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- Feb 3, 2015
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I like the odds on Ansaroff. Will win the striking for sure and much better cardio so will improve as the fight goes on. Reasonably mobile so (hopefully) won't give up TD's to easy all the time, especially as the fight goes on and Gadelha gasses. Has looked better every fight since being with ATT (who've trained fighters to beat Gadelha before), hasn't lost since 2014 (Kish fight was a robbery). Last fight was also vs a grappler so has been preparing for TD threat for a while (she handled it well and got stronger as the fight went on - perfect for this bout?). Drinks the essence of Nunes right from the cup.
Meanwhile Gadelha has terrible carido, looked not so great in her last two fights, seems a little unfocused: running her own camp, talked about wanting a 'break' after the Android fight (not a great sign IMO), getting fake boobs, thirsting for Ortega, etc. So I feel it's a good time to try and catch the fade. Am hoping Ansaroff gets up as high as 4.0 if the degen #elite #locksonly parlay money starts rolling in on Gadelha. Looking to bet 0.5u-1u on her.
I was trying to justify a bet on Ansaroff for a long while as well but the strength of Gadelhas grappling is a major concern, she took Joann down 11 times between their two fights and attempted 29 takedwons, 16 in the 3 round fight. Obv Joanna is much harder to takedown than Ansaroff(Andrade went 2/10), Gadelha is a much better grappler than Markos and Markos got a hook in. Gadelha might even get the SUB. Ansaroff threw 300 strikes aganst Hill but only 130 against Markos. Hill wasnt trying to grapple but Markos attempted 11 takedowns, Ansaroffs ability to strike will be even more limited here imo. Ansaroff also loves to kick a lot which ma play against her staying upright. Gadelha getting rocked by Esparza was def not a good look but I'mma say that was an outlier, not something to be expected. Gadelhas cardio is the biggest concern for me as far as her weaknesses go.
When Max looks fine at weigh he'll go bigger fav imo, I imagine a lot of folks who're putting big money down want to see him weigh in before they bet on him.
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