panem-et-circenses
In the garden
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- May 26, 2021
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“Marine Le Pen, leader of the National Rally, is closing-in on President Macron and has solidified her polling lead over her far-right rival, Éric Zemmour.
Both Le Pen, 53, and Zemmour, 63, the television pundit vying with her for the far-right vote amid speculation that he is about to run for the Élysée, have picked up support in recent weeks.”
here is a piece on Zemmour for those not familiar:
I haven’t read Le Pen’s latest manifesto, if she has one, but I did read the last one, and it wasn’t all that bad. The EU was the sticking point. Melenchon is dopey. And Zemmour doesn’t have the chops.
—————- update March 27th ————-
So, Macron is polling at 28%, Marine has increased to 20%, and Melenchon is at 14%. Melenchon has jumped in the polls, whereas Zemmour has fallen to 10%. Pecresse has fallen, too, becoming neck and neck with far-right Zemmour (she is polling at 11%). Hidalgo and Jaldot are going nowhere, sitting at 2% and 5%.
————— Update August 4th ————
From the NYT:
“More worrying for Mr. Macron, the poll suggested he would edge Ms. Le Pen by just 53.5 percent to 46.5 percent in the second round. In the last presidential election, in 2017, Mr. Macron trounced Ms. Le Pen by 66.1 percent to 33.9 percent in the runoff.”
So, the latest polling has Macron at 27%, whereas Marine has increased to 21%, gaining some momentum while cost of living concerns increase. The left doesn’t seem to have a horse in this race, because none of their candidates, including Melenchon at 16%, have any shot at an upset win. Pecresse has crashed (mentioned before). And Zemmour has lost most of the ground he once made.
A more detailed account here
———— August 10th ———-
Both Le Pen, 53, and Zemmour, 63, the television pundit vying with her for the far-right vote amid speculation that he is about to run for the Élysée, have picked up support in recent weeks.”
here is a piece on Zemmour for those not familiar:
Macron is polling around 24%, with Le Pen at 16% and Zemmour at 15%, according to Politico's Poll of Polls.
I haven’t read Le Pen’s latest manifesto, if she has one, but I did read the last one, and it wasn’t all that bad. The EU was the sticking point. Melenchon is dopey. And Zemmour doesn’t have the chops.
—————- update March 27th ————-
So, Macron is polling at 28%, Marine has increased to 20%, and Melenchon is at 14%. Melenchon has jumped in the polls, whereas Zemmour has fallen to 10%. Pecresse has fallen, too, becoming neck and neck with far-right Zemmour (she is polling at 11%). Hidalgo and Jaldot are going nowhere, sitting at 2% and 5%.
————— Update August 4th ————
From the NYT:
“More worrying for Mr. Macron, the poll suggested he would edge Ms. Le Pen by just 53.5 percent to 46.5 percent in the second round. In the last presidential election, in 2017, Mr. Macron trounced Ms. Le Pen by 66.1 percent to 33.9 percent in the runoff.”
So, the latest polling has Macron at 27%, whereas Marine has increased to 21%, gaining some momentum while cost of living concerns increase. The left doesn’t seem to have a horse in this race, because none of their candidates, including Melenchon at 16%, have any shot at an upset win. Pecresse has crashed (mentioned before). And Zemmour has lost most of the ground he once made.
A more detailed account here
———— August 10th ———-
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