International Russia/Ukraine Megathread V12

[SandisLL]

Ceasefire ofc will gave advantages only for russia.
Russia then will continue to procure and produce ammunition and with cesefire they will be able to accumulate ammunition instead to use it.
Ofc also to deliver ammo close to frontline without problems....
Ofc also will be able to use more slodiers located in dumbass .....to build more fortifications..........

& Imagine what will happen if Russia will be able for example 3 months in row not to use ammo but accumulate it... the same about drones and ....

Then if they will launch xxxx drones in 1 day and order to start large scale offensive....then Ukr will be in big trouble as never before.

 

[SandisLL]

+ Ukr are lucky that Putin isn't smart.

Instead to use 4-20 Iranian drones each day, I for example didn't like this.
Accumulated iranian drones month in row ....
After this had launched 120-600 iranian drones in 1 night....
Massive attacks are more difficult to deal with.

 

[SandisLL]

the fact that Russia is attacking civilian infrastructure targets is a pretty big sign of desperation.

To hit civies actually is pragmatic.
For example to create and weaponize refugees.

It doesn't looks impressive effect just initially.
Refugees aren't financed from social and pensions etc funds money.
In europe it in reality is out VAT, fuel tax etc etc etc bla bla bla.

IF Poland didn't had refugees, they easily might spent these >12 b EUR for some weapons purchases for their own needs and for Ukr too.
IF Germany didn't had these ukr refugees there >11 b EUR might be had used for the same purposes..
Also it is just small part of examples from europe and number of such exmples is very impressive...

Russia does have damn a lot of weapons and ammunition while looks that they aren't smart cos politicians most likely are generals in reality for this war.

However with weaponizing refugees and food they looks that were successful.

Plus IMHO majority of civilian targets strikes were cos russia does have damn a lot of very old missiles, " beautiful " maintenance etc...
Because more effective method to create refugees faster and with lesser expenses is to hit communications etc not residental buildings ( this btw increse only hate and motivation )...

Most likely intended targets mainly were transformators, electricity supply lines, water supply network etc....

 

[SandisLL]

Russian billionaire, founder of ICS Holding and some other companies surprisingly died.
They told that 40 y.o billionaire had heart problems.
Not surprising for information security expert in Moscow.

 

[Boxiana]

I don’t think there is any realistic possibility that either side wins a military victory in this war, and neither side is willing to negotiate and so attritional stalemate seems likely for the foreseeable future. Awful situation.

 

[Ruthless Ryan]

What makes you think Ukraine is capable of pushing Russia back to Russia when we're seeing them get slaughtered with esentially unmoving frontline? The Russian "collapse" hopes are just that, hope. Just like how people have died of old wage waiting for North Korea's collapse. Russia isnt seeing this as some military adventure in bumfuck nowhere vs peasants on the other side of the world. They've seen it as a red line since the start of the war and have double downed on the war effort. Theyre mass producing lancet drones, theyre training more men, theyve increased artillery production, tank production etc.
Theyre set to acquire 1000 new t90m tanks https://militarywatchmagazine.com/article/russian-army-t90m-t72b3m-production

Not to say that i think Russia will overrun kyiv or something but they will likely hold what they have maybe gain some more territory in the south. The war is now about how much territory will ukraine lose in the peace deal. If the idea is to push russia back tothe border, we'd be seeing news of 1000 M1 Abrams being delivered instead of a few dozen bradleys and shitty french light tanks. Not to mention atacms would be sent day 1 or ASAP.

When I say collapse I mean financially collapse as they have done before when putting most of their money towards a war front while having sanctions on their main sources of income. And I dont expect it to be soon however a peace deal is nothing more then a chance for putin to re-arm.
A 1000 new T90's? I have time believing that Putin has jut been "saving" them while his winter offensive was going on and not getting anywhere.

 

[SandisLL]

Russia most likely really even today does have approx 1000 T-90 and heavily modernised latest T-72 and T-80 iterations tanks that had get additional modernisation + more than 500 T-54/55 and T-62 tanks ....in dumbass and they yet didn't had used them.
+ Russia is continuing to invest a lot of $, materials and workforce to continue install mines, dig trenches and build bunkers etc... even in areas 90 km from frontline.

So it isn't joke and for example about ATACMS Pentagon is relucant to allow supply them despite they had been advised to do this 420 days ago by some american politicians.
It isn't wunder weapon or unbeatable ultimate game changer, while for air defense it is considerably more tough nut than for example Thocka - U missile because lesser radar reflection cross section and higher speed....and might had been used to hit ammo depots etc.

Nope, their western comrades aren't willing to supply them today.
While I agree that Ukr didn't had did homework at all and instead of job done nice talks 30 years in row had been done.

For Ukraine obiviously technically had been 0 problems to make Thocka U clones and improved clones... they obiviously even 30 years ago had more R&D and production potentional than NK does have today. .
To produce their highly touted Hrym missiles long ago too btw.
To produce more Neptun and adopted it's versions even to strike land targets etc...

At least to produce simple mines and ammo for mortars in sufficient quantity....

Ukraine can't just blame west and east...they were unprepared and usual solution to deal with anyone who claimed about problems was to lay off<45>.

 

[SandisLL]

I don't see good outcome for Ukraine.
Zelensky is delusional despite in december U.S clearly had refused to provide ATACMS.

So today best solution due to U.S real will for Ukraine might be to relocate all valuable stuff and civies to areas not annexed on paper by Putin. Built there fortifications and forget even to talk with west.
Immediately travel to China and cede remaining part of Ukraine to Xi.

Maybe it is enough and sadly it isn't proxy war west vs Russia.
It is bully Russia vs Ukr supplied in order slowly to loss war unless russians will not be total idiots.
Realpolitik in real life.

 

[SandisLL]

I don't blame U.S for not supplying F-16 cos xx obivious valid reasons.
While more these HIMARS and also ATCMS they easily might had supplied in summer 2022 th.
Tanks too and I don't insist that Abrams were mando to supply.
Some 300 + M60A3 upgraded in 1989-1998 th might be good support.

 

[AWilder]

What makes you think Ukraine is capable of pushing Russia back to Russia when we're seeing them get slaughtered with esentially unmoving frontline? The Russian "collapse" hopes are just that, hope. Just like how people have died of old wage waiting for North Korea's collapse. Russia isnt seeing this as some military adventure in bumfuck nowhere vs peasants on the other side of the world. They've seen it as a red line since the start of the war and have double downed on the war effort. Theyre mass producing lancet drones, theyre training more men, theyve increased artillery production, tank production etc.
Theyre set to acquire 1000 new t90m tanks https://militarywatchmagazine.com/article/russian-army-t90m-t72b3m-production

Not to say that i think Russia will overrun kyiv or something but they will likely hold what they have maybe gain some more territory in the south. The war is now about how much territory will ukraine lose in the peace deal. If the idea is to push russia back tothe border, we'd be seeing news of 1000 M1 Abrams being delivered instead of a few dozen bradleys and shitty french light tanks. Not to mention atacms would be sent day 1 or ASAP.

is this website the military version of the world socialist webstie. That website is... quite a hoot.

LMAO so i dug a little and this is just some weirdo Iranian dude's blog that he claims is a magazine. There's zero named members of the editorial board. All articles are ripped word for word from RT and other state sponsored "news" outlets from other countries like China and even North Korea. Dude, I wouldn't repeat anything you read there. lmao.

 

[Rholk]

So the change in strategy seems to be having atleast some effect.
We'll see it's enough to completely choke them off

 

[PEB]

 

[SandisLL]

Ammo depots etc hitting is more essential than to sent meat to get more land ASAP.

Ukr really had hit also approx 7 ammo depots in dumbass during last 2 days...
Bad stuff is that russia most likely still does have a lot of ammo and ammo depots.


In order to reduce Russian ability to do offensive Ukraine needs to contencrate on logistic supply lines and ammo depots and especially on radioelectronic warfare stations etc stuff.

If Ukr will manage to destroy enough of these targets russians ability to do future offensive will be reduced.

This is first prerequisite to reduce their offensive potential.

 

[PEB]

Russians hit an Orthodox Church that will no doubt create problems in Russia because of their deeply religious people. An Orthodox Priest from the Church as called it barbarism by Russia. This is the problem Russia has they don't have precision gilded arms as they been draining down their supplies of precision ammo. You will end up seeing more of this as Russia resorts to using unguided weapons.

 

[SandisLL]

Russians hit an Orthodox Church that will no doubt create problems in Russia because of their deeply religious people. An Orthodox Priest from the Church as called it barbarism by Russia. This is the problem Russia has they don't have precision gilded arms as they been draining down their supplies of precision ammo. You will end up seeing more of this as Russia resorts to using unguided weapons.

It will not create big problems in russia.
I know that westerners never will understand their mentality in general population.
1. They are imperialistic and power hungry and always will be like medieval era crusaders nothing else.
They if there will be provided proper excuses will be happy and with pleasure support Putin, especially cos Moscow's archi bishop Kirill is blessing war and portraying it as fight vs evil forces.
2. Russians gladly will bear sanctions and listen propaganda if will have cheap sausages, tobacco and vodka....
+ western production is awailable in Russia easily, just for higher price due to parralel import. These who does have money easily might purchase western cars, phones, computers, parfumes, clothing etc etc... Ofc more expensive and still they does have opportunities to get all this...

Westerners never will understand their character.
Tell them that they are superiour and they will listen your orders.
It is like Germany in 1939 th today.
These who does have brains and money had relocated or are using situation in their favour...

 

[Strychnine]

A couple of retired US F-16 pilots have stated they'd be willing to volunteer as pilots.

And with what's going on in Israel right now, you'd probably see a few of their F-16 pilots fly for Ukraine also.

 

[Strychnine]

So, Russia can now recall top officers (War planners/not in the field) until they're 70 years old, Junior Officers at 60, and Sergeants until they're 55, lower ranks 18 to 30, (they'll be the ones in the trenches).

Pres. Putin doing everything possible not to call for full mobilization because everything in Ukraine is going so well...

 

[AWilder]

So, Russia can now recall top officers (War planners/not in the field) until they're 70 years old, Junior Officers at 60, and Sergeants until they're 55, lower ranks 18 to 30, (they'll be the ones in the trenches).

Pres. Putin doing everything possible not to call for full mobilization because everything in Ukraine is going so well...

he is a master strategist.

 

[Strychnine]

Drones are the terror now.





WTF Moscow!??! Where are your air defenses?

 

[Strychnine]

A T-80 gets erased.



GMLRS strike on Russian self-propelled howitzer.




Destroy everything in Odesa except the opera house?!?