ufc fight night 127

I'm on Jan for 2u so far at +185. I think he deservedly lost the decision in their first fight, but I did give him round 2 for more effective countering (not sure what the actual judges cards were but I just rewatched it). He def spends too much time pushed against the cage, but that's correctable. He just needs to show a bit more urgency to get his back off the fence.

The fight was competitive and even when Jimi landed (which wasn't really that often, at least with clean strikes) Jan ate them easily. Manuwa has 3 KO losses, including his last fight (yeah one was Rumble who KO'd almost everyone he hit, to be fair). Jan has one TKO loss in 28 pro fights. I trust Jan's chin more.

Maybe I very, VERY slightly favor Jimi here based on the fact that he looked to be a bit physically stronger and/or better conditioned in the first fight since he was able to hold Jan against the cage for some long stretches. But you could have a ref that doesn't allow that too, which would make the rematch look much different. With odds where they are, all the value is on Jan imo.
 
Wiktoruspro said:
Got already 2 locks on this card !
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I hope that your "locks" are not UFC first timers. Fighters from different organizations look different under USADA testing.
 
mkess101 said:
I'm on Jan for 2u so far at +185. I think he deservedly lost the decision in their first fight, but I did give him round 2 for more effective countering (not sure what the actual judges cards were but I just rewatched it). He def spends too much time pushed against the cage, but that's correctable. He just needs to show a bit more urgency to get his back off the fence.

The fight was competitive and even when Jimi landed (which wasn't really that often, at least with clean strikes) Jan ate them easily. Manuwa has 3 KO losses, including his last fight (yeah one was Rumble who KO'd almost everyone he hit, to be fair). Jan has one TKO loss in 28 pro fights. I trust Jan's chin more.

Maybe I very, VERY slightly favor Jimi here based on the fact that he looked to be a bit physically stronger and/or better conditioned in the first fight since he was able to hold Jan against the cage for some long stretches. But you could have a ref that doesn't allow that too, which would make the rematch look much different. With odds where they are, all the value is on Jan imo.
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This tko loss was from a leg injury, his Chin is good
 
Fights I like I will post my bets later Ive won the past 2 events lets keep the streak going
Ray-decision
Reyes-sub2
godbeer-ko1
Ankalev-ko2
Dawodu-dec
Scott-dec
Roberts-dec
phillips-ko2
edwards-dec
Duquensy-Sub2
Manuwa-Dec
Volkov-dec
 
Yeah, I like Blachowicz too. Against Cannonier he looked good all around. Had a nice TD in R2 and another opportunistic TD in R3 to secure the decision. I think live betting on Blachowicz is good too, you will quickly see if he's better than Manuwa and can catch him before the odds drops too low.
 
I agree with you guys about the value on Blachowicz as an underdog. I just put 2u on him at +200 at Sportsbook.
 
Blanc aint beating Manuwa in England unless he KO Manuwa. He lost the first fight pretty clearly and he hasnt changed that much.
 
conmemay said:
Blanc aint beating Manuwa in England unless he KO Manuwa. He lost the first fight pretty clearly and he hasnt changed that much.
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Manuwa's been knocked out twice since then and he's 38 years old while Jan was won or lost decisions but not been stopped. Plus Jan has been working on his wrestling as seen in his recent bouts. Would not be surprised to see him win by a stoppage or by decision and at 2 to 1 I like it, in England or not. I can respect someone passing or playing it small via props only, but this is clearly dog or pass for me.
 
other than volkov there is another potentially big dog i'm eagerly anticipating lines on.

could be a lot of good parlay opportunities too.
 
Wouldn't say blachowicz hasn't changed since their last fight. He changed his gym not so long ago and is since then on a 2 fight winning streak. He improved his condition and based on his interviews he managed to solve some weight cutting problems.
Also is he now training with some polish “top“ boxers like Szpilka, Masternak,Ugonoh and others to improve his stand up.
 
Koniradi98 said:
Wouldn't say blachowicz hasn't changed since their last fight. He changed his gym not so long ago and is since then on a 2 fight winning streak. He improved his condition and based on his interviews he managed to solve some weight cutting problems.
Also is he now training with some polish “top“ boxers like Szpilka, Masternak,Ugonoh and others to improve his stand up.
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He is training in the best polish gym right now. He is a good dog, Manuva is getting older and coming from a ko loss.
 
Hope all you squares learnt your lesson last week betting on Edgar, like I said it was a bum move, not a money move

And shout out to all the $100 bettors who don't wanna talk about upcoming lines "because bookies are lurking" you guys are taking this betting game over

Volkov is going to annihilate Werdum easily, future title challenger, don't be surprised, just how it is

And you're a degenerate if you put money on the Manuwa vs Jan fight
 
Playa said:
Hope all you squares learnt your lesson last week betting on Edgar, like I said it was a bum move, not a money move

And shout out to all the $100 bettors who don't wanna talk about upcoming lines "because bookies are lurking" you guys are taking this betting game over

Volkov is going to annihilate Werdum easily, future title challenger, don't be surprised, just how it is

And you're a degenerate if you put money on the Manuwa vs Jan fight
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Can somebody ban the troll? EZ??? Come on man I haven’t got time to read nonsense comments like this.
 
Oh and I almost forgot to give a shout out to the Souk bettors, shout to you guys like @JimGunn 11u deep on Souk,

I'm all about the respect and I got a lot of it for O'Malley, I hope you guys do as well
 
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