Your Official UFN 117 Bets

1 away from winning $850. I've told myself so many times to never bet on WMMA. It has always burned me.
 
3u Kondo 2,10
3u Gadelha 1,40 (had it parlayed with Rosa)
2u Kondo/Jeon O2.5 + Kim 1,90
1,5u Nakamura/Morono U2.5 2,40
1,5u Anzai/Jumeau U2.5 2,10
1,5u Saki/Silva U1.5 + Ishihara 2,49
1,5u Saki + OSP/Okami ITD 2,09
1u Anzai 3,00

did a few tiny live bets, overall I made +4,72u which made up for the -4,17u from last week. I am happy with that.

The Gomi fight is right before the co-main event.
At first I found that somewhat hilarious, but then I realised Gomi got this special spot because he is coming for a new record.
In the UFC there has never been a guy that got finished in Round 1 five times in a row.
Gomi is all about the record guys, he is serious about it.
Just look at his last fights.
He could have handled that shit like Bob Sapp - but he didn't.
He got beaten down for real.
He didn't want to risk people questioning the legitimacy of his record.
It's not about the pay check, it's about breaking records.
WAR GOMI

My man Gomi made it, he can happily retire now
 
OSP KO +324 1u
OSP/Okami U1.5 +170 .5u

Gadelha -150 3.4u
Gadelha/Andrade O2.5 -117 .5u

Gomi/Kim U1.5 -155 2u
Gomi/Kim ends in RD1 +102 1u
Gomi/Kim ends by SUB +315 .5u

Saki -135 .5u
Saki/Henrique ends in RD1 -108 .5u

Nakamura NSC -110 2.5u

Formiga -385 5u
Formiga/Sasaki O2.5 -116 1u

Kondo -102 4u
Kondo NSC -120 5u
Kondo SUB +879 1u

Anzai/Jumeau O2.5 -130 1.6u
Jumeau NSC -185 2u
Anzai DEC +575 .2u

Abe +135 1u
Abe/Lim U1.5 -136 2u


Gadelha + Kim -111 4u



Got Gadelha -150 by playing Gadelha -211 big and arbing with Andrade +250. Leaving half way through this card so limited LBing. I'm up 86 units since i started tracking June 17th, hoping for at least 14u here to make it 100u in 3 months. I'm way overexposed here and just upped my unit size by 25% so let's hope all goes well!

Jeon ITD would be devastating, Kondo Sub would net me about 17u. Only regrets here are not passing on Formiga and playing Gadehla too big.

Got home at 3 AM but couldn't sleep without knowing the results, it's now 7:50 AM and I get to find out I broke even. The Gadehla loss was a 14u swing, the exact amount I was targeting. Guess I can't complain, better than a loss. Won 2u on Nakashima in LFA so tonight's not a complete flop.
 
Small event for me
1.5u Syuri Kondo @2.00
0.4u Okami @4.80
0.3u Frankenstein @2.60

+0.8u , Would have been a better night without the Frankenstein bullshit stoppage.
 
Gadelha destroyed me, even with some lb I got out -10 units of the event.
Fortunately, the boxing kept me on track with Ramirez decision.
 
40u kondo ml
.75u osp/Kim
.30u osp/Kim/kondo
.15u kondo/anzai
.15u osp/Kim/anzai
.15u osp/Kim/kondo/anzai
.15u osp/Kim/naka + Morono over/luke + anzai over
.10u osp/Kim/anzai by dec
.60u osp/Kim/
Larkin - pending
.20u osp/kondo/kim ITD/saki ITD
.15u Anzai dec ml
.10u Sasaki dec ml
.10u dy by dec

.10u saki ITD
.10u osp by dec
.10u anzai ml
.25u osp/Kim/saki/anzai

.20u Abe/Lin under 1.5
.40u osp/Kim/saki/abe +Lim won't start round 3
.10u osp/anzai/Kim ITD/saki round 1
.10u 10u osp/anzai/Kim ITD/saki round 2
.15u osp/anzai + luke over/Kim ITD/saki by tko/ko/Abe + lim won't start round 3
.10u osp/Kim ITD/saki ITD/sasaki + formiga start round 2/anazi wins by dec
.10u osp/Kim/saki/anzai + luke over/dy + ish start round 2/sasaki + form start round 2/Abe + lim doesn't start round 3


Added late -

.40u naka ml

.15u osp/anzai + luke over/Kim ITD/saki by tko/ko/

.10u osp/Kim/saki/anzai + luke over/dy + ish start round 2/naka + alex over 2.5


2u. Okami Hedge since OSP was my last leg of many parlays.


All in all up 24U on the night, one of my best nights. Parlay city bitch!
 
andrade +355: 197.70 for 702
I'm confused. You had nothing on her ML prefight, then bet her at +240 after Rd 1, right? How does that work out to +355?
 
Adding Alex Morono @ -125 for 0.5 u (I think I might be the only person betting Alex Morono in the forum).

Loss 1 u Abe/Lim under 1.5
Won 1 u Kondo
Loss 0.5 unit Morono

Down just less than 1 u with juice paid. Picks didn't go my way. Onto the next event.
 
I'm confused. You had nothing on her ML prefight, then bet her at +240 after Rd 1, right? How does that work out to +355?

100/255 prefight
200/480 after rd 1
33 for 102.30 gadelha after rd 2 (like a dummy)

http://forums.sherdog.com/threads/ufn-117-pbp-discussion.3626361/page-15#post-134193423

http://forums.sherdog.com/threads/ufn-117-pbp-discussion.3626361/page-15#post-134193907

http://forums.sherdog.com/threads/ufn-117-pbp-discussion.3626361/page-16#post-134194373
 
Hard card to bet. Mostly just stabbing left and right and getting ready for a beating.

OSP R1 0.1u 3.7
Okami 0.2u 4.85
Gadelha R1/2 0.1u 4.33
Andrade R3 0.05u 34
Andrade - Gadelha itd 0.1u 2.6

Kim 0.7u 1.44
Kim - Gomi u1.5 0.5u 1.66
Saki itd 0.3u 1.72

Frankenstein sub 0.05u 7.4
Morono 0.3u 1.83
Nakamura R3 0.05u 18.0
Dy dec 0.2u 3.75
Formiega R2 0.05u 7.5
Sasaki R3 0.05u 34.0
Jumeau 0.6u 1.48
Jumeau itd 0.2u 3.06
Jumeau R3 0.1u 14.0

Kondo 1.5u 2.0
Kondo dec 0.5u 2.76

Lim R3 0.05u 19.0
Abe - Lim u1.5 0.5u 1.84


Gamble: Abe 100 euros

Edit. Added more on Kondo dec.

About +1u betting and +110 euros gambling. Thanks for good analysis on Kondo for everyone involved and good job Yotsuya for gambling on Abe on your own.
 
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