Your official UFC on FOX 28 bets

[DianS]

Well mid week I made a bet on bovada for 8 man 5 way RR on Hill, Andrade, Burns, Latifi, Perry, Jouban, Stephens, and Barao $112 to win $1092.88. Clearly not looking too good anyway, But with the OAM v Burns fight being pulled i really don't know how this works anymore. I would think because of the massive change of odds when that happens they would cancel it, but clearly not. Anybody have an idea of how RRs work when fights get canceled?

 

[And]

2u Stephens ML -136 +1.471u
0.4u Stephens Dec. +350

0.5u Andrade ITD +253
0.1u Torres ITD +1800

0.5u Latifi-Saint Preux U2.5 +110 +0.55u
0.3u Saint Preux ML -111
0.2u Latifi ITD +500 +1u

2u Barao ML -141
0.5u Barao Dec. +250

0.4u McMann ITD +400

10u Hill ML -125 +8u
5.5u Moroz ML +150

0.5u Jouban-Saunders GTD +205
0.5u Jouban Dec. +375

1.2u Alvey-Prachnio ends ITD -120 +1u
0.5u Alvey ML +210 +1.05u
0.25u Alvey Dec. +600

0.15u Doane Dec. +684
0.1u Doane R3 +2800

1.5u Shelton ML +123
0.1u Shelton R3 +1800

1.5u Parlay (Andrade -263, McMann -207) +104
1u Parlay (Stephens -146, Barao -145) +185

RR 11x0.2u (Stephens -146, Barao -145, Hill -143, Shelton -119) -1.52u
RR 11*0.1u (Andrade -3.5 +100, Barao -3.5 +140, McMann -3.5 +200, Hill -3.5 +225) -0.45u

Result: -3.199u

 

[Jamah]

1u Shelton @2.20
0.8u Doane @3.00

0.77u Latifi @2.30
0.77u Kelleher @2.30

0.44u Hill @1.90
0.4u Alvey @3.25
0.4u Torres @3.50

0.3u Griffin @4.00
0.3u Jouban DEC @4.75

0.13u Barao r1 @5.50
0.1u Doane r3 @29.00

0.1u Kelleher r3 @17.00
0.08u Torres ITD @19.00
Live: 0.2u Reneau @7.00
0.1u Reneau @10.00
0.7u Stephens @2.10

+4.1u Good event, I needed it. I think that I should live bet more and take advantage of b365 retarded livelines.

 

[stretcharmstrong]

3u - Stephens @1.70 WIN
1u - Doane @3.00 LOSS
1u - Shelton @2.20 LOSS
0.5u - Alvey @3.00 WIN
0.2u - Doane r3 @29.00 LOSS
0.5u - Griffin @4.00 WIN
1u - Saunders in play @2.63 LOSS
0.5u - McMann sub @9.50 LOSS
0.25u - Reneau in play @14.00 WIN
1u - Andrade in play @1.55 WIN
1.5u - Andrade in play @1.3 WIN
0.2 - Hail Mary LOSS
0.4 - Round prop r/r LOSS

+4.65u

 

[t6p]

2u Stephens -130 +1.54u
0.3u Stephens DEC +322 -0.3u
0.05u Stephens RD4 +1375 -0.05u
0.05u Stephens RD5 +2075 -0.05u

0.5u Torres +275 -0.5u
0.1u Andrade SUB +791 -0.1u
0.05u Andrade RD3 +1350 -0.05u

0.75u Latifi DEC +310 -0.75u

0.8u Griffin +325 +2.6u
0.1u Griffin KO +720 -0.1u
0.05u Griffin RD3 +2275 -0.05u

2u Barao NSC +100 0u
0.1u Kelleher RD3 +1550 -0.1u

2u Hill +100 +2u
1.6u Moroz +125 -1.6u

0.2u Doane DEC +525 -0.2u
0.1u Doane RD3 +1500 -0.1u
0.05u Doane SUB +2000 -0.05u

3u Shelton NSC +260 0u
1u Shelton +115 -1u
0.3u Perez SUB +650 -0.3u
0.1u Shelton SUB +801 -0.1u
0.1u Shelton RD3 +1800 -0.1u

0.2u Shelton/Barao/Latifi/Stephens +1191 -0.2u

1.3u RR (2s,3s,4s,5) Shelton DEC/Moroz DEC/Barao DEC/Latifi DEC/Stephens DEC -1.3u
0.55u RR (2s,5) Doane DEC/Barao SUB/Griffin KO/Latifi ITD/Stephens KO +0.33u

Added:
0.4u Moroz +800 -0.4u
0.2u Torres +500 -0.2u

NET: -1.13u

Can't say I really regret any of my plays, expect maybe I should have avoided Shelton, since I felt I didn't have a good read on Perez. Griffin getting the KO would have been big but oh well.

 

[piglord]

at least one thing in my life is going well.

WINS

Andrade, stephens £300 returns £706

Andrade, stephens £300 returns £725

Reneau £50 returns £500

Hill £200 returns £360

Kelleher £310 returns £713

Griffin £50 returns £200

Griffin dec £100 returns £500

Latifi £200 returns £500

LOSSES

Perry £50 returns £300

Jouban/saunders to go the distance £25 returns £75

Saunders £50 returns £125

Doane £50 returns £155

Doane r3 £20 returns £580

sage, mcmann £422 returns £823

Kelleher r3, Andrade, stephens £100 returns £3767

Stephens r4 £10 returns £130

Stephens r5 £10 returns £230

NET PROFIT: £1957

 

[Jerry the mouse]

My bets:

- 4u Ilir Latifi to beat OSP +107
- 5u Andrade vs Torres over 2.5 rds -244
- 3u Stephens vs Emmett under 3.5 rds +100

- 1u parlay +707
Latifi to win
Max Griffin to win

Edit: (added this bet after going back & forth on it) 1u parlay +475
Emmett to win inside distance
Andrade to win

My results for the last two UFC events:

+ 6.84u of profit for UFC 221 (ROI 49%)
+ 8.45u of profit for UFN 126 (ROI 85%)

UFC 221 was the first time I used a third-party tracker to track my bets.

Happy gambling everyone! Good luck.

Holy shit, what a night for me

+15.4 units of profit
110% ROI

 

[EzFlyer]

UFC Fox 28 Net: +267.86
emmett +267: 45 for 120 / ITD: 102.50 for 50 / U3.5: 99 for 75 / RD1: 25 for 76 / stephens RD4: 25 for 268.75 / stephens RD5: 20 for 331.26
andrade -3.5: 200 for 150 / andrade ITD: 50 for 150 / torres +408: 25 for 102
latifi +117: 225 for 262.50 / latifi DEC: 40 for 99.40
perry RD2: 25 for 118.75 / perry RD3: 25 for 230
barao +214: 529.50 for 1,135 / barao SUB: 40 for 207.20
reneau +800: 100 for 800 / reneau RD3: 15 for 330 / reneau NSC: 100.50 for 103
hill: 0 for 100 / hill ITD: 50 for 300 / hill NSC: 100 for 112 / moroz: 0 for 205
jouban DEC: 37.50 for 132.68
alvey RD3: 10 for 155 / alvey +3.5: 57.50 for 50 / alvey NSC: 100 for 164.50 / ITD: 75 for 50
doane +247: 75 for 185 / doane +3.5: 50 for 50
shelton +139: 225 for 313.75 / shelton SUB: 20 for 160.20 / shelton NSC: 150 for 181
morales +3.5: 62.50 for 50
parlays
15 RR for 3,019.70: stephensRD5/ perryRD3/ reneauRD3/ joubanRD3/ alveyRD3/ sheltonRD3
53.20 RR for 5,619.72: emmettKO/ latifiDEC/ perryRD2/ baraoSUB/ reneauITD/ hillITD/ doaneITD/ sheltonITD
20 RR for 951.58: emmettstephensRD1/ andradeITD/ baraoITD/ joubanDEC/ doaneyahyaRD1/ moralesDEC
60 RR for (paid -3.02) 1094.77: latifi/ reneau/ joubansaundersO2.5/ alvey/ doane/ morales
48 for 44.56 andrade -250 + emmettstephens ITD -265
48 for 54.20 andrade -250 & perry ITD -192
48 for 52.55 emmettstephensITD -265 + perry ITD -192
---

whoopdie freakin doo.

fookin barao. back to retirement, i think. heart/drive not there. gonna smash munhoz next week tho.

 

[Gugabe]

fookin barao. back to retirement, i think. heart/drive not there. gonna smash munhoz next week tho.

Barao's heart there, his athleticism just gone. That was depressing.

You like Munhoz? I really don't get that pick.

 

[northsofia]

1.75u Stephens @1.62
0.75u Hill @1.80
0.5u Reneu @2.75
0.33u MacMan/Reneu U2.5 @3.00
0.33u Saunders @3.00
0.8u Kelleher @2.30
1u Barao/Kelleher O2.5 @1.80

I had some more bets but forgot to put them here
Overal i am more or less +5u

 

[greenmouse]

4u Shelton

4u Latifi
(Pseudo hedge: 0.2u OSP KO+Mcmann+Andrade+Shelton @14.7 =)

4u Morales
(Pseudo hedge: Bermudez SUB+Andrade+MacMann @6.5)

5.4u MacMann

Three dogs and one WMMA = potent stuff

One prop: 0.3u Shelton SUB @10.0

-10.3 = Not so potent... Horrible result.
Fortunately I made +12.6u live betting so ended up on the plus side anyway. And that was just lazy betting on the fighters who were obviously winning (Hill, Kelleher, Griffin).
Had a huge loss last event, and a big loss the event
before that too.
I realise now I'm really far from good enough to pre bet. It's live betting only for me from now on.

 

[null]

Lil Heathen comes through again with a big KO in the main event despite some controversy. The ladies did great for me as usual with Angela Hill out striking Maryna Moroz as expected and Marion Reneau submitting flaky Sara McMann for a big upset. I would have had a truly epic night if I hadn't gotten spooked by the size difference at the weigh-ins and switched my bets from Ilir Latifi to heavy on OSP. But I won't sneeze at 7.21 units profit on a fun Fox card.

UFC on Fox 28 Results

Jeremy Stephens (-140) vs Josh Emmett $280.00 for $200.00= $200.00
Jeremy Stephens (-145) vs Josh Emmett $290.00 for $200.00= $200.00
Jeremy Stephens wins by TKO/KO (+170) $50.00 for $85.00= $85.00
Josh Emmett wins in round 1 (+750) $30.00 for $225.00= -$30.00
Jeremy Stephens wins in round 3 (+900) $20.00 for $180.00= -$20.00
Jeremy Stephens wins in round 4 (+1600) $20.00 for $320.00= -$20.00
Jeremy Stephens wins in round 5 (+2500) $20.00 for $500.00= -$20.00
Jeremy Stephens wins by 5 round decision (+433) $50.00 for $216.50= -$50.00
Jeremy Stephens wins by 5 round unanimous decision (+460) $25.00 for $115.00= -$25.00
Jeremy Stephens/Josh Emmett number of takedowns draw (+205 ) ~$10.00 for ~$20.50= ~$20.50

Tecia Torres (+240) vs Jessica Andrade $75.00 for $180.00= -$75.00
Tecia Torres +3½ points (-120) $120.00 for $100.00= -$120.00
Tecia Torres/Jessica Andrade Over 2½ (-250) $250.00 for $100.00= $100.00
Jessica Andrade wins by 3 round decision (-130) $97.50 for $75.00= $75.00

Ovince Saint Preux (-150) vs Ilir Latifi $450.00 for $300.00= -$450.00
Ovince Saint Preux (-151) vs Ilir Latifi $302.00 for $200.00= -$302.00
Ovince Saint Preux wins by KO/TKO/DQ (+274) $75.00 for $205.50= -$75.00
Ovince Saint Preux wins in round 3 (+1075) $10.00 for $107.50= -$10.00
Ilir Latifi/Ovince Saint Preux fight does not go distance (-110) $110.00 for $100.00= $100.00
Ilir Latifi (+108) vs Ovince Saint Preux $200.00 for $216.00= $216.00
Ilir Latifi wins by TKO/KO (+735) $20.00 for $147.00= -$20.00
Ilir Latifi wins by 3 round decision (+260) $40.00 for $104.00= -$40.00

Mike Perry/Max Griffin starts round 2 (-130) $130.00 for $100.00= $100.00
Mike Perry/Max Griffin Over 1½ (+100) $100.00 for $100.00= $100.00
Mike Perry wins in round 2 (+450) $25.00 for $112.50= -$25.00
Mike Perry wins in round 3 (+1150) $15.00 for $172.50= -$15.00

Brian Kelleher (+135) vs Renan Barao $100.00 for $135.00= $135.00
Brian Kelleher wins in round 3 (+1400) $10.00 for $140.00= -$10.00
Renan Barao/Brian Kelleher Over 2½ (-125) $125.00 for $100.00= $100.00
Renan Barao/Brian Kelleher Over 2½ (-125) $125.00 for $100.00= $100.00
Renan Baro by decision (+250) $40.00 for $100.00= -$40.00

Marion Reneau wins inside distance (+435) $25.00 for $108.75= $108.75
Marion Reneau wins by submission (+1100) ~$10.00 for ~$110.00= ~$110.00
Marion Reneau wins in round 3 (+2200) ~$10.00 for ~$220.00= -~$10.00
Marion Reneau/Sara McMann Under 2½ (+230) $100.00 for $230.00= $230.00
Marion Reneau/Sara McMann Under 2½ (+195) $100.00 for $195.00= $195.00

Angela Hill (-130) vs Maryna Moroz $260.00 for $200.00= $200.00
Angela Hill -3½ points (+240) vs Maryna Moroz $50.00 for $120.00= $120.00
Angela Hill wins by 3 round decision (+100) $75.00 for $75.00= $75.00

Alan Jouban wins in round 2 (+425) vs Ben Saunders $25.00 for $106.25= $106.25

Marcin Prachnio/Sam Alvey Over 2½ (+100) $100.00 for $100.00= -$100.00
Marcin Prachnio/Sam Alvey Over 2½ (-150) $112.50 for $75.00= -$112.50
Sam Alvey wins in round 3 (+1800) ~$10.00 for ~$180.00= -~$10.00
Marcin Prachnio wins by 3 round decision (+150) $50.00 for $75.00= -$50.00
Marcin Prachnio/Sam Alvey goes 3 round distance (+120) $100.00 for $120.00= -$100.00

Rani Yahya (-225) vs Russell Doane $225.00 for $100.00= $100.00
Rani Yahya wins in round 1 (+275) $15.00 for $41.25= -$15.00
Rani Yahya wins inside distance (+140) $40.00 for $56.00= $56.00
Russell Doane wins in round 3 (+1600) ~$10.00 for ~$160.00= -~$10.00

Eric Shelton (+115) vs Alex Perez $200.00 for $230.00= -$200.00
Eric Shelton scorecards = no action (-131) $131.00 for $100.00= Cancelled
Eric Shelton wins by submission (+801) $30.00 for $240.30= -$30.00
Eric Shelton wins in round 3 (+1800) ~$10.00 for ~$180.00= -~$10.00
Eric Shelton/Alex Perez Under 2½ (+140) $100.00 for $140.00= -$100.00

Albert Morales (+140) vs Manny Bermudez $100.00 for $140.00= -$100.00
Manny Bermudez wins by submission (+170) $30.00 for $51.00= $51.00

Fights to go distance under 6½ (-153) $61.20 for $40.00= $40.00
Fights to go distance under 5½ (+169) $40.00 for $67.60= $67.60
Fights to go distance under 4½ (+443) $25.00 for $110.75= -$25.00
Fights to go distance under 3½ (+1297) $15.00 for $194.55= -$15.00
Fights to go distance under 2½ (+4550) $10.00 for $455.00= -$10.00
Fights to go distance under 1½ (+28600) $5.00 for $1,430.00= -$5.00

Jeremy Stephens/Josh Emmett wins FOTN (+250) ~$20.00 for ~$50.00= -~$20.00
-----
Sub-Total= $651.10
Sub-Total= ~$70.50

Total Profit= $721.60