Glory 55 Pereira vs Belgaroui

Discussion in 'MMA Betting Discussion' started by JimGunn, Jul 8, 2018.

  1. JimGunn

    JimGunn Silver Belt

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  2. JimGunn

    JimGunn Silver Belt

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  3. JimGunn

    JimGunn Silver Belt

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  4. JimGunn

    JimGunn Silver Belt

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  5. JimGunn

    JimGunn Silver Belt

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    Opening odds on BetDSI:

    Glory 55: New York
    July 20, 2018
    Hulu Theater - New York City, New York

    GLORY 55 NEW YORK - (ESPN NEWS 9:30PM EDT)

    Glory Middleweight 85 kg Title

    Yousri Belgaroui -130
    Alex Pereira -110

    Over 4.5 -105
    Under 4.5 -135
    -

    Interim Glory Featherweight 65 kg Title

    Kevin VanNostrand +450
    Petchpanomrung Kiatmookao -750

    Over 3.5 +110
    Under 3.5 -150
    -

    Lightweight 70 kg

    Nick Chasteen +285
    Elvis Gashi -425

    Over 2.5 -230
    Under 2.5 +170
    -

    Featherweight 65 kg

    Nate Richardson +150
    Victor Pinto -190

    Over 2.5 -270
    Under 2.5 +190
    -

    SUPERFIGHT SERIES - (UFC Fight Pass 7:00PM EDT)

    Welterweight 77 kg

    Alan Scheinson +175
    Cedric Doumbe -245

    Over 2.5 -270
    Under 2.5 +190
    -

    Super Bantamweight 55 kg

    Sofia Olofsson +335
    Tiffany van Soest -505

    Over 2.5 -425
    Under 2.5 +285
     
  6. stretcharmstrong

    stretcharmstrong Purple Belt

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    Is this tonight? I cant find any euro lines... I like Belgaroui and Doumbe at first glance.
     
  7. Karmello

    Karmello Purple Belt

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    Yes tonight, BetOnline has odds but I don't know about the eurobookies.
     
  8. Karmello

    Karmello Purple Belt

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    Belgaroui vs Pereira:

    Although Belgaroui won their first fight by decision and was ahead on the cards in their second fight before he got tagged and cut, I think this time Pereira will finish him or at least get a couple of KD's. When the 2nd fight was stopped because of the cut, Belgaroui was in all kinds of trouble and I think he would've gotten finished anyway. The first fight was their 2nd fight of the night and Pereira didn't have as much left in the tank. Worth noting that Belgaroui had more time to recover between fights, but he won a clear decision here.

    All in all this is a really hard fight to call and I can't blame anyone for betting Belgaroui, he's the more complete kickboxer and has the higher output. But I really think Pereira's boxing will be to much and that left hook and/or right straight, will in this 5 round fight eventually get through and get Belgaroui in all kinds of trouble again. I think Pereira will win the fight, either by KO/TKO or by getting a couple of 10-8 rounds.

    1,5u Pereira @2,00
     
    Last edited: Jul 20, 2018
  9. JimGunn

    JimGunn Silver Belt

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    I'm pretty big on middleweight champion Alex Pereira at +100 over Yousri Belgaroui and the under 4½. Alex got the KO last time due to a cut but his boxing is better imho and he looked great before that as well. Small flyer on Kevin VanNostrand to upset Petch at +540 as well as the under 3½ hedge for the co-main. KvN is tall enough to avoid the left high head kick hopefully and it would be fun to see him use his karate and unorthodox style to beat Petch who is one of the very best in the world. Also on the under 3½ at -145 or so since they are both finishers. Big on former welterweight champion Cedric Doumbe to win as a --225 to -245 favorite to Alan Scheinson. Small on undefeated Elvis Gashi as a -390 favorite over Nick Chastain, as well as an under 2½ at near +200 since Gashi has a lot of knockouts. Also big on Victor Pinto at -175 to -190 over American Nate Richardson, Pinto has the size and is a more complete fighter and should win as long as he isn't too passive in his attack. Small flyer on debuting Swede Sofia Olofsson at +375 to upset former American women;s champion Tiffany Van Soest. Sofia is bigger than Tiffany & jacked and she looked like she hit the pads pretty hard. Also took the chalky over 2½ in the fight at -370 since both ladies are skilled and with only three 3-minuts rounds, I like it to go over.
     
  10. JimGunn

    JimGunn Silver Belt

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    Glory 55 Risk $2,726.85

    Alex Pereira (+100) vs Yousri Belgaroui $200.00 $200.00
    Alex Pereira (-105) vs Yousri Belgaroui $210.00 for $200.00
    Yousri Belgaroui (+145) vs Alex Pereira ~$80.85 for ~$117.23
    Alex Pereira/Yousri Belgaroui Under 4½ (-125) $125.00 for $100.00
    Alex Pereira/Yousri Belgaroui Under 4½ (-130) $130.00 for $100.00

    Kevin VanNostrand (+540) vs Petchpanomrung Kiatmookao $75.00 for $405.00
    Kevin VanNostrand/Petchpanomrung Kiatmookao Under 3½ (-145) $145.00 for $100.00

    Victor Pinto (-175) vs Nate Richardson $175.00 for $100.00
    Victor Pinto (-180) vs Nate Richardson $180.00 for $100.00

    Elvis Gashi (-390) vs Nick Chasteen $156.00 for $40.00
    Elvis Gashi/Nick Chasteen Under 2½ (+185) $100.00 for $185.00

    Cedric Doumbe (-225) vs Alan Scheinson $225.00 for $100.00
    Cedric Doumbe (-235) vs Alan Scheinson $235.00 for $100.00
    Cedric Doumbe (-245) vs Alan Scheinson $245.00 for $100.00

    Sofia Olofsson (+375) vs Tiffany Van Soest $75.00 for $281.25
    Sofia Olofsson/Tiffany Van Soest Over 2½ (-370) $370.00 for $100.00
     
  11. JimGunn

    JimGunn Silver Belt

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  12. Karmello

    Karmello Purple Belt

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    Also have 2,5u on Doumbé @1,41

    Might add some more bets later on
     
  13. kenfloshogun

    kenfloshogun Orange Belt

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    Another split loss -_____-
     
  14. Karmello

    Karmello Purple Belt

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    Didn't expect Doumbé to come out this aggressive, hope he doesn't get to reckless
     
  15. Karmello

    Karmello Purple Belt

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    What a performance from Doumbé really put it on Scheinson! Easy money!
     
  16. JimGunn

    JimGunn Silver Belt

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    Tiffany deserved the win over Sofia, although I would happily have collected if they gave that split to Sofia. Cedric gave me anxiety watching him fight so recklessly, but he got the KO so nice win there.
     
  17. Karmello

    Karmello Purple Belt

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    Added another 0,544u on Pereira @1,90
     
  18. Karmello

    Karmello Purple Belt

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    Pereira - Belgaroui went as I predicted to end another perfect night.

    +3,04u
     
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  19. JimGunn

    JimGunn Silver Belt

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    Cedric Doumbe & Victor Pinto did what they were supposed to do as favorites. And a huge one-punch round one knockout by Alex Pereira to close out the rubber match with Yousri Belgaroui in the main event closed out the show in a big way. Even my two longshot underdogs managed to make it close enough for split decisions despite losing. 7.64 units profit for the card.

    Glory 55 Results
    Risk $2,726.85

    Alex Pereira (+100) vs Yousri Belgaroui $200.00 for $200.00= $200.00
    Alex Pereira (-105) vs Yousri Belgaroui $210.00 for $200.00= $200.00
    Yousri Belgaroui (+145) vs Alex Pereira ~$80.85 for ~$117.23= -~$80.85
    Alex Pereira/Yousri Belgaroui Under 4½ (-125) $125.00 for $100.00= $100.00
    Alex Pereira/Yousri Belgaroui Under 4½ (-130) $130.00 for $100.00= $100.00

    Kevin VanNostrand (+540) vs Petchpanomrung Kiatmookao $75.00 for $405.00= -$75.00
    Kevin VanNostrand/Petchpanomrung Kiatmookao Under 3½ (-145) $145.00 for $100.00= -$145.00

    Victor Pinto (-175) vs Nate Richardson $175.00 for $100.00= $100.00
    Victor Pinto (-180) vs Nate Richardson $180.00 for $100.00= $100.00

    Elvis Gashi (-390) vs Nick Chasteen $156.00 for $40.00= $40.00
    Elvis Gashi/Nick Chasteen Under 2½ (+185) $100.00 for $185.00= -$100.00

    Cedric Doumbe (-225) vs Alan Scheinson $225.00 for $100.00= $100.00
    Cedric Doumbe (-235) vs Alan Scheinson $235.00 for $100.00= $100.00
    Cedric Doumbe (-245) vs Alan Scheinson $245.00 for $100.00= $100.00

    Sofia Olofsson (+375) vs Tiffany Van Soest $75.00 for $281.25= -$75.00
    Sofia Olofsson/Tiffany Van Soest Over 2½ (-370) $370.00 for $100.00= $100.00
    -----
    Sub-Total= $845.00
    Sub-Total= -~$80.85

    Total Profit= $764.15
     
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