PFL #1: Collard vs Stephens - April 20th

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https://www.bestfightodds.com/events/pfl-week-1-2497

https://www.sherdog.com/events/Professional-Fighters-League-PFL-1-2022-Regular-Season-92567

https://www.tapology.com/fightcenter/events/87832-pfl-2022-1-regular-season

https://www.wikipedia.org/wiki/PFL_1_(2022_season)

https://www.pflmma.com/event/2022-pfl-1
 
Interested in Pesta at those odds. Pretty big guy compared to Akhmedov. Sad that most of my leans (Martinez, Stephens, Manfio, Wilkinson) are the favorites, though I guess that's supposed to be a good thing, lol.

Souto should probably be a bigger dog imo, Rob thrives in gritty fights and should be durable enough to withstand whatever hail mary Bruce throws.
 
Wish they would have fed Manfio to Stephens instead of Collard.

Collard got absolutely robbed last year, hopefully Madge doesn't get robbed like everyone else that fought Manfio during the regular season/playoffs.
 
I don't think Madge is very good. I am taking Manfio here. Manfio has looked pretty good to me vs Radzhabov and Pettis. Madge is pretty overrated he was solidly outstruck by Ziam and desperately needed his wrestling to win there. Vs Manfio that won't be an option. Manfio is also the dog now.
 
I don't think Madge is very good. I am taking Manfio here. Manfio has looked pretty good to me vs Radzhabov and Pettis. Madge is pretty overrated he was solidly outstruck by Ziam and desperately needed his wrestling to win there. Vs Manfio that won't be an option. Manfio is also the dog now.
Ditto, Manfio at dog odds is a must then. Don't understand the hype Madge has, his lone highlight is finishing Te' Edwards.
 
#2022PFL1

Value on Clay Collard +120 for sure, opened -150

"I've always been a pressure fighter, thrown a lot of punches, now I'm picking my shots and I'm landing. I'm taking angles, setting things up, throwing punches to set up other punches, I love proving people wrong"



PFL 2022 #1: Regular Season
Wednesday April 20, 2022 at 06:00 PM ET

Some more links:



https://fightodds.io/odds/3957/pfl-2022-1-regular-season
https://www.tapology.com/forum/threads/65841
https://mmaintel.blog/2019/12/22/prospect-in-the-spotlight-dec-27-31-natan-schulte/
 
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New PFL season and you know what that means, juiced up dumb parlays. Hamlet (-245), Powell (-245), and Carlos Jr. (-550) gives you +134

Aukstuolis hasn't fought in four and a half years, and hasn't had a quality win since Bruno Cappelozza back in 2015. Hamlet is a flawed fighter, but I don't see his cardio being an issue when he should be able to use his wrestling to take Aukstuolis down and grind out a decision if he doesn't sink that arm-triangle choke in. Aukstuolis is looking juiced up and he throws his punches hard, but Lawal, Bajor, and Cappelozza showed his judo background wasn't enough to keep him upright, and that was in a ring not a cage where I think Hamlet's Greco-Roman background will serve him well.

My only concern with Powell is that his hands might still be sore from the beating he put on undersized Tobias Baker under two weeks ago, but he took the fight so I'm going to assume he's good to go. He's going to have the height and reach advantage again against 5'11, 38 year old Clinton Williams, who has just been kicking around the regional scene going 2-1 against small regional fighters with the one loss coming against a figher who last competed as a welterweight. Meme KO is always possible, but I thought Powell looked slick in his last fight, should be able to avoid damage before finding a shot to put the lights out.

Delan Monte is a judo black belt, but I don't think that's going to help him much against a fighter like Carlos Jr. Training camp and level of competition obviously favor Carlos Jr and his BJJ credentials are outstanding. No way Monte tries to tie up with him, so it comes down to the standup where I don't have much doubt Carlos Jr. will be able to survive until he gets the opportunity he needs to take him down.

If I had to pick one to blow it up, I would say it's Hamlet, but lets hope that Frontline Academy grappling carries the day.
 
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Just a reminder: Collard was brutally knocked out in a boxing match on Christmas Day. Like the kind that permanently alters your ability to take a punch. I know he was stopped while he was on his feet but I didn’t like the way he was reacting to those punches.
 
I'm interested in Schulte being able to stop OAM's judo being a black belt himself and possibly having an advantage on the feet.
 
I'm interested in Schulte being able to stop OAM's judo being a black belt himself and possibly having an advantage on the feet.
MMA math but OAM beat Held who beat Schulte. Schulte's last fight was close split decision vs not very experienced guy. Idk I favor OAM.
 
I'm interested in Schulte being able to stop OAM's judo being a black belt himself and possibly having an advantage on the feet.
I feel like he should have the advantage on the feet too but he just seems to be to low volume for whatever reason. Love his forward pressure but just doesn't pull the trigger enough and lacks head movement. Him getting out struck on the feet against held is a pretty big red flag.. Think OAM probably wins the first fairly dominantly, second should be close and third Schulte pressure should start to get through
 
I'm interested in Schulte being able to stop OAM's judo being a black belt himself and possibly having an advantage on the feet.
I think OAM is the much better striker and also has better FE and defense. All Schulte has is pressure and a calf kick
 
Got a Pesta, Wilkinson, Hamlet and Powell parlay going on. Also one with Manfio and Stephens added to it, think that's going to be my only plays for PFL.

Site I use has all the lines locking up at the starting time of the card, so can't do single bets and build from there as I planned, which is a bummer.
 
Just a notice for those who don't know and like to parlay,bet365 is giving 5% acummulator bonus for each parlay piece,all organizations included
 
Im on Wilkinson ML
Souto is WW against big MW maybe LHW Wilkinson, Huge factor. Former Alliance and Team Quest member, Size, reach, ground game, takedowns, maybe is stand too, Wilkinson is better in many areas. Should be huge favorite.
 
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why does Manfio's price keeps climbing? he is +135 now. Does he have an injury or is he in debt with the favela mob? I don't trust this line movement at all.
 
why does Manfio's price keeps climbing? he is +135 now. Does he have an injury or is he in debt with the favela mob? I don't trust this line movement at all.


Manfio doesn't really wrestle, never submitted anyone. Madge didn't look impressive in his last but he gets his striking match here I feel. Good stylistic matchup for Madge?
 
actually pisses me off that I might have no bets and I have taped the whole card, I love PFL.

Bunch of fights I can't get a read on. I have Wilkinson but at much shiter odds, Pesta as a slight fav, not sure how much value. And Stephens at pick-em. By tomorrow i might cash out all 3
 
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