Your Official UFC FOX 22 Bets

Bojan -135 to win 1u
Sandoval -125 to win 3u
Hirota -110 to win 1u -- o2.5 -130 to win 1u
Perry -110 to win 1u
Emmett -175 to win 1u
Moontasri -100 to win 4u
Covington -340 to win 1u
Frankenstein -200 to win 1u
Faber/Pickett 02.5 -140 to win 1u
PVZ -110 to win 1u

Staying away from Sage/Gall

First time in my life (and this will probably be the only time ever) I haven't bet a single dog. Nevertheless, I'm surprisingly confident.
 
alright only a few pre event bets. Always end up with more plays during the card but just sitting on Perry itd, Faber sub, Serrano, and future Rhode's scholar Sage Northcutt. All for 1u. As you can tell I'm not crazy about this card betting wise.

GL boys
 
0.3u Gall -105
0.5u Bojan -140
0.25u Aldana Fastest KO +2500

3u Colby+Aldana -138
0.33u Coby+Aldana+Windeland+Emmett +300
0.040u Aldana KO R1+Moontasri KO+Perry KO +7500
0.065u Aldana KO+Colby DEC+Wineland DEC +2200

not really liking this card much for betting.. so many b-level fighters and fighters coming off injuries ect

i am hopefull there will be some good livebet spots though
 
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1u Emmet + Aldana +100
2u Bojan -155
1u Moontasri -115
1u Gall -125 (will add more to sub prop)
1u Hirota -120
1u Emmett + Colby +100
.5u Under PVZ/Waterson +125

Edit: Added 1u on Moontasri -105
Probably going to hedge a bit of the 2u I have on Bojan once Bovada relases Aliev's decision line if its +250 or higher.

Added 1u Jouban +110 and will stab on his decision line at +450 once unlocked
1u Aldana/Colby/Wineland +150
Props:

.5u hirota dec +190
.25u jouban dec +450
.25u moon dec +375
.2u gall rd 2 +575
.1u pvz rd5 +2200
 
pray for me :D just dropped 9u on aldana straight 1.344 @ pinny something i never i do @ these odds let alone wmma.. i just dont see how she loose this
 
23.5u up last event.
----

1.25u Velickovic (1.70)
1.25u Moontasri (1.90) (Closed during R2)
1.25u Hirota (1.80)
2u Gall (1.91)
2u Waterson (2.00)

1.25u Serrano-Sandoval GTD (1.72)
1.25u Velickovic-Aliev GTD (1.83)
0.25u Emmett ITD (3.25)
1u Aldana ITD (2.37)
1u Aldana-Smith u2.5 (2.50)
0.12u Perry R3 (15.00)
1u Faber-Pickett u2.5 (2.10)
0.12u Gall DEC (8.00)
0.33u Waterson SUB (8.00)

parlays:

1u Emmett / Aliev-Velickovic o1.5 (2.32)
1u Emmett / Henrique da silva (2.23) (Closed after R1 for +0.25u)
0.37u Aliev-Velickovic o1.5 / Henrique da silva / Emmett / Hirota DEC / Aldana-Smith u2.5 (27.46)
0.1u Aldana KO / Sandoval split DEC / Gall SUB / Emmett (110.2)

RR:

Velickovic-Aliev GTD / Hirota DEC / Emmet / Aldana-Smith u2.5 / Faber-Pickett u2.5 / Waterson
1u to win 4u

+ small fliers on Velickovic R2 +800, Aliev split DEC +1100, Sandoval split DEC +900.
 
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Betsafe is an awful gambling side - so damn slow if you compare it to competitors.
atm just 4 fights from card. After this weekend i switch to something different like bet365 or similiar shit.

40 EUR to win 160. Following combination :
Faber 1.25 - his last fight at his hometown and crowd. Will hit him with something more on submission when this tards will release this option. Picket is aging, and even consider Fabers weak pussy lookin chin Pickets last KO was 4 years ago and only this danger i forecasted. He will be beaten real bad there.
Page 1.81 - her crowd, friends a lot of other dwarf from her team on that card, she will be extra motivated plus she's fighting atomweight girl that last fight was more then year ago. Waterson ain't crafty as Rose.
Gall - 1.72 - Sage is a bum. Marketing tool for rich/young banana target group. Gall is also a bum but more complete in mma and hungry, he will beat him everywhere and sub/ko in 2/3 round . Sage is really athletic so he can "page" him with some spinning shit but risk is low.

180 EUR left to spend for this card, come on Betsafe..

Perry (1.76)+ Silva ( 1.47) - 140 EUR
Faber ( 1,25) + Emmett ( 1.55) + Aldana ( 1.32) + Wineland ( 1.45 ) - 50 EUR
 
UFC FOX 22 Risk: 2,261.40
PVZ -133: 132.50 for 100 / PVZ ITD: 21 parlays / PVZ RD4: 9 for 126 / PVZ RD5: 6 for 126 / waterson
gall -120: 120 for 100 / gall KO: 50 for 1,014.50 / gall SUB: 50 for 97.50 - 21 parlays / gall RD1: 10 parlays / northcutt DEC: 15 for 103.50 / northcutt SUB: 10 for 106
faber ITD: 21 parlays / faber RD2: 10 parlays / pickett
jouban +100: 108.75 for 108.75 / jouban DEC: 25 for 117.50 / perry DEC: 20 for 202.60
daSilva: 100 parlays / daSilva DEC: 20 for 176.20 / daSilva ITD: 48.15 for 45 / daSilva RD2: 20 for 85 - 10 parlays / Craig KO: 20 for 520
hirota -140: 70 for 50 / hirota DEC: 30 for 67.50 / NOT miller ITD: 100 parlays
covington: 100 parlays / covington DEC: 50 for 52.50 / covington ITD: 21 parlays / covington SUB: 15 for 90 / covington RD3: 15 for 180.50 - 10 parlays / O2.5: 100 parlays / barberena DEC: 10 for 82.60
moontasri -105: 105 for 100 / moontasri ITD: 21 parlays / moontasri RD1: 10 parlays / moontasri NSC: 130 for 100 / morono DEC: 40 for 101.60 / morono RD3: 20 for 275
emmett: 100 parlays / emmett DEC: 21 parlays / O2.5: 100 parlays / holtzman
aldana: 150 parlays / aldana ITD: 100 for 200 - 21 parlays / aldana SUB: 40 for 310 / RD1: 10 parlays / smith
wineland -165: 99 for 60 - 50 parlay / wineland DEC: 30 for 103.80 - 21 parlays / mizugaki SUB: 5 for 115.25
serrano: 0 for 4 / serrano DEC: 30 for 67.80 / sandoval
velickovic -137: 205.50 for 150 / velickovic SUB: 20 for 109 / velickovic NSC: 71.50 for 50 / aliev
props
DEC U4.5: 17 for 70.72
DEC U3.5: 9 for 103.59
DEC U2.5: 3 for 108
DEC U1.5: 1 for 200
fastest KO: aldana: 5 for 150
parlays
50 for 56.73 aldana -230 & covington-barberena O2.5 -205
50 for 54.35 aldana -230 & daSilva -220
50 for 50.86 aldana -290 & emmett -200
50 for 59.09 daSilva -220 & emmett -200
50 for 53.68 NOT miller ITD -289 & emmett-holtzman O2.5 -185
50 for 49.35 NOT miller ITD -289 & covingto-barberena O2.5 -210
50 for 48.12 covington -350 & emmett-holtzman O2.5 -190
50 for 50.86 covington -337 & wineland -180
30 RR for 1,054.59: gallRD1/ faberRD2/ daSilvaRD2/ covingtonRD3/ moontasriRD1/ smithaldanaRD1
56 RR for 1,387.16: PVZITD/ gallSUB/ faberITD/ covingtonITD/ moonITD/ emmettDEC/ aldanaITD/ winelandDEC
---


ok i'm done pre-event. i changed my mind on several fights, lol. and i'm on so many favorites. hope i'm right, or i'll feel stupid(moreso than usual)

i have like over a thousand on perry-jouban... altogether, lol. like 500 on each guy cause i kept changing my mind. bought out of serrano, hedged hirota.

let's go gall KO/TKO!!! (wouldn't mind an aldana SUB or craig ko/tko while we're at it!)
 
.8u Bojan -160.
.25u Serrano +110.
1u Aldana -295.
1u wine land -200.
1u emmit -170.
.25u moon -110.
3u Covington -330.
.25u Miller +100.
.25u Craig +195.
3u perry -130.
3u Faber -320
.5u Northcutt +130.
1u Van zant +105 may buy out.


Some of these are in parlays/ rrs such as Covington Faber aldana and wine land.
Rest are straight.

BOL everyone.
 
2u Waterson +100
0.2u Waterson ITD +477

0.25u Northcutt DEC +755
0.25u Gall KO +992

0.2u Pickett DEC +500

2.3u Perry -115
0.4u Perry DEC +595
0.1u Perry RD3 +1000

1u Wineland +100 (to close a parlay)

0.5u Barbarena +335
0.1u Barbarena DEC +826

0.5u Emmett +103 (to close a parlay)

0.75u Aldana ITD +210
0.1u Aldana SUB +602
0.1u Aldana RD3 +1000

2.7u Velickovic NSC -135

0.5u Aldana/Emmett +110
0.25u Wineland/Aldana/Emmett/Perry/Waterson +1003
 
Just threw this in mainly for action on the first fight

$10/$56
Aliev over 1.5 -240
Emmett -180
Gall by sub +200
 
Serrano
Wineland/Aldana parlay
Moontasri
Colby by decision
Hirota
Da Silva itd
Perry
Urijah/Paige parlay
Sage
 
UFC on Fox 22 $3232.93

Michelle Waterson (-110) vs Paige VanZant $550.00 for $500.00
Michelle Waterson wins by submission (+570) $20.00 for $114.00
Michelle Waterson wins by submission in round 3 (+3200) ~$15.81 for ~$505.92
Paige VanZant (-115) vs Michelle Waterson $230.00 for $200.00
Paige VanZant wins in round 4 (+1400) $10.00 for $140.00
Paige VanZant wins in round 5 (+2100) $10.00 for $210.00
Paige VanZant wins by 5 round decision (+229) $40.00 for $91.60

Mickey Gall (-115) vs Sage Northcutt $230.00 for $200.00
Mickey Gall wins in round 2 (+550) $20.00 for $110.00
Mickey Gall wins by TKO/KO (+992) $25.00 for $248.00

Urijah Faber wins by 3 round decision (+126) vs Brad Pickett $50.00 for $63.00

Mike Perry (-130) vs Alan Jouban $130.00 for $100.00
Mike Perry (-130) vs Alan Jouban $130.00 for $100.00
Mike Perry wins by 3 round decision (+454) $25.00 for $113.50
Mike Perry wins by 3 round decision (+768) $30.00 for $230.40
Mike Perry/Alan Jouban fight ends in the first 60 seconds of the 1st round (+800) ~$11.86 for ~$94.88

Luis Henrique da Silva wins inside distance (-125) vs Paul Craig $50.00 for $40.00
Luis Henrique da Silva wins in round 2 (+425) $15.00 for $63.75
Luis Henrique da Silva wins by submission in round 2 (+1100) vs Paul Craig ~$11.86 for ~$130.46

Cole Miller (-107) vs Mizuto Hirota $107.00 for $100.00
Cole Miller +3½ points (-195) $146.25 for $75.00
Cole Miller wins by submission (+335) $30.00 for $100.50
Cole Miller wins in round 3 (+1250) $10.00 for $125.00

Colby Covington wins in round 3 (+1200) vs Bryan Barberena $10.00 for $120.00
Colby Covington wins by submission in round 3 (+2400) vs Bryan Barberena ~$26.09 for ~$626.16

James Moontasri (-110) vs Alex Morono (-110) $110.00 for $100.00
James Moontasri wins by TKO/KO (+375) $30.00 for $112.50
James Moontasri/Alex Morono Over 1½ (-175) $175.00 for $100.00
Alex Morono wins in round 3 (+1300) $10.00 for $130.00

Josh Emmett/Scott Holtzman Over 2½ (-190) $76.00 for $40.00

Irene Aldana wins by TKO/KO (+245) $25.00 for $61.25
Irene Aldana wins inside distance (+165) $30.00 for $49.50
Irene Aldana wins in round 2 (+525) $10.00 for $52.50
Irene Aldana wins by KO/TKO/DQ in round 2 (+2800) vs Leslie Smith ~$26.09 for ~$730.52

Eddie Wineland wins by 3 round decision (+312) vs Takeya Miziugaki $25.00 for $78.00
Eddie Wineland wins by 3 round decision (+328) $35.00 for$114.80

Fredy Serrano +3½ points (-180) vs Hector Sandoval $54.00 for $30.00

Bojan Velickovic (-150) vs Sultan Aliev $300.00 for $200.00
Bojan Velickovic wins by submission (+439) $25.00 for $109.75
Bojan Velickovic scorecards = no action (-120) vs Sultan Aliev $60.00 for $50.00

Luis Henrique da Silva wins Fastest Submission (+1400) $10.00 for $140.00
Irene Aldana wins Fastest KO (+2000) $10.00 for $200.00
Mike Perry/Alan Jouban FOTN award winner (+425) $10.00 for $42.50

Parlays:
Mike Perry wins by 3 round decision (+599) + Mickey Gall wins by 3 round decision (+609) $20.00 for $971.18
Irene Aldana (-290) vs Leslie Smith + Luis Henrique da Silva (-220) vs Paul Craig $156.88 for $150.00
Irene Aldana (-290) vs Leslie Smith + Josh Emmett (-194) vs Scott Holtzman $100.00 for $103.80
Colby Covington (-355) vs Bryan Barberena + James Moontasri/Alex Morono Over 1½ (-175) $100.00 for $101.41
Irene Aldana (-305) vs Leslie Smith + Colby Covington (-355) vs Bryan Barberena + Luis Henrique da Silva (-220) vs Paul Craig $100.00 for $147.55

Round Robins:
Velickovic wins by submission (+439) + Covington wins by submission (+550) + Miller wins by submission (+335 ) + Silva wins by submission (+362) + Faber wins by submission (+200) + Gall wins by submission (+180) $75.00 for $1261.37

Bojan Velickovic/Sultan Aliev ends in round 3 (+1000) + Hector Sandoval/Freddy Serrano ends in round 3 (+900) + Eddie Wineland/Takeya Mizugaki ends in round 3 (+650) + Josh Emmett/Scott Holtzmanends in round 3 (+850) + James Moontasri/Alex Morono ends in round 3 (+750) Bryan Barberena/ Colby Covington ends in round 3 (+900) Cole Miller/Mizuto Hirota (+800) + Luiz Henrique da Silva/Paul Craig (+700) + Alan Jouban/Mike Perry (+650) + Urijah Faber/Brad Pickett (+800) + Sage Northcutt/Mickey Gall ends in round 3 (+700) ~$26.09 for ~$73,062.53
 
Weird prop betting time:

5U Perry @ -137
4U Gall @ -125
2U Colby r3 or dec @ -125.
2U sub attempt in Gall/Sage + Knockdown in Jouban/Perry @ -167
 
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2u Waterson +100 +2u
0.2u Waterson ITD +477 +0.95u

0.25u Northcutt DEC +755 -0.25u
0.25u Gall KO +992 -0.25u

0.2u Pickett DEC +500 -0.2u

2.3u Perry -115 -2.3u
0.4u Perry DEC +595 -0.4u
0.1u Perry RD3 +1000 -0.1u

1u Wineland +100 (to close a parlay) +1u

0.5u Barbarena +335 -0.5u
0.1u Barbarena DEC +826 -0.1u

0.5u Emmett +103 (to close a parlay) +0.5u

0.75u Aldana ITD +210 -0.75u
0.1u Aldana SUB +602 -0.1u
0.1u Aldana RD3 +1000 -0.1u

2.7u Velickovic NSC -135 +0u

0.5u Aldana/Emmett +110 -0.5u
0.25u Wineland/Aldana/Emmett/Perry/Waterson +1003 -0.25u

Late adds:
0.75u Craig -150 (live bet) +0.5u
0.5u Emmett/Thunder ML +114 +0.57u
0.1u Wineland KO/Emmett DEC/Perry KO +3619 -0.1u

NET: -0.38u

Really disappointed with Perry and Aldana but gotta give it up to Jouban and Smith. Jouban especially executed a smart game plan and didn't let Perry fight his fight. Basically a wash for the night so no harm done thanks to Karate Hottie. Hope others did better.
 
Screen_Shot_2016_12_17_at_10_52_13_PM.png


No idea what my prebets add up to but with my Morono livebet and gametime bets (Morono dec, Jouban, Sage the ones that come to mind) i'm down just over 2u

EDIT will be 2.5u they haven't graded my Faber fastest sub bets
 
UFC FOX 22 Net: -182.95
PVZ -133: 132.50 for 100 / PVZ ITD: 36 parlays / PVZ RD4: 16.30 for 286.60 / PVZ RD5: 13.30 for 366.90
gall -120: 120 for 100 / gall KO: 50 for 1,014.50 / gall SUB: 50 for 97.50 - 21 parlays / gall RD1: 25 parlays / northcutt DEC: 15 for 103.50 / northcutt SUB: 10 for 106
faber ITD: 21 parlays / faber SUB: 10 parlays / faber RD2: 25 parlays / ITD: 165 for 100

jouban +100: 150 for 156.19 / jouban DEC: 25 for 117.50 / jouban RD2: 25 parlays / perry DEC: 20 for 202.60
daSilva: 100 parlays / daSilva DEC: 20 for 176.20 / daSilva ITD: 48.15 for 45 / daSilva RD2: 20 for 85 - 20 parlays / Craig KO: 20 for 520

hirota -140: 50 for 29 / hirota DEC: 30 for 67.50 / NOT miller ITD: 100 parlays
covington: 100 parlays / covington DEC: 50 for 52.50
/ covington ITD: 31 parlays / covington SUB: 15 for 90 / covington RD3: 15 for 180.50 - 10 parlays / O2.5: 100 parlays / barberena DEC: 10 for 82.60
morono +113: 150 for 170 / morono DEC: 40 for 101.60 / morono RD3: 20 for 275 / moontasri ITD: 31 parlays / moontasri RD1: 10 parlays / moontasri NSC: 130 for 100
emmett: 100 parlays / emmett DEC: 21 parlays / O2.5: 100 parlays / holtzman RD3: 5 for 145
aldana: 150 parlays / aldana ITD: 100 for 200 - 21 parlays / aldana SUB: 40 for 310 / RD1: 20 parlays

wineland -162: 194 for 120 - 50 parlay / wineland DEC: 30 for 103.80 - 21 parlays / mizugaki SUB: 5 for 115.25
serrano: 0 for 4 / serrano DEC: 30 for 67.80
velickovic -137: 205.50 for 150 / velickovic SUB: 20 for 109
/ velickovic NSC: 71.50 for 50
props
DEC U4.5: 17 for 70.72
DEC U3.5: 9 for 103.59
DEC U2.5: 3 for 108
DEC U1.5: 1 for 200
fastest KO: aldana: 5 for 150

parlays
50 for 56.73 aldana -230 & covington-barberena O2.5 -205
50 for 54.35 aldana -230 & daSilva -220
50 for 50.86 aldana -290 & emmett -200
50 for 59.09 daSilva -220 & emmett -200

50 for 53.68 NOT miller ITD -289 & emmett-holtzman O2.5 -185
50 for 49.35 NOT miller ITD -289 & covingto-barberena O2.5 -210
50 for 48.12 covington -350 & emmett-holtzman O2.5 -190
50 for 50.86 covington -337 & wineland -180

30 RR for 1,054.59: gallRD1/ faberRD2/ daSilvaRD2/ covingtonRD3/ moontasriRD1/ smithaldanaRD1
56 RR for 1,387.16: PVZITD/ gallSUB/ faberITD/ covingtonITD/ moonITD/ emmettDEC/ aldanaITD/ winelandDEC
20 RR for 1,898.62: faberSUB/ joubanRD2/ daSilvaRD2/ covingtonITD/ moonITD/ aldanasmithRD1
30 RR for 864.56: PVZITD/ gallRD1/ faberRD2/ joubanRD2

---

not my best night. live and learn. moving on. split decision losing streak continues.. (not saying velickovic deserved it, but yea.)
 
4.6 units Emmett + Colby @ -113

Big one hit. Won approx 1.5 units on lb. Big one being morono, pre betof jouban dec +450 and jouban during lb. Lost a unit lb sage and lb faber itd end of r1.

5.5 units profit. Thought it was 7 units but forgot to increase unit size in line with increased br. Still very solid night.
 
2u Velickovic -143
2u Emmett -175
1.33u Velickovic/Aliev GTD -120
1u Miller/Hirota O2.5 -125
1u Waterson +160
0.66u Northcutt +125
0.66u Jouban +100
0.33u Jouban +120

1u Covington DEC -105
0.66u Northcutt DEC +450
0.266u VanZant DEC +275
0.33u Wineland DEC +325

LIVE
2u Smith/Aldano GTD 1.68
1u Hirota 1.83
0.66u Moon 1.61
0.66u Craig 2.37
0.33u Craig 2.20
0.66u Faber ITD -110
+4.96u. Couldn't spend much time in the pbp thread since I had friends over but the most satisfying win was Waterson just because of the hilarity of PVZ going for that head and arm throw and then losing. Too funny.
 
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-0.8 units This event was definitely a learning experience for me. No more low level wmma besides dog odds. Too many stupid parlays with too many legs. Tailing blind on bojan without watching tape and very limited knowledge. Being able to pull the trigger faster during livebetting. I guess it's easy to be bummed after an event like this but i actually appreciate it because it allows me to reevaluate certain things. Gonna smash ufc 207 though. Congrats to everyone who killed it.
 
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