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Discussion in 'MMA Betting Discussion' started by EzFlyer, Dec 2, 2017.
weak. this is on Saturday .. but i guess it's in italy so it'll be before the ufc.. hope there's no overlap between the main card and the ufc prelims...
prefer bellators on fridays. but i guess it makes sense locally in italy.
and yea. not a great couple late cards for bellator. but 2018 looks strong early.
This Bellator 190 card from Florence should still be on a few hours tape delay since it starts only a little bit earlier than usual at 8 PM EST, followed by the kickboxing portion of the card on Spike at 10:15 PM EST. So it will overlap with the UFC card for sure.
Hope Sakara wins
man sakara +230? i think i'm good with that.
Bellator 190: Carvalho vs. Sakara
Venue: Nelson Mandela Forum | Florence, Italy
Saturday December 9, 2017
Main Event | Middleweight Title | 185 lbs
Alessio Sakara +195
Rafael Carvalho -275
Over 1.5 +120
Under 1.5 -160
Co-Main Event | Lightweight | 155 lbs
Brandon Girtz +130
Luka Jelcic -170
Over 1.5 -150
Under 1.5 +110
Main Card| Flyweight|125 lbs
Mary Rouse Mejia +650
Lena Ovchynnikova -1350
Over 1.5 -135
Under 1.5 -105
Main Card | Lightweight| 155 lbs
Carlos Leal Miranda +175
Mihail Nica -245
Over 1.5 -135
Under 1.5 -105
One really has to question whether 36 year old Alessio Sakara is actually going to make the middleweight limit of 185 pounds for a championship fight this weekend. His two most recent bouts, both in Bellator in 2016, were contested in his home country of Italy at ~93 kg or 205 pounds. I have won a lot of money on champion Rafael Carvalho over the course of his Bellator run, but still, I'd normally be interested in a knockout artist like Sakara as a more than 2 to 1 underdog. However, the lower weight class- a full 21 pounds less without the extra pound allowance for a non-title fight- really means a prudent bettor has to wait for the weigh-in photos or video here.
Sakara has no business fighting for the title. He was mediocre even when he was in his prime. I think he is getting murked.
What's up with Girtz being the dog? I've never seen Jelcic fight.
who the f is this Mary rouse meija, had one fight in 2011 and absolutely no info on this chick
Easy win for Rafael no?
Think this is an error, as far as I can tell Lara is still her opponent. Here's an article (in Spanish) from today previewing the matchup
But I yolo'd Mejia +650 just in case
Anyone know what time the fights are actually happening? tomorrow or sat?
Saturday early in Italy, tape delayed on spike during ufc prelims
Went in expecting to blindly play girtz.. but this Croatian dude is pretty dangerous.. hrmmm. I'll decide tomorrow, as the event isn't till Saturday
I think sakara will be relatively competitive for a round or so but don't think he can go 25 with carvalho. Waiting and watching props.
Gonna play Carvalho ML, and that's just about it.
Bellator 190 weigh-in results:
Rafael Carvalho (184.6 lbs.) vs. Alessio Sakara (184.2 lbs.)
Brandon Girtz (156 lbs.) vs. Luka Jelcic (155.6 lbs.)
Lena Ovchynnikova (124.4 lbs.) vs. Alejandra Lara (125 lbs.)
Mihail Nica (155.6 lbs.) vs. Carlos Miranda (156 lbs.)
Gregory Babene (185.2 lbs.) vs. Tony Zanko (185 lbs.)
Bellator Kickboxing 8 weigh-in results:
Raymond Daniels (171.5 lbs.) vs. Giannis Boukis (171.6 lbs.)
Joe Schilling (185.2 lbs.) vs. Filipino Verlinden (185.8 lbs.)
Piergiulio Paolucci (161.6 lbs.) vs. John Wayne Parr (162.8 lbs.)
Kevin Ross (149.4 lbs.) vs. Hamza Imane (149.5 lbs.)
Gabriel Varga (145.8 lbs.) vs. Roberto Gheorghita (145.6)
Pretty crazy that books still have Mejia as Lena O's opponent. They gotta get their shit together and figure out who is fighting.
Bellator Kickboxing 8
Laying some pretty steep juice here on carvalho -255. Feel like he doesn't get the respect he deserves cause of one weird fight. Before and after that one, he's shown to be very durable... he's very tough to deal with his length/distance control.. I could even see carvalho working in some takedowns here.
can't see sakara hanging over 5 rounds.
That said, I'm dumb and also sprinkled on carvalho decision +800ish.
Also took girtz +135 and girtz Dec +365. Not big action here.