I was honestly very surprised at the odds of this fight when I saw them. I think Till is overrated. Brunson win's via grappling. If Brunson keeps his head off the centre line, it's an easy win. I parlayed Daniel Rodriguez and Brunson for a nice potential payout. 1/2 way there
Same way Woodley did, get him to the ground and exploit the fact that he's a striker and not a grappler.
Panic wrestling?Brunson is always panic wrestling when fighting striker.
On paper it is easy to see why Darren should be the favorite. First off, Brunson is nearly 38 years old. He is a fighter who does rely a bit on his superior athleticism but that window can close any time. In the past his reckless style has placed him on both sides of some highlight reel finishes. His power is always there but his chin is certainly questionable
On the other side, Till is potentially just entering his prime at about 29 years old. He is more polished on the feet, better kicker, better puncher. Usually he is better at managing distance. Great at taking angles. Speed advantage also goes to Till. I feel like Till's TDD has proven to be solid and that won't be an easy route of victory for Brunson at all. And although Brunson has been fighting much smarter and more patient, I feel like Till also may have the advantage in a slow paced, highly technical fight. At first I thought it was an easy pick, although obviously we have seen much bigger upsets.
With all that said, we also can safely assume that Brunson is the better wrestler and has even better takedown defense than Till. I think Brunson's side should keep the pressure and work a lot of leg kicks and body kicks. Brunson is not known as a kicker, but being as though Till will likely not go for or be able to take Brunson down, he can afford to be more reckless with them. Land them even if it is just for points so that Till can't hang back and play the distance. Don't chase with the hands, but try and let Till walk into some power shots and maybe force a reckless exchange out of Till. Obviously the TDD threat will always be present for Brunson, so Till maybe hesitant to clinch.
Now I'm not so sure who to pick. I'll stick with Till but I could see paths for Brunson that I didn't notice before. But I don't know shit. What do you guys think?
I totally agree with this assessment. I'm sad, because I'm a big Brunson fan, and I don't want to see him get brutally KO'd, but honestly that is the only way I see this going down. People underrate Till by a shit ton just because his record is spotty, but he is in my opinion the third best MW in the UFC (Obviously Yoel would be up there if he was still in the UFC).On paper it is easy to see why Darren should be the favorite. First off, Brunson is nearly 38 years old. He is a fighter who does rely a bit on his superior athleticism but that window can close any time. In the past his reckless style has placed him on both sides of some highlight reel finishes. His power is always there but his chin is certainly questionable
On the other side, Till is potentially just entering his prime at about 29 years old. He is more polished on the feet, better kicker, better puncher. Usually he is better at managing distance. Great at taking angles. Speed advantage also goes to Till. I feel like Till's TDD has proven to be solid and that won't be an easy route of victory for Brunson at all. And although Brunson has been fighting much smarter and more patient, I feel like Till also may have the advantage in a slow paced, highly technical fight. At first I thought it was an easy pick, although obviously we have seen much bigger upsets.
With all that said, we also can safely assume that Brunson is the better wrestler and has even better takedown defense than Till. I think Brunson's side should keep the pressure and work a lot of leg kicks and body kicks. Brunson is not known as a kicker, but being as though Till will likely not go for or be able to take Brunson down, he can afford to be more reckless with them. Land them even if it is just for points so that Till can't hang back and play the distance. Don't chase with the hands, but try and let Till walk into some power shots and maybe force a reckless exchange out of Till. Obviously the TDD threat will always be present for Brunson, so Till maybe hesitant to clinch.
Now I'm not so sure who to pick. I'll stick with Till but I could see paths for Brunson that I didn't notice before. But I don't know shit. What do you guys think?
Woodley got him to the ground by running a truck through his chin lolSame way Woodley did, get him to the ground and exploit the fact that he's a striker and not a grappler.
I totally agree with this assessment. I'm sad, because I'm a big Brunson fan, and I don't want to see him get brutally KO'd, but honestly that is the only way I see this going down. People underrate Till by a shit ton just because his record is spotty, but he is in my opinion the third best MW in the UFC (Obviously Yoel would be up there if he was still in the UFC).
Till TKO round 4 after Brunson gasses.
Only way that doesn't happen is if Brunson is very smart and sets up his takedowns properly and gets a finish within 2 rounds on the ground, which is possible but highly unlikely imo.
I want Brunson's run to continue dammit, I'll be praying for a KO on this weekend lol.
Honestly I can not say that I am rooting for Brunson just because of what you said @Franklin U. It just seems like a bad look for the division, at least on the surface. Plus Darren Till potentially fighting Adesanya is a much bigger fight for the sport even if much of Till's hype is unwarranted atm.As far as fighting at 185 pounds , this Till s biggest fight of career. I like the styles and Darren has some middle experience under his belt now. Brunson on a great streak but his last couple were " supposed" up and corners and won as underdog.
I dont see this fight going distance ( not even close) as I see Till catching Brunson on the button and following him down for the tko.
If Brunson should win , youd think this guy is in line for a t.s....... which is sad .
I can just simplify this way. Brunson is probably just outside his prime and yes- hes on a streak - but I just cant get past the fact that his past 2 wins were rondas boy and Holland. Till maybe 1-3 but I see a fighter further growing into the 185 division, in his prime and I love this fight , stylistically, for Till.Honestly I can not say that I am rooting for Brunson just because of what you said @Franklin U. It just seems like a bad look for the division, at least on the surface. Plus Darren Till potentially fighting Adesanya is a much bigger fight for the sport even if much of Till's hype is unwarranted atm.
It isn't even the fact that Derek is terrible or all if his past losses. It's more his most recent loss to the current champ in a one sided grudge match. BUT if Derek does win, I can't necessarily use that to knock the division overall. You have to give Brunson credit for finally putting it all together, especially his fight IQ, at this advanced age/stage of his career.
He always had the power, the athleticism, solid wrestling. And despite his much less than clean technique on the feet, he was getting solid results and performances even before this recent resurgance. Till arguably wouldn't even be his biggest win.(Machida).
His style definitely deserves criticism and I have been guilty of downplaying him but his career might be a bit underrated.
You know what, the more that I think about it, and honestly I have to many othee things to do than to be thinking and posting about MMA... But the more that I think about it, Till has ALL the necessary tools to make this a one sided fight compared to what an aging Brunson brings.I can just simplify this way. Brunson is probably just outside his prime and yes- hes on a streak - but I just cant get past the fact that his past 2 wins were rondas boy and Holland. Till maybe 1-3 but I see a fighter further growing into the 185 division, in his prime and I love this fight , stylistically, for Till.
I dont see Derek taking Till down....and keeping him there. I think this fight will end on the feet ....and sooner than later. Itll be a much needed win and statement for Darren.
This just my opinion. I understand why Till is the -185 betting favorite as opposed to Brunson playing underdog role to " up and comers " who really hadnt done much leading up to those fights.
Darren doesn't have the size and range problems that Gastelum will continue to have in remaining at 185.
Till's biggest fight of career - he beats Derek and he takes brunny's #5 spot in a very underwhelming division.We all know who Dana &co. rooting for - lol , my only concern.
I think Darren finally ready to make some noise at 185.