Your Official UFN 118 Bets

4.6u Cerrone -155ish
1u Till TKO/KO +275 (Hedge to win 2u on Cerrone)
1.7u Clark/Jan o2.5 -170
0.66u Clark DEC +151 (Plus some stabs on R3 and Jan R1)
0.33u Wilson ITD +308
0.3u Nasrat +350
0.75u Stasiak +135
1u Alvey +115 (Bad price and before we knew he was having a tough cut. Hate it)
3.6u Fili/Artem o2.5 -180ish
1.15u Fili -115
1u Artem NSC +120
2u Warlley + Emmett -125
1.45u Ladd -145 (Wish I got more)
0.5u Ladd -3.5 +130
0.5u Emmett -3.5 +110
0.2u Arantes SUB +100

TOTAL RISK: Around 20.7u, more than I expected to have
 
1u on Warlley vs. Touahri U 1.5 @ -110
1u on Artem Lobov DEC @ +250

2u on Werdum + Cerrone + Poirier @ +290
 
5u Cerrone -154 -5u
3u Cerrone/Till ITD -140 +2.14u
0.2u Till RD1 +700 +1.4u

1u Kowalkiewicz DEC -139 +0.72u

0.4u Emeev +325 +1.3u

1u Lobov +160 -1u

0.1u Alves SUB/Held SUB/Kowalkiewicz -3.5/Cerrone -5.5 +1749 -0.1u
0.55u RR (2s,3s,4) Lobov DEC/Alvey ITD/Blachowicz ITD/Cerrone KO -0.55u

Live bet:
0.1u Wilson +1100 -0.1u

NET: -1.19u

Damn you Cowboy lol. Seriously though, Till looking so damn good. Really looking forward to seeing him in there again. Nice work all you guys who called that win.
 
great night for me. i've been really hot on this ufc shit lately and haven't been tempted to play other sports since my head is now crystal clear after moving house this week.

i have some super strong leans next week, hope i get the lines i want. after 9 months of undisciplined stupidity i want to have a surging end of the year.

WINS

Mousasi, ladd £300 returns £525

Emeev £210 returns £339

Kelleher £120 returns £221

Alves, Karolina £300 returns £456

Till £199 returns £447

LOSSES

Lobov, Emmett, haqparast, ladd, emeev, Kelleher, Karolina, till £12 returns £2097

Haqparast £50 returns £200

Wilson £50 returns £125

PROFIT: £747
 
3.5u Cerrone - 1.65
2u Emeev - 1.77
1.5u Cerrone/Till ends ITD - 1.53

1u Lobov - 2.45
1u Alvey/Emeev o2.5 - 1.58
1u Blachowicz/Clark o 2.5 - 1.62
0.15u Till R1 - 8.50
0.15u Till R2 - 11.00
0.1u Cerrone R3 - 11.00
0.1u Cerrone R4 - 15.00
0.05u Cerrone R5 - 21.00


Added:
0.2u Alvey R1 - 8.00
0.1u Alvey R2 - 12.00
0.1u Clark R3 - 19.00

Livebet/Last minute additions:
2u Fili - 1.80
1u Fili - 1.90
1u Fili - 1.65
1u Ladd - 1.70
1u Kelleher - 1.50

0.2u Clark DEC - 2.50
0.25u Held Sub - 2.20
0.1u Touahri/Alves u2.5 - 2.15
0.1u Stasiak/Kelleher u2.5 - 3.83

0.1u Piechota DEC - 4.33

Total: +1.32u

Not much but given how heavy I was on Cerrone I'm still happy with the results...I had more success livebetting this time and was able to pull the trigger more (especially on Fili)
 
4.6u Cerrone -155ish
1u Till TKO/KO +275 (Hedge to win 2u on Cerrone)
1.7u Clark/Jan o2.5 -170
0.66u Clark DEC +151 (Plus some stabs on R3 and Jan R1)
0.33u Wilson ITD +308
0.3u Nasrat +350
0.75u Stasiak +135
1u Alvey +115 (Bad price and before we knew he was having a tough cut. Hate it)

3.6u Fili/Artem o2.5 -180ish
1.15u Fili -115

1u Artem NSC +120
2u Warlley + Emmett -125
1.45u Ladd -145 (Wish I got more)
0.5u Ladd -3.5 +130
0.5u Emmett -3.5 +110 +0.55u

0.2u Arantes SUB +1000

TOTAL RISK: Around 20.7u, more than I expected to have

ADDED LIVE:
0.5u Emmet -3.5 +110 +0.55u
0.5u Ladd -3.5 +110

0.66u Warlley/Touahri u2 +145
0.2u Kelleher TKO/KO +1300
0.33u Clark DEC +140
1.33u KK DEC + Cerrone -5.5 +200
0.5u KK -3.5 + Cerrone -5.5 +200
0.66u Cerrone TKO/KO +470

0.66u Till TKO/KO +275

Lost around 2u today. Got carried away adding live with no LB available for most of the card. I've always hated Cerrone before this, so today definitely didn't help that
 
3.5u Aspen Ladd @1.57

0.8u Blachowicz @2.30


0.4u Till DEC @6.00 / 0.1u Till r1 @8.50 / 0.1u Cerrone r4 @15.00 / 0.1u Cerrone r5 @21.00

+3.3u Nice event thanks to Aspen and Blacho. Till is a future champ, I can't wait to see who he fights next.
 
KK -3.5pts -150 1u

Clark RD3 +1610 .1u

Piechota SUB +340 .4u

Haqparast +350 .25u
Haqparast DEC +965 .25u

Hamilton DEC +700 .25u

Stasiak +135 .5u
Stasiak/Kelleher ends in sub +210 .25u

Emeev +110 .5u
Alvey NSC -119 3u

Fili -115 2u
Lobov/Fili O2.5 -177 3u
Lobov NSC +138 3.5u

Ladd -150 4u
Ladd SUB +837 .2u

Emmett/Arantes O2.5 -177 1u
Arantes NSC +201 2u

Have a bunch on Warlley -270 I'm hoping to arb down. Wish I went bigger on Emeev, his previous measurements had him at 5'10, 67" reach, he's now listed at 5"10 76" reach, and he looked about the same height as 6'2 Alvey

+17.5u weekend with 6u from Bellator and 11.5u from this card. Up 120u since I started tracking 4 months ago.

Ended up with 3.5u on Warlley -280, added 2.5u Ladd NSC -246 and 2u Emmett -229, then my livebets:
Screenshot_20171021-181455.jpg
 
Cerrone 1u 1.7
Cerrone-ending parlays 0.6u 2.6
Till dec 0.2u 7.5
KK - Esquibell itd 0.2u 3.05
Clark 0.5u 1.78
Clark + Holloway 0.25u 2.61
Blachwicz R1 0.1u 7.5

Piechota R3/dec 0.2u 3.5
Held R3 0.05u 9.0
Haqparast dec 0.05u 9.0
Alvey R2 0.05u 12.0
Stasiak nsc 1u 2.15

Keheller R3 0.05u 18.0

Gamble: 150 euros on Alvey.

Already +2u this weekend catching Mousasi's early odds way back.

About -2.5u on prebets and -150 euros gambling and -30 euros drunkbetting. I had no strong leans, hedged off some Cowboy action last minute and took just a 0.5u hit on my bankroll this weekend, but still annoying. Great fights though and hitting couple props always gives a nice high too.
 
Last edited:
total -509
$145.00 to win $100.00 Devin Clark -145*
$100.00 to win $50.00 Oskar Piechota -200*
$145.00 to win $100.00 Ramazan Emeev -145*
$100.00 to win $60.61 Andre Fili -165*
$230.00 to win $131.43 Aspen Ladd -175*

$60.61 to win $100.00 Clark wins by 3 round decision +165*
$150.00 to win $100.00 Donald Cerrone -150*
$140.00 to win $100.00 Donald Cerrone -140*
$155.00 to win $100.00 Donald Cerrone -155*
$200.00 to win $137.93 Devin Clark -145*


clark and cowboy killed me, congrats to those who picked those right.
 
UFN 118 Net: +548.08
Till +134: 200 for 267.50 - 24 parlays / Till DEC: 50 for 322.50 / till RD1: 11 parlays / DEC: 12.50 parlays / draw: 3 for 270 / Cowboy SUB: 9 parlays / Cowboy RD4: 20 for 241.60 / Cowboy RD5: 15 for 241.80
KK RD3: 10 for 130 - 5 parlays
/ KK -3.5: 75 for 50 - 40 parlays / ITD: 10 for 50
blachowicz +140: 100 for 140 - 24 parlays / blach DEC: 25 for 98.75 - 9 parlays / blach RD1: 6 parlays / blach RD3: 5 parlays / blach NSC: 40 parlays
piechota DEC: 25 for 107.50 - 15 parlays
/ piechota RD3: 5 parlays / piechota -3.5: 137.50 for 100 - 40 parlays / wilson +1100: 10 for 110
held ITD: 40 parlays / held SUB: 40 for 52 - 36.50 parlays / haqparast: 9 parlays

wieczorek -115: 115 for 100 / wieczorek KO: 40 for 103.60 / U1.5: 65 for 50
stasiak ITD: 9 parlays / stasiak RD3: 5 parlays / stasiak NSC: 50 for 57.50 / ITD: 100 for 140 - 36.50 parlays / kelleher RD1: 12 for 99 - 6 parlays
emeev DEC: 24 parlays / O2.5: 176 for 100 - 40 parlays
lobov +155: 50 for 77.50 - 12.50 parlays / lobov DEC: 9 parlays
alves ITD: 114 for 30 / alves SUB: 36.50 parlays / alves RD2: 6 parlays
/ alves -3.5: 40 parlays / touahri: 9 parlays
lansberg +245: 40 for 98 / lansberg DEC: 30 for 99 - 6 parlays / lansberg +3.5: 12.50 parlays
arantes DEC: 25 for 137.50 - 6 parlays / arantes SUB: 20 for 260 - 5 parlays
/ arantes NSC: 50 for 100.50 - 24 parlays / O2.5: 87.50 for 50
props
parlays
56 RR for (+84.61) 756.47: till/ blachowicz/ heldSUB/ staskellITD/ emeevDEC/ alvesSUB/ arantesNSC
21 RR for (paid +21.40) 869.88: tillRD1/ blachRD1/ piechotaDEC/ kellRD1/ alvesRD2/ lansbergDEC/ arantesDEC

21 RR for 1,407.55: cowboySUB/ blachDEC/ piechotaDEC/ haqparast/ stasiakITD/ lobovDEC/ touahri
15 RR for 2,157.22: tillRD1/ KKRD3/ blachRD3/ piechotaRD3/ stasiakRD3/ arantesSUB

60 RR for (paid +72.07) 367.78: KK-3.5/ blachNSC/ piechota-3.5/ heldITD/ emeevalveyO2.5/ alves-3.5
25 RR for 323.54: tillcerroneDEC/ heldSUB/ staskellITD/ lobov/ alvesSUB/ lansberg+3.5
---

fun stuff. solid result for a low-stake-ufc for me.

had to come from behind like usual, lol. but the main 4 fights were good to me.
 
Worst event ever.

-2.5U Cerrone
-0.75U Alvey KO
-1U Ladd-Lansberg O2.5
 
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