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If Rockhold's chin holds up, he should be able to get a decision win
Rockhold is very slick on the ground - Jacare sonned Moose twice - I think I'd pick Luke.
EDIT: Jacare beat Gegard once, not sure why I thought he won the first fight. Pick remains the same though I think Luke would win.
Rock is on a different level than Geg. Seriously, what is Geg's best UFC win? A controversial doctor stoppage vs a guy on a 2 fight losing streak who half of Sherdog thinks is a can? In a fight where he was being controlled with ease for the most part?