 for 52.50 / rockhold KO: 16 parlays
reyes ITD: 6 parlays / reyesNSC: 10.50 parlays

smith -103: 290 for 281 / smith DEC: 6 parlays / smith KO: 37 parlays / smith RD2: 25 for 137.50 - 7 parlays / smith RD3: 15 for 153.75 - 6 parlays / ITD: 77.50 for 50 / lombard RD1: 10.50 parlays
gonzalez +401: 215 for 862.25 / gonzalez ITD: 6 parlays / gonzalez SUB: 10 for 107 / gonzalez RD1: 5 for 47.50 / gonzalez NSC: 35 for 121.80 - 28 parlays / gillespie DEC: 16 parlays
/ gillespie SUB: 25 for 150 - 6 parlays
usman -3.5: 225 for 100 / usman ITD: 31.50 parlays
/ usman RD2: 15 for 101.25 / usman RD3: 10 for 97.50 - 12 parlays / O2.5: 3 for 0 / ITD: 12 parlays
ledet -350: 105 for 30
/ ledet ITD: 109 for 85 - 16 parlays / ledet SUB: 17.50 parlays / ledet RD2: 40 for 106.25 - 6 parlays / ledet RD3: 25 for 200 - 6 parlays / RD1: 12 parlays
martin +173: 229.50 for 398 / martin DEC: 37 parlays
/ O2.5: 170 for 100 / OAM ITD: 12 parlays / OAM SUB: 17.50 parlays
spitz +185: 50 for 92.50 - 21 parlays / spitz DEC: 25 for 212.50 - 6 parlays / spitzRD1: 13 parlays / spitz +3.5: 16 parlays / DEC: 12 parlays / NOT hamilton ITD: 70 for 50
jotko -200: 200 for 100 / jotko ITD: 13 parlays / jotko NSC: 21 parlays / RD1: 6 parlays / O2.5: 172.50 for 100 / ITD: 50 for 50 / hall ITD: 12 parlays / hall KO: 10.50 parlays
burns -138: 207.50 for 150 / burns ITD: 10.50 parlays
/ burns SUB: 25 for 106.25 - 7 parlays / O2.5: 155 for 100 / saggo DEC: 28 parlays
props
DEC O4.5: 50.50 for 50
DEC O5.5: 20 for 60
DEC O6.5: 6 for 55.26
DEC O7.5: 2 for 66
DEC O8.5: 1 for 216
FOTN: burns-saggo: 10 for 65

parlays
49 RR for (paid -19.62) 1,223.54: branch+5.5/ smithKO/ gonzNSC/ usmanITD/ martinDEC/ spitz/ jotkoNSC
21 RR for 1,532.54: branchKO/ smithRD3/ gonzalezITD/ usmanRD3/ ledetRD3/ spitzDEC/ jotkoITD
28 RR for 761.84: branchNSC/ smithRD2/ gonzalezNSC/ ledetSUB/ OAMSUB/ spitzRD1/ jotkoITD/ burnsSUB

21 RR for (paid +12.52) 832.94: reyesITD/ smithDEC/ gillespieSUB/ usmanRD3/ ledetRD2/ spitzRD1/ jotkohallRD1
28 RR for (paid +3.78) 2,498.24: branchrockRD1/ reyesNSC/ lombardRD1/ usmanITD/ ledetSUB/ OAMSUB/ hallKO/ burnsITD

28 RR for 1,357.14: rockholdKO/ smithKO/ gillespieDEC/ ledetITD/ martinDEC/ spitz+3.5/ saggoDEC
28 RR for 853.31: branch+5.5/ usmanmoraesITD/ ledetzuRD1/ OAMITD/ spitzhamiltonDEC/ hallITD/ saggoDEC

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Happy-Gilmore-Thumbs-Down.gif


branch/jotko both fucking HAD it in rd 1, both blew it. hell, gonzalez had GG in big trouble a few times. not a ton of regrets, but shit result tonight.

whatever, onward and upward.
 
2,25u Smith 1,80
2,25u Smith/Lombard O1.5 1,80
2,25u Martin 2,00
2,25u Martin/Aubin-Mercier O2.5 + Usman/Moraes O2.5 2,23
2,25u Burns 1,80
2,25u Hamilton + Rockhold/Branch O1.5 2,04
2,25u Hamilton/Spitz ITD + Rockhold/Branch O1.5 1,96
1,5u Jotko 1,50
1,5u Gillespie/Gonzales O1.5 + Rockhold 2,07
1,5u Ledet ITD 1,83
0,5u Jotko ITD 8,00

Alves would have been my favourite bet

-4,17u overall

I had 20,75u on the line, so this could have obviously turned out worse.

Jotko winning in the distance would have been great for me,
and I needed Gonzalez to survive 20 more seconds

whatever, looking forward to next week :)
 
Parlay
Jotko to win
Martin to win
Gonzalez to win
Smith to win
Rockhold to win
Perry to win
$2 to win $72
Lose: $2

Gonzalez to win
$5 to win $22.50
Lose: $5

Martin to win
$5 to win $10
Lose: $5

Smith/Lombard Draw
$1 to win $67
Lose: $1

Anthony Smith to win
$5 to win $9.50
Win: $4.50

Smith/Lombard U1.5
$5 to win $10
Lose: $5

Usman/Moraes U2.5
$5 to win $14.37
Win: $9.37

Burns to win
$10 to win $18
Win: $8

Jotko to win
$10 to win $15
Lose: $10

Rockhold/Branch U2.5
$10 to win $22
Win: $12

Branch to finish fight
$3 to win $21
Lose: $3

Branch to win
$5 to win $25
Lose: $5

Net: $-2.13
Thought I did much worse than this actually! Still happy with my bets, Jotko and Branch should have win in the 1st round.
 
10U on Rockhold @1.33
2U Rockhold ITD @1.53

I'll probably make some other plays, but I live or die by Rockhold.

I didn't end up making any livebet with impact.

10U Rockhold @1.33: +3.3U
2U Rockhold [email protected]: +1U

Overall: +4.3U
 
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