Your Official UFN 83 bets

5.2u cerroney -260 (playing movement)

3u lineker -150

1.55u krause -155

1.08u brunson ITD -108

0.33u kawajiri DEC +450

1.25u garcia-strickland O2.5 -125
 
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3u Roan Carneiro/Derek Brunson Under 2½ -140*
2u Tatsuya Kawajiri/Dennis Bermudez Over 2½ -150*
2u Brunson wins inside distance -135*

2u parlay:
Roan Carneiro/Derek Brunson Under 2½ -130*
Oluwale Bamgbose/Daniel Sarafian Under 1½ -150*

3u parlay:
Derek Brunson -370*
Marion Reneau -175*

The hail mary (1u):
Dennis Bermudez -340
Joe Riggs/Chris Camozzi Over 2½ -155
Jonavin Webb -245
Marion Reneau -175
Fight won’t go 5 round distance -265
Fight won’t go 3 round distance -180 (Carneiro / Brunson)
 
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Singles
Garcia: $7.50 to win $7.14 Loss
Carneiro/Brunson ITD: $5 to win $3.85 $8.85
Abdurahimov: $5 to win $3.57 $8.57
Anthony Smith: $5 to win $3.33 $8.33
Mendes/Garbrandt ITD: $5 to win $2.38 $7.38
Campos: $3.75 to win $7.50 $11.25
Krause: $3.75 to win $2.50 $5.25
Kimbo: $3.75 to win $2.34 $6.09

Newton: $3.75 to win $2.78 Loss
Kawijiri (+3.5): $2.50 to win $4.25 $6.75
Pineda: $2.50 to win $3.25 Loss
Riggs (+3.5): $2.50 to win $2.38 Loss
Ramm: $1.25 to win $2.25 Loss
Moreno: $1.25 to win $2 Loss
Castillo: $1.25 to win $1.88 Loss

Risk of $53.25 $62.47

Parlays
Field over Spieth (Pebble) + Cerrone: $6.25 to win $3.67 $9.92
Field over Rose (Pebble) + Shamrock: $6.25 to win $4.57 Loss
Field over Johnson (Northern) + Moraes + Sarafian/Bamgboose ITD: $5 to win $2.66 $7.66

Field over Mickelson (Pebble) + Moraes + Kimbo/Dada under 1.5: $3.75 to win $2.42 Loss
Not Evans-Smith ITD + Cerrone (-3.5): $3.75 to win $3.53 $7.28

Field over McIlroy (Northern) + Valiev + Yager: $3.75 to win $2.39 Loss
Field over McIlroy (Northern) + Kimbo + Webb: $2.50 to win $2.42 Loss
Murphy + Webb: $2.50 to win $2.05 Loss
Campos/Guillard ITD + Cerrone/Oliveira ITD: $1.25 to win $1.30 $2.55

Risk of $35 $27.41

RISK OF $88.75 $89.88

TOTALS FOR 2016: Initial Risk was $165, Running total is $193.25 Running Profit = $28.25 (Approximate ROI for year 5.78%)
TOTALS FOR 2015: Initial Risk was $95, Running total is $263.68 Running Profit: $168.68 Approximate ROI for year 3.901%)
TOTALS FOR 2014: Initial Risk was $127.50 Running Total is $148.35 Running Profit = $20.85 (Approximate ROI for year 0.74%)
TOTALS FOR 2013: Initial Risk was $232.50, Running total is $583.75 Running Profit = $351.25 (Approximate ROI for year: 9.34%)
TOTALS FOR 2012: Initial Risk was $275, Running Total is $1030.18 Running Profit = $755.18 (Approximate ROI for year: 15.56%)
TOTALS FOR 2011: Initial Risk was $44, Running Total $1271.39 Running Profit = $1227.39 (Approximate ROI for year: 27%)
TOTALS FOR 2010: Initial Risk was $29, Running Total $225.92 Running Profit = $196.92 (Approximate ROI for year: 13%)
GRAND TOTAL FOR 2010 THROUGH 2014: $29 into $2742.43 Total Profit = $2723.44 (Approximate ROI: 12.6945%)
 
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£1900 Cerrone + Brunson @ -120.

£700 Bermudez + MM + Machida @ +139.

£50 Brunson KO win @ +175.
 
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1.5u guimares +150

*edit* make that 0.5u +190. (played both sides)

3u krause no scorecards -150

1.24u sarafian ITD -124

0.795u NOT garbrandt ITD -159

0.5u riggs dec +375

0.25u campbell dec +415 (tiny pseudo hedge to prior krause bets)
 
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ufn 83 Risk: 1,964.50
cerrone -260: 520 for 200 / RD 3: 10 for 59.90 / DEC: 40 for 100 / oliveira
brunson ITD: 108 for 100 / carneiro
mendes SUB: 30 for 195 / NOT garbrandt ITD: 79.50 for 50
kawajiri DEC: 33 for 148.50 / bermudez
riggs DEC: 50 for 187.50 / camozzi no scorecards: 100 parlays
krause -155: 155 for 100 / krause no scorecards: 300 for 200 / campbell DEC: 25 for 103.75
strickland DEC: 50 for 173 / O2.5: 125 for 100 / garcia
sarafian ITD: 124 for 100 / bamgbose
guimares +180: 50 for 90 / smith
webb SUB: 25 for 107.50 / coy
reneau SUB: 50 for 160 / evanssmith
murphy RD 2: 25 for 181.25 / murphy RD 3: 15 for 198.75 / murphy no scorecards: 50 parlay / faszholz
hamilton +105: 50 for 52.50
props
parlays
50 for 38.49 camozzi no scorecards -272 & murphy no scorecards -340
50 for XX camozzi no scorecards -272 & TBD
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prolly waiting for weigh-ins before i finalize things at this point. still might hedge cerrone. lotta risk on krause, but i just don't think campbell finishes him. prolly gonna bet reneau, just haven't yet.
 
damn, almost all bets seems to be props. might skip this event as a whole. haven't got a single bet yet

damn, almost all bets seems to be props. might skip this event as a whole. haven't got a single bet yet
lol, 2 hours later i have $2k on this event, some medium bets and then a lot of small bets on dogs

Oliveira $50 to win $123
Carneiro $50 to win $163
Mendes $50 to win $150
Kawajiri $50 to win $150
Riggs $50 to win $110
Krause $200 to win $133
Strickland $200 to win $204
Garcia/Strickland o2.5 $400 to win $242
Sarafian $400 to win $200
Guimares $100 to win $125
Webb $300 to win $121
Hamilton $200 to win $196
 
Not liking his event at all but:

Hamilton: $ 8 to win $ 8. Lost
Serafian: $ 30 to win $ 22,50. Lost

Smith + Cody: $ 9 to win $ 9.56.
reneau + Camozzi/Riggs over 2.5: $ 10 to win $ 14.80. Lost
Bermudez + Brunson + Cerrone: $ 20 to win $ 23.87
Cerrone: $ 150 to win $ 52,50

$ 227 of risk over a $ 277 BR. YOLO. Won $ 37,93

New BR: $ 314,93.

Hope you had a good evening guys. Im going to sleep.
 
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Hamilton Shamil over 1.5, both girl fights over 2.5, Sarafian Bamg under 1.5, Camozzi Riggs over 2.5, Brunson Carneiro under 2.5, Cowboys under 2.5, Krause Campbell over 2.5, Bermudez dec, Garcia dec. £20 for £11680.
 
UFC FN 83 bets:
Alex Oliveira vs Donald Cerrone: Donald Cerrone @1.39 (5units)
Dennis Bermudez vs Tatsuya Kawajiri: Dennis Bermudez @1.33 (2,4units)
Cody Garbrandt vs Augusto Mendes: Cody Garbrandt @1.30 (8units)
Roan Carneiro vs Derek Brunson: Roan Carneiro @4.35 (0,5units)
Oluwale Bamgbose vs Daniel Sarafian: Oluwale Bamgbose @ 2.70 (1unit)
Cody Garbrandt vs Augusto Mendes: Garbrandt wins by TKO/KO @2.20 (1unit)

PARLAY: @1.59 (7,5unit)
Dennis Bermudez - Tatsuya Kawajiri: Dennis Bermudez @1.25
Cody Garbrandt - Augusto Mendes: Cody Garbrandt @1.27


banking heavily on cody, donald and bermudez.
 
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very uncreative today, the lowest i've wagered in a long time. returns £159 then going hard on cerrone ITD
 
Cerrone -280
Cerrone by sub +220
Cerrone rd 3 +650
Olivera rd 1 +1100
Brunson SU in parlays -350 to -380
Brunson by KO/TKO +220
Mendes by sub +550
Mendes by dec +925
Bermudez -300 in parlays
Bermudez by dec +125 (Big on this one)
Bermudez/Kawajiri over 2.5 (Big)
Webb -220
Krause no scorecards -170 (Pretty big)
Riggs/Camozzi over 2.5 -165
Riggs pts handicap +3.5 -105
Riggs by dec +300
Bamgose/Sarafian does not start rd 2 +105
Sarafian by sub +180
Strickland/Garcia goes distance -140
Strickland by dec +275
Renau by sub +340
Fasholz pts handicap +3.5 at +115
Murphy in rd 2 +750
Murphy in rd 3 +1350
Hamilton by dec +550

And as always some little hail mary parlays.


BOL guys!
 
Haha. So this is where you guys went.

Hamilton (5D) - $40 @ +115
Hamilton (BDSI) - $22 @ evens
 
3.5u Reneau @1.6
2u Faszholz vs Murphy @4.1
3u Hamilton @2.1
4u Webb @1.4

Also small flyers on Faszholz ITD and a bunch of other stuff.
 
5u on Webb
1u on Brunson
0,5u on Garbrandt
0,5u on under 2,5 Murphy/Fashion
 
Was gonna skip this event but going with Cerrone and Kawajiri singles + parlay.
 
ufn 83 Risk: 2,329.50
cerrone -260: 520 for 200 / cerrone ITD: 22.50 parlays / DEC: 40 for 100 / RD 3: 15 for 89.85 / oliveira RD 1: 15 for 175.80 / oliveira RD 2: 10 for 154.10
brunson ITD: 108 for 100 / carneiro
mendes SUB: 30 for 195 - 15 parlays / NOT garbrandt ITD: 79.50 for 50
kawajiri DEC: 33 for 148.50 - 15 parlays / kawajiri +3.5: 67 for 107.20 / o2.5: 22.50 parlays / bermudez
riggs DEC: 50 for 187.50 - 15 parlays / camozzi no scorecards: 100 parlays
krause -155: 155 for 100 / krause sub: 15 parlays / krause no scorecards: 300 for 200 / campbell DEC: 25 for 103.75
strickland DEC: 50 for 173 / O2.5: 125 for 100 - 22.50 parlays / garcia
sarafian ITD: 94.50 for 75 / U1.5: 22.50 parlays / bamgbose
guimares +180: 50 for 90 / U2.0: 59.50 for 50 - 22.50 parlays / U1.0: 15 parlays / smith KO: 15 for 97.50
webb SUB: 25 for 107.50 - 15 parlays / webb no scorecards: 50 parlay / O2.5: 22.50 parlays / coy
reneau SUB: 50 for 160 - 15 parlays / evanssmith
murphy RD 2: 25 for 181.25 / murphy RD 3: 15 for 198.75 / murphy no scorecards: 50 parlay / faszholz
hamilton +105: 50 for 52.50 / O1.5: 50 for 51 - 22.50 parlays / abdurakhimov
props
DEC O6.5: 30 for 64.20
DEC O7.5: 6 for 31.44
DEC O8.5: 2 for 28.56
DEC O9.5: 1 for 48.75
DEC O10.5: 1 for 250
FOTN: cowboy-cowboy: 25 for 62.50
FOTN: campbell-krause: 12.50 for 62.50
parlays
50 for 38.49 camozzi no scorecards -272 & murphy no scorecards -340
50 for 33.58 camozzi no scorecards -272 & webb no scorecards -450
35 RR for 3,401.14: mendesSUB/ kawaDEC/ riggsDEC/ krauseSUB/ smithguimRD1/ webbSUB/ reneauSUB
52.50 RR for 420.95: cerroneITD/ kawabermO2.5/ garciastrickO2.5/ bamsaraU1.5/ smithguimU2.0/ coywebbO2.5/ hamilabdurO1.5
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pretty much set. got super creative (aka dumb) on the over-decisions and the RR's. lol.

i'm very exposed on cerrone (if late oliveira finish) and krause (if any campbell finish). so yea. hoping neither one kill me.

i'll prolly bet sarafian soon but we'll see.
 
Brunson/Carneiro un 2,5 -117 > 150$
Cody/Mendes un 2,5 -117 > 100$
Mendes Sub +1250 > 15$
Kawajiri KO/TKO +1725 > 5$
Krause -138 > 50$
Smith -133 > 100$
Smith KO/TKO +650 > 30$
Hamilton/Shamil ov 1,5 +105 > 50$
Hamilton Dec +550 > 20$

most likely not done yet.. waiting to see how the line movement plays out on some fights

Hail Mary:
$2.00 $28,081.43 Pending 9 Team Parlay
Win 2/20/16 10:30pm WSOF Fighting 3001 Joseph Barajas/Marlon Moraes Under 2½ -130*
Pending 2/21/16 11:00pm MMA Props Fighting 1104 Fight won’t go 3 round distance -165* vs Carneiro / Brunson goes 3 round distance
Pending 2/21/16 10:30pm MMA Props Fighting 1204 Fight won’t go 3 round distance -170* vs Mendes / Garbrandt goes 3 round distance
Pending 2/21/16 10:00pm MMA Props Fighting 1303 Kawajiri / Bermudez goes 3 rnd distance -150* vs Fight won’t go 3 round distance
Pending 2/21/16 9:30pm MMA Props Fighting 1407 Riggs wins by 3 round decision +440* vs Not Riggs by 3 round decision
Pending 2/21/16 9:00pm MMA Props Fighting 1511 Krause wins by 3 round decision +334* vs Not Krause by 3 round decision
Pending 2/21/16 8:30pm MMA Props Fighting 1607 Garcia wins by 3 round decision +185* vs Not Garcia by 3 round decision
Pending 2/21/16 7:30pm MMA Props Fighting 1829 Smith wins by TKO/KO +330* vs Any other result
Pending 2/21/16 5:30pm MMA Props Fighting 2207 Hamilton wins by 3 round decision +550* vs Not Hamilton by 3 round decision
 
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