all right you band of geniuses, tell me why I am wrong here and Spencer keeps on going up. I believed him to be the best bet in A very long time when he was -150 now he keeps going up! I was talking to NDC about this. Here's the rationale:
At -125 I think that Sean Spencer is one of the best bets I have seen in probably a year or two. WHY? He's incredibly fast and athletic and he is 15 years the junior of his opponent. While Pyle is a good fighter & had a bit of a resurgence – from 2011-2013 – he's 40 years old. Moreover, he has lost three of his last four fights, and theoretically could have lost four of his last five but he was gifted a very close decision against Rick Story where he got worked for 2 1/2 rounds and most observers believe he lost. What's more, not only did "Quicksand" lose three of his last four but in two of them he was stretched out flat in the first stanza. (Brown and Mein)
Then there's the stylistic match up itself. Pyle doesn't have great takedowns and he keeps his head straight up in the air on offense and in exchanges when he is pulling out. Meanwhile, Spencer has excellent takedown defense and is a golden glove boxing champion who puts together crisp, clean, accurate, and efficient combinations with lotsa volume.
Also with Spencer, I believe that we are getting a bit of value because he is coming off of a loss, but anyone who seen the fight (Cathal Pendred) knows that it was a victory. Furthermore, he thought Alex Garcia -- who is a stud prospect -- to a split decision. Although I believe Garcia should have won on all scorecards it was still closely contested.
All-around this is just a terrible fight for the vet. Lastly, with Pyle spending a lot of time coaching and putting money and effort into his new fly-fishing venture I think think he's transitioning into the post fight game. In fact, I wouldn't be shocked to see a post for retirement announcement given a loss.
I could be dead wrong with this but personally I put a HUGE bet on Spencer as I love these odds. The only thing keeping me from going fulltilt on Spencer is his "split decision" victory over the subpar Yuri Villefort. This fight was too close for someone as mediocre as Yuri. There's this and the fact that he isn't at some estimable training camp full-time as he has a part-time job.
as I asked ndc to do -- now tell me why I'm so wrong lol