Agree with everything you've said but Eddie Bravo says Tony is also going to play closed guard against Khabib instead of trying to get up.
According to Eddie, people waste their energy trying to get up against Khabib and burn themselves out, so instead Tony is going to attack from bottom.
eddie doesnt understand mma at a top level he thinks closed guard is the answer and it was before 2009 cause most guys in ufc were under purple belt level. but now everyone is brown black belt level so trying to catch guys when theres sweat punches are legal and only having 5 minutes to work not even counting for how long it took for you to get to the ground u may only have 50 seconds to work its a losing game plan
also u cant compare conor to tony as tony is a great grappler leagues above conor so i could see tony actually trying to make it work but conor has nothing form his back at all