Allen's dumb aggression and Strickland's occasional lapses in fight IQ could easily produce a very dumb split dec, or a shitshow like the Daukaus fight.
Allen good cardio? Daukaus pulled away hard down the stretch, and I'm kinda concerned about the whole 'Allen was supposed to not fight for the rest of the year due to serious facial damage' thing. If a guy who's almost entirely reliant on blind zombie-aggression has lost some durability, it's...
Yeah. Classic Arlovski split decision incoming. Boser wasn't really a consistent regional finisher, and Lins is the only real clean UFC KO considering that it was an eye injury-thing that did Pessoa.
Greene-Hardy is going to be an awful split decision most likely. Hardy's striking style relies a ton on his length/reach to insulate him defensively.
Good chancei t grinds into a terrible legkick-fest if Hardy doesn't blitz him out inside 2 minutes.
Don't think Shavkat's a 10 unit man, but yeah there's a huge range in how Brazilian Cowboy shows up depending on mood/starsigns/how many of his children he can remember the names of.
Might touch Oliviera if he hits dog odds, but gigantic range of possibilities.
IMO wait till the last minute if you want Gaethje. Huge money tends to hit Khabib last minute, especially if you've got access to an exchange. Been a pretty strong theme with Dagestanis/Arabic fighters as a whole in the Fight Island events. Some crazy surges like Azaitar going from +120 to like...
On Antigulov-Grishin. I think Antigulov's cardio is getting a bit overblown due to the Cutelaba fight (and Cutelaba is a lot of PED-fortified muscle and aggression. Grishin is not that), as the Craig & Olek losses had more to do with idiocy than cardio. Wouldn't shock me if this fight was lined...
Moraes is going to immediately take the back and sub Sandhagen?
Like I think Moraes keeps it competitive for a round or two, but he'll ultimately gas under Sandhagen's tempo if he can't get a finish.
Yeah. Vendramini's almost a complete question mark, but nothing I've seen on the (very limited and very regional) tape of him around makes me feel like he should be a favorite against the larger, more-proven, busier Ayari.
That being said, there's so little info on Vendramini that I also...
Off a fresh no-history account this far before kick-off?
Maybe just before the jump, but if anybody's letting me get set for $100k~ USD on a UFC ML without prior dealings with me I'm kinda dubious about getting paid.
It's still kinda absurd when people are claiming feats of 'getting money down' that are essentially impossible unless you've got a great bowler network or you're a hardcore longterm loser.
I'd wait a round or two for Reyes to slow down before hitting Jan, personally. Think Reyes wins the first round at a high clip, so good chance of being able to get Jan +400 and avoiding the KO1 loss condition.
Also there's pretty significant asterisks on Jan's SOS. Rockhold and Jacare were...
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